409 S Spring St · Searcy, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Historic property with great bones and endless potential! Situated on 3 lots and zoned residential or commercial, this property features a newer metal roof and newer windows. The main building is configured as three separate living spaces, including one larger unit with kitchen, dining area, living room, two rooms, bathroom, and a large upstairs bonus room/bedroom, plus two smaller units, each with kitchen, living area, bedroom, and bathroom. The layout allows for use as a single residence or individual units. A second building at the rear was previously used as living quarters and could be restored. The property extends through wooded area with room to expand. Interior is in mid-renovation and ready for finish-out, making this a true blank canvas for investors, Airbnb, bed & breakfast, or redevelopment. Prime in-town location within a block from Beebe Capps Expressway, Spring Park and walking distance to Downtown area and many other local amenities.
Key facts
- Newer windows
- Two smaller units
- Newer metal roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-119 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (10.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (31.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.3% in Searcy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#51 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment F.
- Searcy School District (town): math 47% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #37 of 238 in AR (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 219 units permitted in White County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- White County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $96k; list at $210k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.43%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $246,622
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -14.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 E Market | 0.36mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,915 (+6%) | 14mo | $205,000 | $70 | 48 |
| 410 W Ctr | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,416 (-12%) | 21mo | $200,000 | $83 | 40 |
| 910 W Arch | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,894 (+6%) | 18mo | $255,000 | $88 | 37 |
| 715 N Spruce | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 3,040 (+11%) | 11mo | $270,000 | $89 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-41,711
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-46,471
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72143
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $907/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $-119
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $210,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $210,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $210,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $210,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $210,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-04-23price $210,000 971-char remark
Show marketing remark (971 chars)
Historic property with great bones and endless potential! Situated on 3 lots and zoned residential or commercial, this property features a newer metal roof and newer windows. The main building is configured as three separate living spaces, including one larger unit with kitchen, dining area, living room, two rooms, bathroom, and a large upstairs bonus room/bedroom, plus two smaller units, each with kitchen, living area, bedroom, and bathroom. The layout allows for use as a single residence or individual units. A second building at the rear was previously used as living quarters and could be restored. The property extends through wooded area with room to expand. Interior is in mid-renovation and ready for finish-out, making this a true blank canvas for investors, Airbnb, bed & breakfast, or redevelopment. Prime in-town location within a block from Beebe Capps Expressway, Spring Park and walking distance to Downtown area and many other local amenities.
-
2026-04-23price $210,000 971-char remark
Show marketing remark (971 chars)
Historic property with great bones and endless potential! Situated on 3 lots and zoned residential or commercial, this property features a newer metal roof and newer windows. The main building is configured as three separate living spaces, including one larger unit with kitchen, dining area, living room, two rooms, bathroom, and a large upstairs bonus room/bedroom, plus two smaller units, each with kitchen, living area, bedroom, and bathroom. The layout allows for use as a single residence or individual units. A second building at the rear was previously used as living quarters and could be restored. The property extends through wooded area with room to expand. Interior is in mid-renovation and ready for finish-out, making this a true blank canvas for investors, Airbnb, bed & breakfast, or redevelopment. Prime in-town location within a block from Beebe Capps Expressway, Spring Park and walking distance to Downtown area and many other local amenities.
-
2026-03-18price $225,000 971-char remark
Show marketing remark (971 chars)
Historic property with great bones and endless potential! Situated on 3 lots and zoned residential or commercial, this property features a newer metal roof and newer windows. The main building is configured as three separate living spaces, including one larger unit with kitchen, dining area, living room, two rooms, bathroom, and a large upstairs bonus room/bedroom, plus two smaller units, each with kitchen, living area, bedroom, and bathroom. The layout allows for use as a single residence or individual units. A second building at the rear was previously used as living quarters and could be restored. The property extends through wooded area with room to expand. Interior is in mid-renovation and ready for finish-out, making this a true blank canvas for investors, Airbnb, bed & breakfast, or redevelopment. Prime in-town location within a block from Beebe Capps Expressway, Spring Park and walking distance to Downtown area and many other local amenities.
