2251 Plumb 1 St Unit 5G · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.58%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
5TH Fl APT is drenched in natural sunlight and is in gorgeous condition. well kept and maintained. features an EIK, huge 1 BD (can fit king size bed and more)1 BA and grand size Living Room. Located in a beautiful neighborhood conveniently near the Belt Pkwy. near transportation. Building includes laundry, parking, storage and conference room for parties, meetings and events.
Key facts
- On site parking
- One bedroom co op
- Laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets are not allowed; Co-op shares: 190
- Financial info: Financing options: Bank mortgage, cash, exchange considered; Down payment typically 20%; Flip tax: 7% (percentage)
- HOA & community: Maintenance/HOA fee: $943; Managed by First Service Residential; Manager phone available
Exterior
- Parking: Wait-list parking
- Security: Intercom door; Secure lobby
- Utilities: Electric; Gas; Heat; Sewer; Water; Other utilities
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Elevator-served building
- Exterior features: Located in a multi-unit residential building (90 units); Floor 5 unit; Borough: Brooklyn; Cross streets: Gerritsen Avenue and Whitney Ave; Handicap access available
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Gas heat; Wall A/C units (2)
- Interior features: Wall A/C units (2); Elevator access; Intercom door; Secure lobby; Resident superintendent; Storage rooms
- Laundry & utility: Card-operated laundry; Laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-55/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.8%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,895/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 4771% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 3% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.12%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-10,148
- Equity at exit
- $23,856
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $63,560
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11229
- Rents YoY
- 15.8%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,895 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$1,186
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$608
- Net cashflow
- $-5
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3112 Emmons Ave Unit 203 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $3,200 | $4.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3000 Emmons Ave Unit 1 Brooklyn, NY | — | 1.0 | 536 | $3,273 | $6.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3000 Emmons Ave Unit 4 Brooklyn, NY | — | 1.0 | 489 | $3,250 | $6.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,999 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,999 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,999 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,999 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,999 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,999 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,999 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,999 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,999 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $159,999
-
2026-04-01status Active
-
2026-04-01historical
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2026-02-20price $165,000
-
2026-02-20status Active
-
2026-01-16historical
-
2025-11-28price $148,999
-
2025-11-15status Active
-
2025-10-17status Pending
-
2025-10-05status Active
-
2025-09-11status Pending
-
2025-09-09price $149,999
-
2025-07-17$155,000 Active
-
2014-02-25historical
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
5TH Fl APT is drenched in natural sunlight and is in gorgeous condition. well kept and maintained. features an EIK, huge 1 BD (can fit king size bed and more)1 BA and grand size Living Room. Located in a beautiful neighborhood conveniently near the Belt Pkwy. near transportation. Building includes laundry, parking, storage and conference room for parties, meetings and events.
-
2014-02-25$107,995 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
5TH Fl APT is drenched in natural sunlight and is in gorgeous condition. well kept and maintained. features an EIK, huge 1 BD (can fit king size bed and more)1 BA and grand size Living Room. Located in a beautiful neighborhood conveniently near the Belt Pkwy. near transportation. Building includes laundry, parking, storage and conference room for parties, meetings and events.
-
2013-10-21$119,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 58% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,400
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,779
- − Management
- −$2,779
- − HOA
- −$14,232
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$1,867
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$448
- After-tax cash flow
- $393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 78,377
- Household income
- $70,603
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4771.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Asian 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 6% Subsaharan African 6% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 47% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 22% Chinese 16% Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -761.52%
- Current HPI
- 361.7011
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.81%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+33.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $159,999 BNYMLS
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — BNYMLS
- 2026-04-01 Delisted — BNYMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $165,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-02-20 Relisted — BNYMLS
- 2026-01-16 Delisted — BNYMLS
- 2025-11-28 Price Changed $148,999 BNYMLS
- 2025-11-15 Relisted — BNYMLS
- 2025-10-17 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2025-10-05 Relisted — BNYMLS
- 2025-09-11 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $149,999 BNYMLS
- 2025-07-17 Listed $155,000 BNYMLS
- 2014-02-25 Listed $107,995 BNYMLS
- 2014-02-25 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-21 Listed $119,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…