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3221 W Wild Cherry Rdg
D- Composite 37.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

3221 W Wild Cherry Rdg · Mishawaka, IN 46544
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,300 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1996 7,841 sqft lot $152/sqft · 7% below area Est $375k · 7% under ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Back on the market, no fault of the Seller. Autumn Ridge Subdivision! 1.5 story Moser built home in Penn Schools! Very nice home that is well kept! Great location near shopping and the US 20 bypass. This home is located just south of Mishawaka near Meijers. You will love the open feel that this home has with the living room and kitchen vaulted ceilings. The sunroom off the living room offers the views of the backyard, deck area, and the basketball court! Main floor with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths! The upstairs was finished with a loft area, bedroom, another full bath, and 2 walk in closets! Super nice addition with lots of windows! City utilities. 1st floor laundry. 2 car garage. Many upgr

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1996

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One-story
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Unfinished basement
  • Exterior features: Deck; Lot is sloped with some level areas

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas range; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom located on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 2 bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Eat-in kitchen; Primary bedroom on main level; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-388 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $282k (19.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (36.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $222k (36.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#53 in IN, #3,586 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
  • Penn-Harris-Madison School Corporation (suburban): math 54% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #19 of 301 in IN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Road Elementary School (math 52% / reading 49%, grade D+, #269 of 994 statewide, top 27%, 513 students, 43% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 57% / reading 75%, grade A-, #6 of 330 statewide, top 2%, 848 students, 17% FRL); Penn High School (math 53% / reading 83%, grade B, #22 of 369 statewide, top 6%, 3,624 students, 27% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,220/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 685% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $221,971 (36.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
4.96%
Cash-on-cash
-4.75%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
13.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$374,950
List price
$350,000
Delta
-6.65%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3221 W Wild Cherry Rdg 0.00mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,300 (0%) 0mo $345,000 $150 91
3307 Falling Oak Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 2,192 (-5%) 4mo $379,900 $173 86
3409 Falling Oak Dr 0.11mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,276 (-1%) 1mo $419,900 $184 85
3229 Falling Oak Dr 0.06mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,072 (-10%) 2mo $374,900 $181 72
3024 Falling Oak Dr 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,072 (-10%) 2mo $370,225 $179 70
3215 Wild Cherry Rdg 0.01mi 3/3.0 2,044 (-11%) 21mo $250,000 $122 59
59430 Ireland Trl 0.75mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,306 (+0%) 12mo $265,000 $115 48
757 Bugle Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 2,030 (-12%) 9mo $261,000 $129 40
2323 Blue Smoke Trl 0.52mi 3/2.5 2,028 (-12%) 20mo $295,000 $145 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-69,808
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-39,741
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46544

Rents YoY
9.1%
Active inventory
141
Price-to-rent
13.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,220 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,919/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$466
Net cashflow
$-388

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,710
Max offer price $281,529
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-189 -5% $-289 +0% $-388 +5% $-487 +10% $-586
Rent -10% $-563 -5% $-475 +0% $-388 +5% $-300 +10% $-212
Rate -1.0pp $-211 -0.5pp $-299 base $-388 +0.5pp $-478 +1.0pp $-571

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1109 Hidden Lakes Dr Mishawaka, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1392 $2,755 $1.98 15d 74 0.44mi
1929 Blue Stem Ct Mishawaka, IN 4.0 3.5 2213 $2,900 $1.31 15d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 913-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    status Active 913-char remark
  3. 2026-05-02
    status Pending 913-char remark
  4. 2026-04-29
    listed $350,000 Active 913-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,919 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,447 · $204/mo
Expected delta
+$528/yr (+$44/mo · 27.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,637
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$1,919
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,131
− Management
−$2,131
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$11,081
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,660
After-tax cash flow
$-1,992/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penn-Harris-Madison School Corporation
NCES district ID
1808760
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,421
Composite
51.11/100
National rank
#1764
State rank
#19 of 301 in IN

Livability — Mishawaka

Score
76/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#3586

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mishawaka, IN
County
Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
City population
57,683
Metro
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
Population (ZIP)
31,077
Household income
$58,829
Rent vs Own
36.3% rent · 63.7% own
Severe rent burden
685.0

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
273,186 people
By 2030
273,594 · +0.1%
By 2040
271,641 · -0.6%
By 2050
269,187 · -1.5%
By 2075
263,136 · -3.7%
By 2100
245,659 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% English 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.74%
Current HPI
188.9996
Rent YoY
▲ 9.10%
Metro
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $345,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $350,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,919 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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