209 Baxter Ave NW · Huntsville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- ARV discount +4.0/15.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.4/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Completely remodeled and move in ready, this charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is packed w/ updates and modern finishes throughout! Recent improvements include fresh interior paint, new flooring, crown molding, new doors, updated kitchen w/ new cabinets & new countertops, stainless appliances inlcluding stainless fridge, updated bathroom w/ new vanity & tile backsplash accents! The exterior has been freshly painted & features a convenient carport along w/ a large covered front porch that is perfect for relaxing & enjoying the outdoors. Whether you are a first time home buyer looking for the perfect starter home or an investor searching for a great opportunity, this pro
Key facts
- Remodeled
- New doors
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Not new construction
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Lot in the Mollie Countess subdivision; Concrete driveway; Attached carport
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; 5 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-239/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (2.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (24.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $125k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Martin Luther King Jr Elementary School (math 4% / reading 18%, grade F, #560 of 627 statewide, top 90%, 464 students, 89% FRL); Chapman Middle School (math 2% / reading 23%, grade F, #216 of 257 statewide, top 86%, 368 students, 88% FRL); Lee High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #252 of 305 statewide, top 84%, 840 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 46% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Huntsville City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 560 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.52%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,114
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197 Baxter Ave NW | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 991 (-2%) | 11mo | $144,000 | $145 | 79 |
| 3006 Merry Oaks Dr NW | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,100 (+8%) | 4mo | $173,000 | $157 | 72 |
| 409 Max Luther Dr | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (-1%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $60 | 61 |
| 2616 Huntsville St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (-1%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $60 | 60 |
| 426 S Plymouth Rd NW | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 1,162 (+15%) | 10mo | $99,500 | $86 | 57 |
| 2409 Kildare St NW | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,030 (+2%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $150 | 55 |
| 2413 Kildare St NW | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 976 (-4%) | 8mo | $147,000 | $151 | 54 |
| 206 Delaware Cir NW | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,131 (+12%) | 11mo | $188,000 | $166 | 52 |
| 902 Mastin Lake Rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,082 (+7%) | 13mo | $235,000 | $217 | 52 |
| 414 S Plymouth Rd NW | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-11%) | 22mo | $110,000 | $122 | 50 |
| 3062 Boswell Dr NW | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,150 (+13%) | 1mo | $178,500 | $155 | 46 |
| 2603 Andrew Jackson Way NE | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,143 (+13%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $179 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-23,070
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $140
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35811
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 560
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,252 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $904/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $-20
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $73 | -5% $27 | +0% $-20 | +5% $-67 | +10% $-113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-119 | -5% $-69 | +0% $-20 | +5% $30 | +10% $79 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $63 | -0.5pp $22 | base $-20 | +0.5pp $-63 | +1.0pp $-106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 Laurel Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 203 N Plymouth Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $1,310 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2809 Academy Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 611 Ofallon Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $3,000 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 621 Murray Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,325 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2601 Academy Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,025 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3328 Meridian St N Apt 114 Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $600 | $0.75 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3330 Meridian St N Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $700 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 304 Wind Ave NW Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3606 Lakewood Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $1,400 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3707 Lakewood Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2115 Lee High Dr NE Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,245 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2219 Jonathan Dr NW Apt C Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2401 Mount Vernon Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,045 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3410 Elizabeth St NW Apt 7 Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $799 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3410 Elizabeth St NW Unit 2 Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2107 Epworth Dr NE Unit H Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 875 | $1,175 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4005 Memorial Pkwy NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2211 Penhall Dr NE Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1274 | $1,650 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1114 Oakwood Ave NE Unit A Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 415 Halsey Ave NE Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,760 | $2.15 | 14d | 20 | 1.12mi |
| 1107 England St NE Unit A Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1504 Oakwood Ave NE Apt 4 Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2640 Blue Spring Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 944 | $1,024 | $1.08 | 44d | 3 | 1.22mi |
| 2206 Harris Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1354 | $1,400 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1224 Halsey Ave NE Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1229 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1529 McKinley Ave NE Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,400 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2519 Birchfield St NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1125 | $1,195 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1503 Rison Ave NE Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,395 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3013 Kirkland Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1324 | $1,295 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1423 Stevens Ave NE Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,450 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2113 Norris Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1372 | $1,550 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1602 Rison Ave NE Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $1,750 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2212 Old Blue Spring Rd NW Unit B Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $870 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2212 Old Blue Spring Rd NW Unit A Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $970 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 512 Oshaughnessy Ave NE Unit A Huntsville, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1262 | $875 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1808 Oakwood Ave NE Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1511 Humes Ave NE Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,675 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $164,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $164,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $164,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-16$164,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $904 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $904 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$904
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,202
- − Management
- −$1,202
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$3,145
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$755
- After-tax cash flow
- $516/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntsville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101800
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,264
- Composite
- 28.84/100
- National rank
- #6647
- State rank
- #48 of 129 in AL
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntsville, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 220,435
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,008
- Household income
- $90,812
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 517.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.13%
- Current HPI
- 332.9423
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.81%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $164,900 VMLS
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2024): $904 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…