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509 Fair St
D+ Composite 47.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$10,000

509 Fair St · Port Gibson, MS 39150
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 804 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 257 Days on market
Built 1960 2,178 sqft lot $12/sqft · 65% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a fixer upper or investment property in Port Gibson MS?! Now is the time check out this bungalow on a nice flat lot that is large enough which leaves opportunity to build another rental property or the home of your dreams! The current home on the property is 2bd/1ba and is being sold AS-IS condition. Contact your favorite Real Estate agent today this deal slips by!!

Key facts

  • Opportunity to build
  • Flat lot
  • Investment property

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYBUNGALOWFLAT LOTOPPORTUNITY TO BUILD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($851 rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $9k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#121 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Claiborne County School District (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #119 of 130 in MS (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 98% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $204 of equity ($69 loan paydown + $135 appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Claiborne County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $8k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $8,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
8.51%
Cap rate
78.58%
Cash-on-cash
258.15%
DSCR
12.49
GRM
1.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$42,697
List price
$10,000
Delta
-76.58%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
79.5%
Equity multiple
5.23×
Total profit
$11,834
Equity at exit
$3,598
10-year hold
IRR
80.4%
Equity multiple
10.98×
Total profit
$27,938
Equity at exit
$4,927

Cash invested: $2,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39150

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$851 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52
Tax from tax record
$14 /mo · $164/yr
Insurance
$4
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$179
Net cashflow
$176

Break-even live

Break-even rent $629
Max offer price $10,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $181 -5% $179 +0% $176 +5% $173 +10% $170
Rent -10% $109 -5% $142 +0% $176 +5% $209 +10% $243
Rate -1.0pp $181 -0.5pp $178 base $176 +0.5pp $173 +1.0pp $171

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,500
Closing costs
$300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $10,000 Active 257 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $10,000 Active 256 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $10,000 Active 255 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $10,000 Active 254 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $10,000 Active 253 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $10,000 Active 251 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $10,000 Active 250 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $10,000 Active 247 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $10,000 Active 246 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,000 Active 245 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $10,000 Active 242 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $10,000 Active 241 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $10,000 Active 240 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $10,000 Active 239 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $10,000 Active 238 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $10,000 Active 237 DOM
  17. 2026-04-20
    status Active 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Looking for a fixer upper or investment property in Port Gibson MS?! Now is the time check out this bungalow on a nice flat lot that is large enough which leaves opportunity to build another rental property or the home of your dreams! The current home on the property is 2bd/1ba and is being sold AS-IS condition. Contact your favorite Real Estate agent today this deal slips by!!

  18. 2025-12-01
    price $10,000 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Looking for a fixer upper or investment property in Port Gibson MS?! Now is the time check out this bungalow on a nice flat lot that is large enough which leaves opportunity to build another rental property or the home of your dreams! The current home on the property is 2bd/1ba and is being sold AS-IS condition. Contact your favorite Real Estate agent today this deal slips by!!

  19. 2025-09-17
    listed $15,500 Active 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Looking for a fixer upper or investment property in Port Gibson MS?! Now is the time check out this bungalow on a nice flat lot that is large enough which leaves opportunity to build another rental property or the home of your dreams! The current home on the property is 2bd/1ba and is being sold AS-IS condition. Contact your favorite Real Estate agent today this deal slips by!!

  20. 2024-02-23
    soldstatus $7,500
  21. 2009-11-10
    soldstatus $7,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$164 · $14/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$164 · $14/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,217
− Mortgage interest
−$560
− Property taxes
−$164
− Insurance
−$5,168
− Repairs & maintenance
−$817
− Management
−$817
− Depreciation
−$291
Taxable income
$2,399
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$576
After-tax cash flow
$1,534/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Claiborne County School District
NCES district ID
2801020
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$25,274
Composite
7.24/100
National rank
#9959
State rank
#119 of 130 in MS

Livability — Port Gibson

Score
65/100
State rank
#121
US rank
#13508

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Gibson, MS
Population (ZIP)
5,094

Population outlook (Claiborne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,631 people
By 2030
8,271 · -4.2%
By 2040
7,570 · -12.3%
By 2050
7,065 · -18.1%
By 2075
6,329 · -26.7%
By 2100
5,655 · -34.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 84% White 13% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Claiborne

2024 margin
Solid D (+67.5) · D 83.3% · R 15.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.6pp toward R · 2008: 72.1pp · 2024: 67.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+67.5 2020: D+71.2 2016: D+71.4 2012: D+76.5 2008: D+72.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.35%
Current HPI
71.3734
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+33.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted VWCBR
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $10,000 VWCBR
  • 2025-09-17 Listed $15,500 VWCBR
  • 2024-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
  • 2009-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $164 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…