8 Caren Dr · Irondequoit, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
"EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY". With a little bit of love this could be the first of your many homes. Please remember - this property is being sold in "AS-IS CONDITION" - no repairs will be made under any circumstances. AGENTS Access: E-lockbox on front-door; check the website listed in private remarks for deadlines, availability & buyer type; do not call to show, if you have questions send an email to the listing broker will respond within 8 to 24 hours; if you need help with registration or navigating HUD's website, please call while at your computer. Agents MUST SIGN-IN. Priced below assessm't
Key facts
- Huge deck
- Granite countertops
- 8,276 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric service (implied)
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Full basement with sump pump
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (70 x 120)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Pantry; Galley kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: Total rooms include living and family rooms (7 total rooms); Basement present (see Basement under Interior features)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Galley kitchen; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-209 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (16.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in NY, #1,414 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F.
- East Irondequoit Central School District (suburban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #475 of 590 in NY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $219k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.09%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $254,500
- List price
- $219,000
- Delta
- -13.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268 Angelus Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,463 (+5%) | 0mo | $251,202 | $172 | 86 |
| 2820 Culver Rd | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,362 (-2%) | 2mo | $250,350 | $184 | 81 |
| 54 Ransford Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,368 (-2%) | 2mo | $287,000 | $210 | 78 |
| 28 Heberle Rd | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,397 (+0%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $136 | 76 |
| 264 Heberle Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,382 (-1%) | 6mo | $179,600 | $130 | 74 |
| 59 Angelus Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,286 (-8%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $257 | 72 |
| 1145 Whitlock Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,472 (+6%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $163 | 69 |
| 2550 Norton St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,396 (+0%) | 1mo | $218,000 | $156 | 65 |
| 49 Vinton Rd | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,475 (+6%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $169 | 61 |
| 276 Wahl Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,223 (-12%) | 2mo | $314,700 | $257 | 56 |
| 15 Kennedy Cir | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (-14%) | 6mo | $232,500 | $195 | 46 |
| 188 Vinedale Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $225 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-48,603
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-58,710
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14622
- Home prices YoY
- -8.1%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,963 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$520 /mo · $6,235/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $-209
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Hulda Park Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 3759 | $782 | $0.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2389 E Ridge Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 871 | $1,515 | $1.74 | 3d | 12 | 0.34mi |
| 2519 Culver Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 10d | 4 | 0.51mi |
| 2450 Culver Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $2,400 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 149 Brookdale Park Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1543 | $2,950 | $1.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2 Kings Ct Way Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 999 | $1,615 | $1.62 | 3d | 8 | 1.13mi |
| 36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,675 | $1.68 | 44d | 3 | 1.16mi |
| 36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 930 | $2,005 | $2.16 | 3d | 9 | 1.16mi |
| 59 Clark Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $1,800 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 95 Onondaga Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,630 | $1.98 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 32 Portland Pkwy Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,485 | $2.28 | 3d | 8 | 1.42mi |
| 326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15status $219,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Pending 939-char remark
-
2026-05-08historical Active Under Contract 939-char remark
-
2026-04-30$219,000 Active 939-char remark
-
2016-07-29soldstatus $65,252 Closed Sale or Rented 626-char remark
Show marketing remark (626 chars)
"EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY". With a little bit of love this could be the first of your many homes. Please remember - this property is being sold in "AS-IS CONDITION" - no repairs will be made under any circumstances. AGENTS Access: E-lockbox on front-door; check the website listed in private remarks for deadlines, availability & buyer type; do not call to show, if you have questions send an email to the listing broker will respond within 8 to 24 hours; if you need help with registration or navigating HUD's website, please call while at your computer. Agents MUST SIGN-IN. Priced below assessm't
-
2016-06-25status Pending Sale 626-char remark
Show marketing remark (626 chars)
"EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY". With a little bit of love this could be the first of your many homes. Please remember - this property is being sold in "AS-IS CONDITION" - no repairs will be made under any circumstances. AGENTS Access: E-lockbox on front-door; check the website listed in private remarks for deadlines, availability & buyer type; do not call to show, if you have questions send an email to the listing broker will respond within 8 to 24 hours; if you need help with registration or navigating HUD's website, please call while at your computer. Agents MUST SIGN-IN. Priced below assessm't
-
2016-06-09$70,000 Active 626-char remark
Show marketing remark (626 chars)
"EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY". With a little bit of love this could be the first of your many homes. Please remember - this property is being sold in "AS-IS CONDITION" - no repairs will be made under any circumstances. AGENTS Access: E-lockbox on front-door; check the website listed in private remarks for deadlines, availability & buyer type; do not call to show, if you have questions send an email to the listing broker will respond within 8 to 24 hours; if you need help with registration or navigating HUD's website, please call while at your computer. Agents MUST SIGN-IN. Priced below assessm't
-
2008-05-30soldstatus $104,000
-
2002-05-31soldstatus $82,500
-
2002-03-06soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,235 · $520/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,235 · $520/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,552
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$6,235
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,884
- − Management
- −$1,884
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$6,184
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,484
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,021/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Irondequoit Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609690
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,946
- Composite
- 37.27/100
- National rank
- #4451
- State rank
- #475 of 590 in NY
Livability — Irondequoit
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #1414
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Irondequoit, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 74,252
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,574
- Household income
- $75,439
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 240.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.93%
- Current HPI
- 271.5626
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+313.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-15 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $219,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $65,252 UNYREIS
- 2016-06-25 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2016-06-09 Listed $70,000 UNYREIS
- 2008-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
- 2002-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 2002-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,235 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…