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209 Baxter Ave NW
D- Composite 38.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.4/10.0

$164,900

209 Baxter Ave NW · Huntsville, AL 35811
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,014 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1960 7,405 sqft lot Est $153k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Completely remodeled and move in ready, this charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is packed w/ updates and modern finishes throughout! Recent improvements include fresh interior paint, new flooring, crown molding, new doors, updated kitchen w/ new cabinets & new countertops, stainless appliances inlcluding stainless fridge, updated bathroom w/ new vanity & tile backsplash accents! The exterior has been freshly painted & features a convenient carport along w/ a large covered front porch that is perfect for relaxing & enjoying the outdoors. Whether you are a first time home buyer looking for the perfect starter home or an investor searching for a great opportunity, this pro

Key facts

  • Remodeled
  • New doors
  • New flooring

Tags

REMODELEDMODERN FINISHESFRESH INTERIOR PAINTNEW FLOORINGCROWN MOLDINGNEW DOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Not new construction
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Lot in the Mollie Countess subdivision; Concrete driveway; Attached carport

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-239/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (2.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (24.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Martin Luther King Jr Elementary School (math 4% / reading 18%, grade F, #560 of 627 statewide, top 90%, 464 students, 89% FRL); Chapman Middle School (math 2% / reading 23%, grade F, #216 of 257 statewide, top 86%, 368 students, 88% FRL); Lee High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #252 of 305 statewide, top 84%, 840 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 46% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Huntsville City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 560 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,169 (24.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.52%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$153,114
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
197 Baxter Ave NW 0.07mi 3/1.0 (+1) 991 (-2%) 11mo $144,000 $145 79
3006 Merry Oaks Dr NW 0.07mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,100 (+8%) 4mo $173,000 $157 72
409 Max Luther Dr 0.57mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-1%) 12mo $60,000 $60 61
2616 Huntsville St 0.59mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-1%) 12mo $60,000 $60 60
426 S Plymouth Rd NW 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,162 (+15%) 10mo $99,500 $86 57
2409 Kildare St NW 0.73mi 2/1.0 1,030 (+2%) 10mo $155,000 $150 55
2413 Kildare St NW 0.71mi 2/1.0 976 (-4%) 8mo $147,000 $151 54
206 Delaware Cir NW 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,131 (+12%) 11mo $188,000 $166 52
902 Mastin Lake Rd 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,082 (+7%) 13mo $235,000 $217 52
414 S Plymouth Rd NW 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (-11%) 22mo $110,000 $122 50
3062 Boswell Dr NW 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,150 (+13%) 1mo $178,500 $155 46
2603 Andrew Jackson Way NE 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,143 (+13%) 3mo $205,000 $179 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-23,070
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$140
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35811

Home prices YoY
-2.1%
Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
560
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,252 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $904/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$-20

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,277
Max offer price $161,379
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $73 -5% $27 +0% $-20 +5% $-67 +10% $-113
Rent -10% $-119 -5% $-69 +0% $-20 +5% $30 +10% $79
Rate -1.0pp $63 -0.5pp $22 base $-20 +0.5pp $-63 +1.0pp $-106

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
501 Laurel Dr NW Huntsville, AL 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 44d 1 0.24mi
203 N Plymouth Rd NW Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 796 $1,310 $1.65 14d 1 0.25mi
2809 Academy Dr NW Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.5 900 $950 $1.06 44d 1 0.28mi
611 Ofallon Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1350 $3,000 $2.22 24d 1 0.38mi
621 Murray Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,325 $1.31 14d 1 0.41mi
2601 Academy Dr NW Huntsville, AL 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 971 $1,025 $1.06 44d 1 0.43mi
3328 Meridian St N Apt 114 Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $600 $0.75 14d 1 0.47mi
3330 Meridian St N Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $700 $0.88 14d 1 0.50mi
304 Wind Ave NW Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 960 $1,095 $1.14 44d 1 0.63mi
3606 Lakewood Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1408 $1,400 $0.99 44d 1 0.63mi
3707 Lakewood Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.76mi
2115 Lee High Dr NE Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 870 $1,245 $1.43 14d 1 0.83mi
2219 Jonathan Dr NW Apt C Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.5 850 $850 $1.00 44d 1 0.86mi
2401 Mount Vernon Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,045 $1.10 44d 1 0.94mi
3410 Elizabeth St NW Apt 7 Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $799 $1.00 44d 1 0.95mi
3410 Elizabeth St NW Unit 2 Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 44d 1 0.95mi
2107 Epworth Dr NE Unit H Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.5 875 $1,175 $1.34 14d 1 1.06mi
4005 Memorial Pkwy NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,375 $1.25 44d 1 1.08mi
2211 Penhall Dr NE Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1274 $1,650 $1.30 44d 1 1.08mi
1114 Oakwood Ave NE Unit A Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 1000 $995 $0.99 14d 1 1.09mi
415 Halsey Ave NE Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0–2.0 818 $1,760 $2.15 14d 20 1.12mi
1107 England St NE Unit A Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 956 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 1.17mi
1504 Oakwood Ave NE Apt 4 Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $995 $1.24 44d 1 1.20mi
2640 Blue Spring Rd NW Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 944 $1,024 $1.08 44d 3 1.22mi
2206 Harris Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1354 $1,400 $1.03 44d 1 1.23mi
1224 Halsey Ave NE Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1229 $2,000 $1.63 24d 1 1.24mi
1529 McKinley Ave NE Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 884 $1,400 $1.58 44d 1 1.25mi
2519 Birchfield St NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1125 $1,195 $1.06 44d 1 1.26mi
1503 Rison Ave NE Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 1070 $1,395 $1.30 44d 1 1.35mi
3013 Kirkland Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1324 $1,295 $0.98 44d 1 1.40mi
1423 Stevens Ave NE Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 1020 $1,450 $1.42 44d 1 1.40mi
2113 Norris Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1372 $1,550 $1.13 44d 1 1.41mi
1602 Rison Ave NE Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1422 $1,750 $1.23 14d 1 1.41mi
2212 Old Blue Spring Rd NW Unit B Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 759 $870 $1.15 24d 1 1.43mi
2212 Old Blue Spring Rd NW Unit A Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 970 $970 $1.00 24d 1 1.43mi
512 Oshaughnessy Ave NE Unit A Huntsville, AL 1.0 1.0 1262 $875 $0.69 44d 1 1.47mi
1808 Oakwood Ave NE Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 1.48mi
1511 Humes Ave NE Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1053 $1,675 $1.59 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $164,900 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $164,900 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $164,900 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $164,900 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $164,900 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $164,900 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $164,900 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $164,900 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $164,900 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $164,900 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $164,900 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $164,900 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,900 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $164,900 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-05-16
    listed $164,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$904 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$904 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,020
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$904
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,202
− Management
−$1,202
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable loss
−$3,145
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$755
After-tax cash flow
$516/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntsville City
NCES district ID
0101800
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$48,264
Composite
28.84/100
National rank
#6647
State rank
#48 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntsville, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
31,008
Household income
$90,812
Rent vs Own
22.4% rent · 77.6% own
Severe rent burden
517.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.13%
Current HPI
332.9423
Rent YoY
▲ 6.81%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $164,900 VMLS

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $904 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…