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8 Caren Dr
D Composite 40.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,000

8 Caren Dr · Irondequoit, NY 14622
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1956 8,276 sqft lot $157/sqft · 14% below area Est $254k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

"EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY". With a little bit of love this could be the first of your many homes. Please remember - this property is being sold in "AS-IS CONDITION" - no repairs will be made under any circumstances. AGENTS Access: E-lockbox on front-door; check the website listed in private remarks for deadlines, availability & buyer type; do not call to show, if you have questions send an email to the listing broker will respond within 8 to 24 hours; if you need help with registration or navigating HUD's website, please call while at your computer. Agents MUST SIGN-IN. Priced below assessm't

Key facts

  • Huge deck
  • Granite countertops
  • 8,276 sq ft lot

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSHUGE DECKWALKING DISTANCE TO WEGMANS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric service (implied)
  • Home design: Single-story home; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Full basement with sump pump
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (70 x 120)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Pantry; Galley kitchen layout
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms include living and family rooms (7 total rooms); Basement present (see Basement under Interior features)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Galley kitchen; Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $219k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-209 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (16.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (10.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in NY, #1,414 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F.
  • East Irondequoit Central School District (suburban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #475 of 590 in NY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $219k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $182,121 (16.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
5.15%
Cash-on-cash
-4.09%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$254,500
List price
$219,000
Delta
-13.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
268 Angelus Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,463 (+5%) 0mo $251,202 $172 86
2820 Culver Rd 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,362 (-2%) 2mo $250,350 $184 81
54 Ransford Ave 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,368 (-2%) 2mo $287,000 $210 78
28 Heberle Rd 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,397 (+0%) 3mo $190,000 $136 76
264 Heberle Rd 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,382 (-1%) 6mo $179,600 $130 74
59 Angelus Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,286 (-8%) 2mo $330,000 $257 72
1145 Whitlock Rd 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,472 (+6%) 5mo $240,000 $163 69
2550 Norton St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,396 (+0%) 1mo $218,000 $156 65
49 Vinton Rd 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,475 (+6%) 5mo $250,000 $169 61
276 Wahl Rd 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,223 (-12%) 2mo $314,700 $257 56
15 Kennedy Cir 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,190 (-14%) 6mo $232,500 $195 46
188 Vinedale Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-14%) 1mo $270,000 $225 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.1%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-48,603
Equity at exit
$32,654
10-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.04×
Total profit
$-58,710
Equity at exit
$18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14622

Home prices YoY
-8.1%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,963 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax from tax record
$520 /mo · $6,235/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$-209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,227
Max offer price $182,121
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Hulda Park Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 3759 $782 $0.21 21d 1 0.28mi
2389 E Ridge Rd Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 871 $1,515 $1.74 3d 12 0.34mi
2519 Culver Rd Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,395 $1.74 10d 4 0.51mi
2450 Culver Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1380 $2,400 $1.74 3d 1 0.56mi
149 Brookdale Park Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1543 $2,950 $1.91 21d 1 0.57mi
2 Kings Ct Way Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 999 $1,615 $1.62 3d 8 1.13mi
36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY 2.0 1.0–1.5 1000 $1,675 $1.68 44d 3 1.16mi
36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 930 $2,005 $2.16 3d 9 1.16mi
59 Clark Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1728 $1,800 $1.04 3d 1 1.17mi
95 Onondaga Rd Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,630 $1.98 3d 1 1.38mi
32 Portland Pkwy Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 652 $1,485 $2.28 3d 8 1.42mi
326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,500 $1.28 3d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    status $219,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 939-char remark
  6. 2026-05-08
    historical Active Under Contract 939-char remark
  7. 2026-04-30
    listed $219,000 Active 939-char remark
  8. 2016-07-29
    soldstatus $65,252 Closed Sale or Rented 626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    "EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY". With a little bit of love this could be the first of your many homes. Please remember - this property is being sold in "AS-IS CONDITION" - no repairs will be made under any circumstances. AGENTS Access: E-lockbox on front-door; check the website listed in private remarks for deadlines, availability & buyer type; do not call to show, if you have questions send an email to the listing broker will respond within 8 to 24 hours; if you need help with registration or navigating HUD's website, please call while at your computer. Agents MUST SIGN-IN. Priced below assessm't

  9. 2016-06-25
    status Pending Sale 626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    "EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY". With a little bit of love this could be the first of your many homes. Please remember - this property is being sold in "AS-IS CONDITION" - no repairs will be made under any circumstances. AGENTS Access: E-lockbox on front-door; check the website listed in private remarks for deadlines, availability & buyer type; do not call to show, if you have questions send an email to the listing broker will respond within 8 to 24 hours; if you need help with registration or navigating HUD's website, please call while at your computer. Agents MUST SIGN-IN. Priced below assessm't

  10. 2016-06-09
    listed $70,000 Active 626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    "EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY". With a little bit of love this could be the first of your many homes. Please remember - this property is being sold in "AS-IS CONDITION" - no repairs will be made under any circumstances. AGENTS Access: E-lockbox on front-door; check the website listed in private remarks for deadlines, availability & buyer type; do not call to show, if you have questions send an email to the listing broker will respond within 8 to 24 hours; if you need help with registration or navigating HUD's website, please call while at your computer. Agents MUST SIGN-IN. Priced below assessm't

  11. 2008-05-30
    soldstatus $104,000
  12. 2002-05-31
    soldstatus $82,500
  13. 2002-03-06
    soldstatus $53,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,235 · $520/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,235 · $520/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,552
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$6,235
− Insurance
−$1,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,884
− Management
−$1,884
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable loss
−$6,184
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,484
After-tax cash flow
$-1,021/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Irondequoit Central School District
NCES district ID
3609690
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$48,946
Composite
37.27/100
National rank
#4451
State rank
#475 of 590 in NY

Livability — Irondequoit

Score
81/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#1414

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Irondequoit, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
74,252
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,574
Household income
$75,439
Rent vs Own
18.9% rent · 81.1% own
Severe rent burden
240.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.93%
Current HPI
271.5626
Rent YoY
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+313.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-08 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $219,000 UNYREIS
  • 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $65,252 UNYREIS
  • 2016-06-25 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2016-06-09 Listed $70,000 UNYREIS
  • 2008-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
  • 2002-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
  • 2002-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,235 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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