🏷️ Likely Rental
203 Pawnee St NW · Princeton, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.
Key facts
- Built 1999
- Listed 158 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $866 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 2.8% in Princeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#404 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Princeton Public School District (town): math 41% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #141 of 301 in MN (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 334 units permitted in Sherburne County in 2024 (58 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.09%
- DSCR
- 3.36
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $122,874
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -43.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $43,802
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 56.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.57×
- Total profit
- $109,069
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55371
- Home prices YoY
- -5.4%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,612 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$12 /mo · $142/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $866
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $905 | -5% $886 | +0% $866 | +5% $766 | +10% $742 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $739 | -5% $802 | +0% $866 | +5% $930 | +10% $993 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $901 | -0.5pp $884 | base $866 | +0.5pp $848 | +1.0pp $829 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-04-01status Active 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.
-
2026-04-01price $69,900 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.
-
2026-03-23historical Contingent - Inspection 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.
-
2026-01-14$75,000 Active 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.
-
2025-12-26historical $75,000 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.
-
2025-12-23historical 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.
-
2025-12-22$75,000 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Enjoy easy one-level living in this well-located 3-bedroom home in Sherburne Village. The exterior features maintenance-free vinyl siding, a nice front deck, and a walkway leading to the side entry/main entrance, offering both convenience and curb appeal. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with raised panel cabinets and a cozy eat-in dining area, perfect for everyday meals. The spacious living room provides plenty of room to relax or entertain. The primary bedroom offers double closets and a walk-through bathroom, giving you the functionality of a private bath without the extra upkeep. New interior paint! Lot rent is $650 per month and includes water, sewer, garbage, and recycling, making for a simple and affordable lifestyle in a convenient location. Seller is including a one year Warranty (major mechanicals, electrical, plumbing, kitchen appliances and laundry appliances) with your purchase.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $142 · $12/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $462 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$320/yr (+$27/mo · 225.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,344
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$142
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,547
- − Management
- −$1,547
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $9,808
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,354
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,037/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-family home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good roof, exterior, and interior. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace the front door — Improves security and enhances curb appeal
- Both Clean and organize the interior — Creates a more inviting and professional appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace the front door — Improves security and enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Clean and organize the interior — Creates a more inviting and professional appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Princeton Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2730030
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,277
- Composite
- 41.33/100
- National rank
- #3504
- State rank
- #141 of 301 in MN
Livability — Princeton
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #404
- US rank
- #9444
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Princeton, MN
- County
- Sherburne County · 120,363 people
- City population
- 18,103
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,103
- Household income
- $93,824
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 273.0
Population outlook (Sherburne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,402 people
- By 2030
- 99,341 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 101,188 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 99,214 · +1.9%
- By 2075
- 88,700 · -8.9%
- By 2100
- 72,241 · -25.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Sherburne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.7% · R 66.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.9 2020: R+32.6 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+18.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.20%
- Current HPI
- 336.1604
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
-6.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $69,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-26 Coming Soon $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-23 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-22 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $142 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…