504 Echo Ave · Zanesville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Established neighborhood close to all amenities. 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home with laundry on the main level. Private fenced in rear yard with a beautiful new deck. Off street parking. Newer flooring, furnace, central air, rear deck and privacy fence.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Private fenced yard
- New deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (1.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.3% in Zanesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#290 in OH, #4,764 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, commute F.
- Zanesville City (town): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #570 of 656 in OH (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 299 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 140 units permitted in Muskingum County in 2024 (100 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muskingum County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $135k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.80%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $146,591
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -1.09%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630 Alfred St | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,133 (+1%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $176 | 83 |
| 403 Seborn Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,132 (+1%) | 1mo | $174,000 | $154 | 78 |
| 946 Seborn Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+3%) | 12mo | $186,000 | $161 | 68 |
| 511 Echo Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (+12%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $119 | 64 |
| 145 Valley Gem Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+7%) | 2mo | $263,000 | $219 | 62 |
| 817 Superior St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,077 (-4%) | 2mo | $174,900 | $162 | 58 |
| 1215 Lake Dr | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,235 (+10%) | 8mo | $149,900 | $121 | 58 |
| 1003 Talley Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (+13%) | 8mo | $81,000 | $64 | 52 |
| 816 Eppley Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 956 (-15%) | 10mo | $149,150 | $156 | 46 |
| 1140 Lindbergh Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 992 (-11%) | 3mo | $68,000 | $69 | 45 |
| 825 Moxahala Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,019 (-9%) | 7mo | $28,000 | $27 | 37 |
| 1131 Federal Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-14%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $151 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,603
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $14,380
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43701
- Home prices YoY
- -23.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 299
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,324 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $183
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 804 Westbourne Ave Zanesville, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,372 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19pricedays on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $145,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$145,000 Active 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Established neighborhood close to all amenities. 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home with laundry on the main level. Private fenced in rear yard with a beautiful new deck. Off street parking. Newer flooring, furnace, central air, rear deck and privacy fence.
-
2019-05-20soldstatus $61,200
-
2018-12-28historical
-
2018-09-09$63,000
-
2010-10-03historical
-
2009-10-03$64,900
-
2009-07-20historical
-
2009-01-20$64,900
-
2008-12-31historical
-
2008-04-28$70,900
-
2007-04-27soldstatus $50,350
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,192 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,649 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$457/yr (+$38/mo · 38.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,893
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,192
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,271
- − Management
- −$1,271
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$7
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,194/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Zanesville City
- NCES district ID
- 3904517
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,695
- Composite
- 27.13/100
- National rank
- #7035
- State rank
- #570 of 656 in OH
Livability — Zanesville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #290
- US rank
- #4764
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Zanesville, OH
- County
- Muskingum County · 56,402 people
- City population
- 56,402
- Metro
- Zanesville, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,402
- Household income
- $57,565
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1619.0
Population outlook (Muskingum County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 85,625 people
- By 2030
- 84,592 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 81,288 · -5.1%
- By 2050
- 76,751 · -10.4%
- By 2075
- 64,143 · -25.1%
- By 2100
- 47,598 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskingum
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.6% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+7.0 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.41%
- Current HPI
- 298.9994
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Metro
- Zanesville, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+188.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $145,000 MLSNOW
- 2019-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $61,200 Public Records
- 2018-12-28 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2018-09-09 Listed $63,000 MLSNOW
- 2010-10-03 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2009-10-03 Listed $64,900 MLSNOW
- 2009-07-20 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2009-01-20 Listed $64,900 MLSNOW
- 2008-12-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2008-04-28 Listed $70,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $50,350 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,192 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…