5722 Little Eva Rd · Haines City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LOOKING FOR RENTAL PROPERTY ! YOU JUST FOUND IT ! THIS PROPERTY HAS TWO UNITS , ONE IS A MOBILE HOME WITH A SPACIOUS FLOOR PLAN WITH 2 BEDROOMS AND ONE BATH . THE SECOND UNIT IS A ONE BEDROOM ONE BATH WITH IT'S OWN ENTRY . THE PROPERTY IS FENCED WITH . 46 ACRES OF LAND . THIS IS A GREAT INVESTMENT COME SEE IT TODAY !
Key facts
- 0.46 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1979
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R-3; Lot size approximately 0.46 acres (1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
- Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: No HOA/association indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with space for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Other utilities
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal/other roof; Built on slab foundation; Living area about 840 square feet
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 200
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Slab foundation (utility access)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (8.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#285 in FL, #4,575 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sandhill Elementary School (math 21% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,932 of 2,144 statewide, top 91%, 991 students, 55% FRL); Shelley S. Boone Middle School (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #517 of 571 statewide, top 91%, 1,403 students, 52% FRL); Haines City Senior High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #544 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,700 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1344 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 962 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $195k implies a 290% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 962 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.70%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-24,146
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-20,179
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33844
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1344
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,782 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,621/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $279 | -5% $224 | +0% $168 | +5% $113 | +10% $58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $28 | -5% $98 | +0% $168 | +5% $239 | +10% $309 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $267 | -0.5pp $218 | base $168 | +0.5pp $118 | +1.0pp $67 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 639 Ellison Pkwy Haines City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 784 | $1,200 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.21mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $195,000 Active 962 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 959 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 958 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 957 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 956 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 954 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active 951 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 950 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 949 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 948 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $195,000 Active 945 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 943 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 942 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 941 DOM
-
2023-11-02$195,000 Active
-
2010-01-05soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,621 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,621 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,378
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$1,621
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,710
- − Management
- −$1,710
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$1,234
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$296
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Haines City
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #285
- US rank
- #4575
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- City population
- 51,255
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,255
- Household income
- $63,650
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1107.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 31% Black 18% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 39% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.94%
- Current HPI
- 291.0798
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.16%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+290.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2023-11-02 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,621 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…