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4309 8th St SW
D- Composite 36.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.3/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0

$299,999

4309 8th St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL 33976
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,406 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 2024 0.25 ac lot Est $292k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SELLER WILLING TO CONTRIBUTE $10,000 TOWARDS CLOSING COSTS. Welcome to this beautifully built new construction home offering over 1,406 square feet of living space, featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with an open layout. Designed with tall ceilings and high-end finishes throughout, this home feels spacious, modern, and is move-in ready. The main living areas are finished with gorgeous tile flooring, while the bedrooms feature easy-maintenance laminate flooring. The kitchen is the heart of the home, complete with stainless steel appliances, upgraded cabinetry, and a large center island—perfect for entertaining or everyday living. Enjoy peace of mind with HURRICANE IMPACT WINDOWS AND

Key facts

  • Large center island
  • Non flood zone
  • 0.25 acre lot

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTION HOMENON FLOOD ZONESTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLARGE CENTER ISLAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Non-gated community; No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Paved parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Cable available; Septic tank; Well water
  • Home design: Single-story; New construction; Faces north; Entry level 0
  • Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; New construction
  • Exterior features: Security/high impact doors; Room for pool; Open porch; Porch; South exposure; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Dual sinks
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Built-in features; Living/dining room; Pantry; Shower only; Separate shower; Walk-in closet(s); Split bedrooms; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Dryer hookup inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-506 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (29.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (36.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (36.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 786 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $300k implies a 1969% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $191,325 (36.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
4.27%
Cash-on-cash
-7.23%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
13.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$292,448
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4203 11th St SW 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,392 (-1%) 10mo $285,000 $205 76
4109 11th St SW 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,426 (+1%) 11mo $288,000 $202 71
4000 10th St SW 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,407 (+0%) 12mo $270,000 $192 64
812 Floyd Ave S 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,247 (-11%) 22mo $277,000 $222 58
58 Curtis Ave S 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,372 (-2%) 14mo $284,990 $208 53
101 Eric Ave N 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,536 (+9%) 8mo $360,000 $234 49
4208 17th St SW 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,272 (-10%) 19mo $275,000 $216 40
209 Gerald Ave N 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,272 (-10%) 13mo $252,000 $198 39
3914 9th St SW 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,491 (+6%) 23mo $349,999 $235 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$125,560
Equity at exit
$270,263
10-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
5.58×
Total profit
$385,037
Equity at exit
$582,832

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33976

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
786
Price-to-rent
13.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,913 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$319 /mo · $3,828/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$-506

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,553
Max offer price $210,648
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
610 Floyd Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 24d 1 0.10mi
4218 8th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,800 $1.28 24d 1 0.12mi
704 Gilbert Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1203 $1,475 $1.23 19d 1 0.24mi
716 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,595 $1.36 3d 1 0.28mi
1117 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,750 $1.50 21d 1 0.33mi
1105 Harold Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 988 $1,250 $1.27 24d 1 0.34mi
729 Harry Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,500 $1.33 24d 1 0.37mi
4307 2nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1843 $2,191 $1.19 3d 1 0.37mi
745 Harry Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,699 $1.42 10d 1 0.38mi
310 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,599 $1.37 24d 1 0.41mi
310 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,599 $1.37 3d 1 0.41mi
1113 Harry Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1180 $1,646 $1.39 3d 1 0.41mi
305 Harold Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,650 $1.40 16d 1 0.44mi
320 Harry Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1212 $1,550 $1.28 24d 1 0.46mi
124 Gilbert Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1532 $1,810 $1.18 24d 1 0.49mi
1502 Gretchen Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1270 $2,000 $1.57 3d 1 0.50mi
1110 Hightower Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1227 $1,325 $1.08 24d 1 0.50mi
227 Hightower Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 24d 1 0.53mi
119 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 1.0 1560 $1,395 $0.89 24d 1 0.54mi
4503 15th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 24d 1 0.54mi
136 Harry Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1133 $2,050 $1.81 24d 1 0.56mi
1504 Gary Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,660 $1.39 24d 1 0.56mi
1506 Gary Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,660 $1.39 24d 1 0.56mi
207 Hightower Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1151 $1,399 $1.22 3d 1 0.59mi
4005 12th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,610 $1.43 19d 1 0.59mi
210 Hightower Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1181 $1,295 $1.10 21d 1 0.59mi
4400 Douglas Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1172 $1,500 $1.28 19d 1 0.59mi
104 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1123 $1,300 $1.16 3d 1 0.61mi
104 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1123 $1,350 $1.20 24d 1 0.61mi
107 Harold Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,475 $1.32 14d 1 0.61mi
1509 Haviland Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 24d 1 0.62mi
1511 Haviland Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 24d 1 0.63mi
1113 Ivan Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1190 $1,800 $1.51 12d 1 0.64mi
4221 18th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,600 $1.62 14d 1 0.66mi
3820 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1841 $2,500 $1.36 12d 1 0.68mi
113 Hightower Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 21d 1 0.68mi
214 Ichabod Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,660 $1.39 3d 1 0.68mi
3818 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1422 $1,695 $1.19 24d 1 0.69mi
1544 Gretchen Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1221 $1,800 $1.47 24d 1 0.70mi
1130 Ivan Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 24d 1 0.70mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-05-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-12
    status Active
  3. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-30
    listed $299,999 Active
  5. 2025-12-09
    historical
  6. 2025-11-09
    price $299,890
  7. 2025-10-10
    listed $299,990 Active
  8. 2025-10-08
    historical
  9. 2025-08-11
    listed $303,999 Active
  10. 2025-06-30
    historical
  11. 2025-05-19
    price $332,400
  12. 2025-03-14
    listed $334,900 Active
  13. 2025-03-12
    historical
  14. 2024-10-19
    status Active
  15. 2024-10-19
    price $339,900
  16. 2024-10-18
    historical
  17. 2024-07-13
    listed $354,500 Active
  18. 2023-01-18
    soldstatus $14,500
  19. 2006-08-15
    soldstatus $31,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,828 · $319/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,828 · $319/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,959
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$3,828
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,837
− Management
−$1,837
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$11,575
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,778
After-tax cash flow
$-3,292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,277
Household income
$72,679
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
574.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.77%
Current HPI
340.4255
Rent YoY
▼ -1.54%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+852.4% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $299,999 FORTMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2025-11-09 Price Changed $299,890 FORTMLS
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $299,990 FORTMLS
  • 2025-10-08 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2025-08-11 Listed $303,999 FORTMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-05-19 Price Changed $332,400 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-03-14 Listed $334,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-03-12 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2024-10-19 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2024-10-19 Price Changed $339,900 FORTMLS
  • 2024-10-18 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2024-07-13 Listed $354,500 FORTMLS
  • 2023-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
  • 2006-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+43.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,828 · +381.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…