9-Plex
101 W Main St · Mount Joy, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 9 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Completely revitalized and ready for its next chapter, this 9-unit apartment community presents an exceptional opportunity to acquire a great multifamily asset in one of Lancaster County's more desirable rental markets. The property consists of two buildings featuring a mix of spacious apartments, including seven, 1-bedroom units and two, 3-bedroom units, offering an attractive blend of affordability and family-oriented housing. Following extensive renovations and structural improvements, the property is well positioned for great long-term performance. All units except one feature updated finishes and modernized interiors, while the overall improvements significantly reduce deferred mainten
Key facts
- Updated finishes
- Modernized interiors
- Two buildings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 9 × 13-bed/9.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.25M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($78k/yr) — positive. Per door: $724/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $1.25M).
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 2.6% in Mount Joy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#59 in PA, #410 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D.
- Donegal SD (rural): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #251 of 539 in PA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Donegal Primary School (570 students, 45% FRL); Donegal Jhs (math 26% / reading 53%, grade F, #268 of 512 statewide, top 53%, 457 students, 49% FRL); Donegal Hs (math 62% / reading 30%, grade D-, #178 of 437 statewide, top 42%, 930 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 30% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $19,185/mo this rent would consume 236% of the median local household income ($98k/yr) (locally 429% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $38k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $350k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 56% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1840 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1840 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.35%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $212,850
- Equity at exit
- $186,379
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $721,049
- Equity at exit
- $108,077
Cash invested: $350,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17552
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 48.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $19,185 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,555
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,562 /mo · $18,750/yr
- Insurance
- −$521
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,029
- Net cashflow
- $6,518
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $7,382 | -5% $6,950 | +0% $6,518 | +5% $6,086 | +10% $5,654 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $5,002 | -5% $5,760 | +0% $6,518 | +5% $7,275 | +10% $8,033 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $7,147 | -0.5pp $6,836 | base $6,518 | +0.5pp $6,194 | +1.0pp $5,864 |
9-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9× units | 13 | 9 | $19,188 |
| #1 | 13 | 9 | $2,132 |
| #2 | 13 | 9 | $2,132 |
| #3 | 13 | 9 | $2,132 |
| #4 | 13 | 9 | $2,132 |
| #5 | 13 | 9 | $2,132 |
| #6 | 13 | 9 | $2,132 |
| #7 | 13 | 9 | $2,132 |
| #8 | 13 | 9 | $2,132 |
| #9 | 13 | 9 | $2,132 |
| Total (9 units) | $19,185 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $312,500
- Closing costs
- $37,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,250,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,250,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,250,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,250,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1,250,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricestatusdays on market $1,250,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-01-12status Pending
-
2025-07-18historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-06-12price $675,000
-
2025-06-02price $690,000
-
2025-05-01price $710,000
-
2025-04-20price $750,000
-
2025-04-09$799,000 Active
-
2025-04-09historical
-
2025-04-02price $830,000
-
2025-03-08price $890,000
-
2025-03-04price $919,000
-
2025-02-10$939,999 Active
-
2025-02-10historical
-
2024-09-20historical $950
-
2024-09-12$950
-
2024-09-09historical $950
-
2024-09-07$950
-
2024-06-05historical $900
-
2024-05-30$900
-
2023-07-05historical $875
-
2022-02-07price $875
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $230,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$70,019
- − Property taxes
- −$18,750
- − Insurance
- −$6,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$18,418
- − Management
- −$18,418
- − Depreciation
- −$36,364
- Taxable income
- $62,002
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$14,880
- After-tax cash flow
- $63,332/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Donegal SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207650
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,514
- Composite
- 39.56/100
- National rank
- #3935
- State rank
- #251 of 539 in PA
Livability — Mount Joy
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #410
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Joy, PA
- County
- Lancaster County · 390,309 people
- City population
- 19,761
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,761
- Household income
- $97,683
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 429.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.72%
- Current HPI
- 260.7061
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-28.2% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-12 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-18 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-12 Price Changed $675,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-02 Price Changed $690,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-01 Price Changed $710,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-04-20 Price Changed $750,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-04-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-04-09 Listed $799,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-04-02 Price Changed $830,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-08 Price Changed $890,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-04 Price Changed $919,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-02-10 Listed $939,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-02-10 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-20 Rental Removed $950 LEASESTAR
- 2024-09-12 Listed for Rent $950 LEASESTAR
- 2024-09-09 Rental Removed $950 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-09-07 Listed for Rent $950 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-06-05 Rental Removed $900 LEASESTAR
- 2024-05-30 Listed for Rent $900 LEASESTAR
- 2023-07-05 Rental Removed $875 LEASESTAR
- 2022-02-07 Price Changed $875 RENT.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…