4801 Thistle Way · Jonesboro, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, offering 1,878 square feet of comfortable living space in the desirable Griffin Park community. Located in the highly sought-after Valley View School District, this property is perfect for families and professionals alike. Step inside to find a bright, inviting interior with freshly painted kitchen cabinets and brand-new appliances, making meal prep a joy. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating an ideal space for entertaining or family gatherings. The exterior boasts a brand-new fence, providing both privacy and a secure space for outdoor activities. With its modern updates and prime location, this home is move-in ready and waiting for you to make it your own. Don't miss out on this gem in Griffin Park! Schedule a showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.
Key facts
- Screened-in porch
- Split floor plan
- Primary suite
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 1,878 square feet; Approximately 0.25 acre lot
- Financial info: Cash financing available
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Brick and metal/vinyl siding exterior
- Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Front/back porch; Wood fence; Paved road access; Sloped lot; Located inside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Electric range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Ceiling fans; Breakfast bar; Fireplace (see remarks); Laundry room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-586/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (3.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (22.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Valley View School District (rural): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #4 of 238 in AR (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Valley View Elementary School (758 students, 33% FRL); Valley View Junior High School (math 54% / reading 65%, grade B, #12 of 201 statewide, top 6%, 712 students, 25% FRL); Valley View High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #38 of 292 statewide, top 14%, 631 students, 22% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 309 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.76%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $278,681
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -1.32%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2112 Quarry Cv | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,903 (+1%) | 0mo | $270,000 | $142 | 86 |
| 4909 Rockport Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,900 (+1%) | 3mo | $289,900 | $153 | 75 |
| 2100 Rockwood Cv | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,909 (+2%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $144 | 73 |
| 1013 Mark Cir | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,735 (-8%) | 1mo | $329,900 | $190 | 70 |
| 1061 Mark Cir | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,695 (-10%) | 1mo | $289,900 | $171 | 68 |
| 3121 Sistine Chapel Cir | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,643 (-12%) | 2mo | $279,900 | $170 | 67 |
| 2272 Sistine Chapel | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,688 (-10%) | 4mo | $279,900 | $166 | 66 |
| 2108 Luke Cv | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,697 (-10%) | 2mo | $282,900 | $167 | 64 |
| 1065 Mark Cir | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,662 (-12%) | 3mo | $279,900 | $168 | 62 |
| 1993 Windy Ln | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,001 (+6%) | 2mo | $352,000 | $176 | 61 |
| 2105 Luke Cv | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,601 (-15%) | 2mo | $279,900 | $175 | 57 |
| 5036 Rockport Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 2,074 (+10%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $169 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-52,464
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-68,486
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72404
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 309
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,119 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,994/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $-49
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $107 | -5% $29 | +0% $-49 | +5% $-127 | +10% $-205 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-216 | -5% $-133 | +0% $-49 | +5% $35 | +10% $119 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $90 | -0.5pp $21 | base $-49 | +0.5pp $-120 | +1.0pp $-193 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5303 Southwest Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2064 | $2,000 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5707 Pope St Jonesboro, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,750 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-04status Under Contract 758-char remark
-
2026-04-28$275,000 New Listing 758-char remark
-
2025-01-30soldstatus $260,000
-
2025-01-24soldstatus $260,000 Closed 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, offering 1,878 square feet of comfortable living space in the desirable Griffin Park community. Located in the highly sought-after Valley View School District, this property is perfect for families and professionals alike. Step inside to find a bright, inviting interior with freshly painted kitchen cabinets and brand-new appliances, making meal prep a joy. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating an ideal space for entertaining or family gatherings. The exterior boasts a brand-new fence, providing both privacy and a secure space for outdoor activities. With its modern updates and prime location, this home is move-in ready and waiting for you to make it your own. Don't miss out on this gem in Griffin Park! Schedule a showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.
