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21 Village West Ct #102
D Composite 42.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

21 Village West Ct #102 · Washington, MO 63090
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 794 sqft · Condo public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1984 $158/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Why continue renting when you can own? Make this inviting condo your new home! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath unit features a comfortable living room, a combined kitchen and dining area, and a convenient utility space. Located on the 1st floor, this condo offers both comfort, convenience, and value. Schedule your showing today! Additional opportunities include 5 individual condos in Village West and a full 6-unit building (MLS #26007623).

Key facts

  • $158 HOA
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1984

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: HOA: Village West; Monthly association fee of $158; HOA fee includes insurance; Association reports no amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Asphalt parking surface; No carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Single-phase electric; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Attached condominium; Residential property; Apartment building structure; One level
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; City street frontage; Asphalt road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; Ceiling fan(s); Central air
  • Laundry & utility: Electric heating with forced air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-99/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (1.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $92k (2.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.4% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#13 in MO, #1,373 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Washington (town): math 41% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #46 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Washington West Elementary (math 45% / reading 53%, grade D, #331 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 452 students, 40% FRL); Washington Middle (math 43% / reading 54%, grade C-, #81 of 391 statewide, top 21%, 551 students, 31% FRL); Washington High School (math 29% / reading 73%, grade D+, #109 of 521 statewide, top 21%, 1,322 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 203 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 614 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (100 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $95k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.37%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-15,855
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-14,223
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63090

Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$923 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $504/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$158
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$194
Net cashflow
$-8

Break-even live

Break-even rent $934
Max offer price $93,544
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $46 -5% $19 +0% $-8 +5% $-35 +10% $-62
Rent -10% $-81 -5% $-45 +0% $-8 +5% $28 +10% $65
Rate -1.0pp $40 -0.5pp $16 base $-8 +0.5pp $-33 +1.0pp $-58

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7 Village West Ct #101 Washington, MO 2.0 1.0 1125 $1,000 $0.89 45d 1 0.09mi
700 W 2nd St #252 Washington, MO 1.0 1.0 680 $795 $1.17 45d 1 0.29mi
221a Elm St Unit B Washington, MO 2.0 1.0 825 $700 $0.85 16d 1 0.42mi
1025 Don Ave Washington, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1150 $1,498 $1.30 0d 4 1.11mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$158 · $1,896/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-02-14
    listed $95,000 Active
  4. 2005-08-24
    soldstatus $47,500
  5. 2004-06-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$504 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$922 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$418/yr (+$35/mo · 82.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,081
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$504
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$887
− Management
−$887
− HOA
−$1,896
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable loss
−$1,652
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$396
After-tax cash flow
$297/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington
NCES district ID
2931110
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,344
Composite
41.87/100
National rank
#3372
State rank
#46 of 324 in MO

Livability — Washington

Score
81/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#1373

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Washington, MO
Population (ZIP)
22,471

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
103,600 people
By 2030
103,298 · -0.3%
By 2040
100,607 · -2.9%
By 2050
94,280 · -9.0%
By 2075
77,103 · -25.6%
By 2100
54,405 · -47.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.5% · R 72.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -12.4pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+27.9 2008: R+12.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.53%
Current HPI
175.3309
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-14 Listed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
  • 2004-06-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $504 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…