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N1051 Highway M35
B- Composite 68.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

N1051 Highway M35 · Menominee, MI 49858
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 114 Days on market
Built 1950 0.58 ac lot $53/sqft · 58% below area ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LIST PRICE IS $54,900 WITH AN OPENING BID OF $39,900. Property may be sold any time prior to event. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. 1.5 story cottage home built in 1950 located in the Township of Menominee. Home features 1,248sf with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 bedroom upstairs does not have a finished ceiling. Detached 2 stall garage. Located directly across the beautiful Bay of Green Bay. Just minutes from the City of Menominee where there are local shops and restaurants to enjoy. Bring your ideas and make this home yours!

Key facts

  • Bay of green bay
  • Cottage home
  • Restaurants

Tags

COTTAGE HOMETOWNSHIP OF MENOMINEEBAY OF GREEN BAYLOCAL SHOPSRESTAURANTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($929 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 4.0% in Menominee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#282 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Menominee Area Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #312 of 540 in MI (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Menominee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Menominee County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $45,409 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
16.71%
Cash-on-cash
37.20%
DSCR
2.66
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$158,652
List price
$49,900
Delta
-68.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4511 6th St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,010 (+8%) 2mo $169,500 $168 51
616 44th Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 1,044 (+12%) 23mo $145,000 $139 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.1%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$19,485
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
4.75×
Total profit
$52,433
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49858

Home prices YoY
-31.4%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$929 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$19 /mo · $223/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$433

Break-even live

Break-even rent $381
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $461 -5% $447 +0% $433 +5% $419 +10% $405
Rent -10% $360 -5% $396 +0% $433 +5% $470 +10% $507
Rate -1.0pp $458 -0.5pp $446 base $433 +0.5pp $420 +1.0pp $407

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $49,900 Active 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,900 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $49,900 Active 107 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,900 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 102 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $54,900 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 95 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 94 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    price $54,900 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    LIST PRICE IS $54,900 WITH AN OPENING BID OF $39,900. Property may be sold any time prior to event. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. 1.5 story cottage home built in 1950 located in the Township of Menominee. Home features 1,248sf with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 bedroom upstairs does not have a finished ceiling. Detached 2 stall garage. Located directly across the beautiful Bay of Green Bay. Just minutes from the City of Menominee where there are local shops and restaurants to enjoy. Bring your ideas and make this home yours!

  18. 2026-05-08
    price $54,900 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    LIST PRICE IS $54,900 WITH AN OPENING BID OF $39,900. Property may be sold any time prior to event. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. 1.5 story cottage home built in 1950 located in the Township of Menominee. Home features 1,248sf with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 bedroom upstairs does not have a finished ceiling. Detached 2 stall garage. Located directly across the beautiful Bay of Green Bay. Just minutes from the City of Menominee where there are local shops and restaurants to enjoy. Bring your ideas and make this home yours!

  19. 2026-04-14
    status Active 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    LIST PRICE IS $54,900 WITH AN OPENING BID OF $39,900. Property may be sold any time prior to event. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. 1.5 story cottage home built in 1950 located in the Township of Menominee. Home features 1,248sf with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 bedroom upstairs does not have a finished ceiling. Detached 2 stall garage. Located directly across the beautiful Bay of Green Bay. Just minutes from the City of Menominee where there are local shops and restaurants to enjoy. Bring your ideas and make this home yours!

  20. 2026-04-14
    status Active 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    LIST PRICE IS $54,900 WITH AN OPENING BID OF $39,900. Property may be sold any time prior to event. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. 1.5 story cottage home built in 1950 located in the Township of Menominee. Home features 1,248sf with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 bedroom upstairs does not have a finished ceiling. Detached 2 stall garage. Located directly across the beautiful Bay of Green Bay. Just minutes from the City of Menominee where there are local shops and restaurants to enjoy. Bring your ideas and make this home yours!

  21. 2026-03-26
    status Pending 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    LIST PRICE IS $54,900 WITH AN OPENING BID OF $39,900. Property may be sold any time prior to event. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. 1.5 story cottage home built in 1950 located in the Township of Menominee. Home features 1,248sf with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 bedroom upstairs does not have a finished ceiling. Detached 2 stall garage. Located directly across the beautiful Bay of Green Bay. Just minutes from the City of Menominee where there are local shops and restaurants to enjoy. Bring your ideas and make this home yours!

  22. 2026-03-26
    historical Active w/ Contract 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    LIST PRICE IS $54,900 WITH AN OPENING BID OF $39,900. Property may be sold any time prior to event. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. 1.5 story cottage home built in 1950 located in the Township of Menominee. Home features 1,248sf with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 bedroom upstairs does not have a finished ceiling. Detached 2 stall garage. Located directly across the beautiful Bay of Green Bay. Just minutes from the City of Menominee where there are local shops and restaurants to enjoy. Bring your ideas and make this home yours!

  23. 2026-02-24
    listed $59,900 Active 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    LIST PRICE IS $54,900 WITH AN OPENING BID OF $39,900. Property may be sold any time prior to event. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. 1.5 story cottage home built in 1950 located in the Township of Menominee. Home features 1,248sf with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 bedroom upstairs does not have a finished ceiling. Detached 2 stall garage. Located directly across the beautiful Bay of Green Bay. Just minutes from the City of Menominee where there are local shops and restaurants to enjoy. Bring your ideas and make this home yours!

  24. 2026-02-24
    listed $59,900 Active 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    LIST PRICE IS $54,900 WITH AN OPENING BID OF $39,900. Property may be sold any time prior to event. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. 1.5 story cottage home built in 1950 located in the Township of Menominee. Home features 1,248sf with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 bedroom upstairs does not have a finished ceiling. Detached 2 stall garage. Located directly across the beautiful Bay of Green Bay. Just minutes from the City of Menominee where there are local shops and restaurants to enjoy. Bring your ideas and make this home yours!

  25. 2020-12-14
    soldstatus $70,000
  26. 2020-12-14
    soldstatus $70,000
  27. 2020-07-03
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$223 · $19/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$496 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$273/yr (+$23/mo · 122.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,151
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$223
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$892
− Management
−$892
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$4,648
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,116
After-tax cash flow
$4,082/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Menominee Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2623550
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$41,809
Composite
28.68/100
National rank
#6694
State rank
#312 of 540 in MI

Livability — Menominee

Score
71/100
State rank
#282
US rank
#6909

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,870

Population outlook (Menominee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,668 people
By 2030
21,986 · -3.0%
By 2040
20,196 · -10.9%
By 2050
18,335 · -19.1%
By 2075
14,771 · -34.8%
By 2100
10,999 · -51.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 7% Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Menominee

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-43.8pp toward R · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+29.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.34%
Current HPI
206.2461
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $54,900 RANW
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $54,900 GNMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted GNMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted RANW
  • 2026-03-26 Pending GNMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Contingent RANW
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $59,900 GNMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $59,900 RANW
  • 2020-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-14 Sold (MLS) $70,000 METROMLS
  • 2020-07-03 Listed $69,900 METROMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…