-
2026-03-18price $225,000 971-char remark
Show marketing remark (971 chars)
Historic property with great bones and endless potential! Situated on 3 lots and zoned residential or commercial, this property features a newer metal roof and newer windows. The main building is configured as three separate living spaces, including one larger unit with kitchen, dining area, living room, two rooms, bathroom, and a large upstairs bonus room/bedroom, plus two smaller units, each with kitchen, living area, bedroom, and bathroom. The layout allows for use as a single residence or individual units. A second building at the rear was previously used as living quarters and could be restored. The property extends through wooded area with room to expand. Interior is in mid-renovation and ready for finish-out, making this a true blank canvas for investors, Airbnb, bed & breakfast, or redevelopment. Prime in-town location within a block from Beebe Capps Expressway, Spring Park and walking distance to Downtown area and many other local amenities.
-
2026-02-15$250,000 New Listing 971-char remark
Show marketing remark (971 chars)
Historic property with great bones and endless potential! Situated on 3 lots and zoned residential or commercial, this property features a newer metal roof and newer windows. The main building is configured as three separate living spaces, including one larger unit with kitchen, dining area, living room, two rooms, bathroom, and a large upstairs bonus room/bedroom, plus two smaller units, each with kitchen, living area, bedroom, and bathroom. The layout allows for use as a single residence or individual units. A second building at the rear was previously used as living quarters and could be restored. The property extends through wooded area with room to expand. Interior is in mid-renovation and ready for finish-out, making this a true blank canvas for investors, Airbnb, bed & breakfast, or redevelopment. Prime in-town location within a block from Beebe Capps Expressway, Spring Park and walking distance to Downtown area and many other local amenities.
-
2026-02-15$250,000 New Listing 971-char remark
Show marketing remark (971 chars)
Historic property with great bones and endless potential! Situated on 3 lots and zoned residential or commercial, this property features a newer metal roof and newer windows. The main building is configured as three separate living spaces, including one larger unit with kitchen, dining area, living room, two rooms, bathroom, and a large upstairs bonus room/bedroom, plus two smaller units, each with kitchen, living area, bedroom, and bathroom. The layout allows for use as a single residence or individual units. A second building at the rear was previously used as living quarters and could be restored. The property extends through wooded area with room to expand. Interior is in mid-renovation and ready for finish-out, making this a true blank canvas for investors, Airbnb, bed & breakfast, or redevelopment. Prime in-town location within a block from Beebe Capps Expressway, Spring Park and walking distance to Downtown area and many other local amenities.
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2012-05-01soldstatus $96,000
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2012-04-27soldstatus $96,000
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2012-04-03historical
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2012-02-01$115,000
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1998-08-28soldstatus $67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $907 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,344 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$437/yr (+$36/mo · 48.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$907
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,392
- − Management
- −$1,392
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$5,217
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,252
- After-tax cash flow
- $-178/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Searcy School District
- NCES district ID
- 0512210
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,318
- Composite
- 38.12/100
- National rank
- #4272
- State rank
- #37 of 238 in AR
Livability — Searcy
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #7408
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Searcy, AR
- County
- White County · 35,000 people
- City population
- 35,000
- Metro
- Searcy, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,000
- Household income
- $58,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 804.0
Population outlook (White County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,310 people
- By 2030
- 83,861 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 86,492 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 88,246 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 91,307 · +10.9%
- By 2100
- 91,548 · +11.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · White
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.2) · D 18.3% · R 79.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.2pp · 2024: -61.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.2 2020: R+58.9 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+47.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.60%
- Current HPI
- 206.0334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Searcy, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+213.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $210,000 CARMLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $210,000 CARMLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $225,000 CARMLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $225,000 CARMLS
- 2026-02-15 Listed $250,000 CARMLS
- 2026-02-15 Listed $250,000 CARMLS
- 2012-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2012-04-27 Sold (MLS) $96,000 CARMLS
- 2012-04-03 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2012-02-01 Listed $115,000 CARMLS
- 1998-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $907 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…