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203 Pawnee St NW 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 79.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

203 Pawnee St NW · Princeton, MN 55371
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 972 sqft · SingleFamily · 159 Days on market
Built 1999 Good condition $72/sqft · 43% below area Est $123k · 43% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.

Key facts

  • Built 1999
  • Listed 158 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $69,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$122,874) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $866 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 2.8% in Princeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#404 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Princeton Public School District (town): math 41% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #141 of 301 in MN (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 334 units permitted in Sherburne County in 2024 (58 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.31%
Cap rate
21.16%
Cash-on-cash
53.09%
DSCR
3.36
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,874
List price
$69,900
Delta
-43.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.1%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$43,802
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
56.5%
Equity multiple
6.57×
Total profit
$109,069
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55371

Home prices YoY
-5.4%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,612 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$12 /mo · $142/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$866

Break-even live

Break-even rent $516
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $905 -5% $886 +0% $866 +5% $766 +10% $742
Rent -10% $739 -5% $802 +0% $866 +5% $930 +10% $993
Rate -1.0pp $901 -0.5pp $884 base $866 +0.5pp $848 +1.0pp $829

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 159 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 156 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 155 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 154 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 153 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 151 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 150 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 147 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 146 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 145 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 142 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 141 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 140 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 139 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 138 DOM
  16. 2026-04-01
    status Active 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.

  17. 2026-04-01
    price $69,900 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.

  18. 2026-03-23
    historical Contingent - Inspection 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.

  19. 2026-01-14
    listed $75,000 Active 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.

  20. 2025-12-26
    historical $75,000 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.

  21. 2025-12-23
    historical 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.

  22. 2025-12-22
    listed $75,000 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$142 · $12/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$462 · $39/mo
Expected delta
+$320/yr (+$27/mo · 225.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,344
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$142
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,547
− Management
−$1,547
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$9,808
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,354
After-tax cash flow
$8,037/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-family home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good roof, exterior, and interior. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace the front door — Improves security and enhances curb appeal
  • Both Clean and organize the interior — Creates a more inviting and professional appearance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace the front door — Improves security and enhances curb appeal
  • Both Clean and organize the interior — Creates a more inviting and professional appearance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Princeton Public School District
NCES district ID
2730030
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$61,277
Composite
41.33/100
National rank
#3504
State rank
#141 of 301 in MN

Livability — Princeton

Score
68/100
State rank
#404
US rank
#9444

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Princeton, MN
County
Sherburne County · 120,363 people
City population
18,103
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
18,103
Household income
$93,824
Rent vs Own
15.1% rent · 84.9% own
Severe rent burden
273.0

Population outlook (Sherburne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,402 people
By 2030
99,341 · +2.0%
By 2040
101,188 · +3.9%
By 2050
99,214 · +1.9%
By 2075
88,700 · -8.9%
By 2100
72,241 · -25.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Sherburne

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.7% · R 66.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.9 2020: R+32.6 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+18.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.20%
Current HPI
336.1604
Rent YoY
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $69,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-26 Coming Soon $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-23 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $142 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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