-
2025-01-24soldstatus $260,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, offering 1,878 square feet of comfortable living space in the desirable Griffin Park community. Located in the highly sought-after Valley View School District, this property is perfect for families and professionals alike. Step inside to find a bright, inviting interior with freshly painted kitchen cabinets and brand-new appliances, making meal prep a joy. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating an ideal space for entertaining or family gatherings. The exterior boasts a brand-new fence, providing both privacy and a secure space for outdoor activities. With its modern updates and prime location, this home is move-in ready and waiting for you to make it your own. Don't miss out on this gem in Griffin Park! Schedule a showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.
-
2024-12-24historical 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, offering 1,878 square feet of comfortable living space in the desirable Griffin Park community. Located in the highly sought-after Valley View School District, this property is perfect for families and professionals alike. Step inside to find a bright, inviting interior with freshly painted kitchen cabinets and brand-new appliances, making meal prep a joy. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating an ideal space for entertaining or family gatherings. The exterior boasts a brand-new fence, providing both privacy and a secure space for outdoor activities. With its modern updates and prime location, this home is move-in ready and waiting for you to make it your own. Don't miss out on this gem in Griffin Park! Schedule a showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.
-
2024-12-23status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, offering 1,878 square feet of comfortable living space in the desirable Griffin Park community. Located in the highly sought-after Valley View School District, this property is perfect for families and professionals alike. Step inside to find a bright, inviting interior with freshly painted kitchen cabinets and brand-new appliances, making meal prep a joy. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating an ideal space for entertaining or family gatherings. The exterior boasts a brand-new fence, providing both privacy and a secure space for outdoor activities. With its modern updates and prime location, this home is move-in ready and waiting for you to make it your own. Don't miss out on this gem in Griffin Park! Schedule a showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.
-
2024-11-18$279,000 Active 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, offering 1,878 square feet of comfortable living space in the desirable Griffin Park community. Located in the highly sought-after Valley View School District, this property is perfect for families and professionals alike. Step inside to find a bright, inviting interior with freshly painted kitchen cabinets and brand-new appliances, making meal prep a joy. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating an ideal space for entertaining or family gatherings. The exterior boasts a brand-new fence, providing both privacy and a secure space for outdoor activities. With its modern updates and prime location, this home is move-in ready and waiting for you to make it your own. Don't miss out on this gem in Griffin Park! Schedule a showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.
-
2024-11-18$279,900 New Listing
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, offering 1,878 square feet of comfortable living space in the desirable Griffin Park community. Located in the highly sought-after Valley View School District, this property is perfect for families and professionals alike. Step inside to find a bright, inviting interior with freshly painted kitchen cabinets and brand-new appliances, making meal prep a joy. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating an ideal space for entertaining or family gatherings. The exterior boasts a brand-new fence, providing both privacy and a secure space for outdoor activities. With its modern updates and prime location, this home is move-in ready and waiting for you to make it your own. Don't miss out on this gem in Griffin Park! Schedule a showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.
-
2012-07-06soldstatus $180,000
-
2009-03-24soldstatus $160,000
-
2008-08-14soldstatus $52,000
-
2008-08-14soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,994 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,994 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,428
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$1,994
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,034
- − Management
- −$2,034
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$5,414
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,299
- After-tax cash flow
- $713/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valley View School District
- NCES district ID
- 0513380
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,148
- Composite
- 51.78/100
- National rank
- #1672
- State rank
- #4 of 238 in AR
Livability — Jonesboro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #12692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jonesboro, AR
- County
- Craighead County · 97,185 people
- City population
- 91,245
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,968
- Household income
- $70,269
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 869.0
Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,235 people
- By 2030
- 131,338 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 149,862 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 168,034 · +37.5%
- By 2075
- 208,094 · +70.2%
- By 2100
- 233,251 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 18% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Craighead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.22%
- Current HPI
- 208.3772
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.74%
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+428.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $275,000 CARMLS
- 2025-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
- 2025-01-24 Sold (MLS) $260,000 CARMLS
- 2025-01-24 Sold (MLS) $260,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2024-12-24 Delisted — NEABOR MLS
- 2024-12-23 Pending — CARMLS
- 2024-11-18 Listed $279,900 CARMLS
- 2024-11-18 Listed $279,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2012-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2009-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,994 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…