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1216 Alcott Dr
D+ Composite 45.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

1216 Alcott Dr · Dayton, OH 45406
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1949 6,203 sqft lot Est $55k · 44% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

on day one?Dayton, OH is already cash flowing with a month-to-month tenant in place! Whether you’re looking to expand your portfolio or jump into real estate investing, this property offers immediate income potential and flexibility for the future. ?? Income-producing property ?? Month-to-month tenant ?? Start collecting rent from day one ?? Great opportunity for new or seasoned investors Opportunities like this do not stay on the market long. Don’t let this cash-flowing investment pass you by! Contact me today for more details or to schedule a showing.

Key facts

  • 6,203 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1949

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: One-car detached garage
  • Utilities: Check RTA for bus service
  • Home design: Single-story residence
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Residential lot approximately 0.14 acres (about 163 x 45)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (approx. 12 x 12 and 13 x 13)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($818 rent vs $80k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $80k implies a 207% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.27%
Cash-on-cash
7.07%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$55,440
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1251 Canfield Ave 0.09mi 2/1.0 720 (0%) 7mo $75,000 $104 90
640 Shoop Ave 0.38mi 2/1.0 776 (+8%) 7mo $30,000 $39 64
936 Walton Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 792 (+10%) 5mo $60,000 $76 61
1028 Walton Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 788 (+9%) 13mo $94,000 $119 60
1425 Shaftesbury Rd 0.23mi 2/1.0 792 (+10%) 17mo $75,000 $95 58
932 Crestmore Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 702 (-2%) 12mo $75,000 $107 56
676 Brooklyn Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 814 (+13%) 6mo $35,000 $43 52
741 Leland Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 776 (+8%) 17mo $31,350 $40 47
3007 Cornell Dr 0.46mi 2/1.0 827 (+15%) 9mo $29,019 $35 46
649 Brooklyn Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 816 (+13%) 13mo $62,500 $77 44
911 Crestmore Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 616 (-14%) 13mo $29,990 $49 38
2407 Hoover Ave 0.69mi 2/2.0 819 (+14%) 8mo $116,900 $143 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-4,535
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$6,922
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45406

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$818 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $743/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$172
Net cashflow
$132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $651
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 43d 1 0.03mi
828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 23d 1 0.47mi
3652 Otterbein Ave Unit 3652 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 2d 1 0.70mi
1903 W Grand Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 600 $850 $1.42 43d 1 0.72mi
322 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 634 $850 $1.34 43d 1 0.83mi
1934 Tennyson Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 675 $700 $1.04 43d 1 0.99mi
3627 Delphos Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 525 $625 $1.19 14d 1 0.99mi
1982 Victoria Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 675 $700 $1.04 43d 1 1.07mi
1923 Auburn Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 490 $600 $1.22 14d 1 1.12mi
1923 Auburn Ave Apt 2 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 490 $600 $1.22 43d 1 1.12mi
41 N Marion St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 652 $925 $1.42 3d 1 1.18mi
2109 Victoria Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 714 $950 $1.33 3d 1 1.18mi
2010 Auburn Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 560 $625 $1.12 2d 1 1.21mi
2257 Hepburn Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 600 $695 $1.16 43d 1 1.39mi
2039 Emerson Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 725 $725 $1.00 3d 1 1.39mi
729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 626 $950 $1.52 43d 1 1.44mi
136 Lexington Ave Unit 1 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 700 $759 $1.08 21d 1 1.47mi
1330 W Hillcrest Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 525 $825 $1.57 43d 1 1.47mi
265 Victor Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 602 $699 $1.16 3d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 561-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$743 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$995 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$252/yr (+$21/mo · 33.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,814
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$743
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$785
− Management
−$785
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$301
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$72
After-tax cash flow
$1,510/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,991
Household income
$41,796
Rent vs Own
52.9% rent · 47.1% own
Severe rent burden
1504.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.75%
Current HPI
197.1302
Rent YoY
▲ 3.03%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+597.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $79,900 Dayton MLS
  • 1997-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
  • 1987-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $6,025 Public Records
  • 1985-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
  • 1985-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $11,450 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $743 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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