354 Calhoun Ave · Calumet City, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$117,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3 bedroom 1.5 bath brick bungalow offering 1,260 square feet of comfortable living space and endless potential! This solid home features a classic brick exterior, a functional layout, and a spacious full basement. This area is perfect for additional storage or future finishing. The two-car garage provides ample parking and convenience. With just a little TLC, this property is an excellent opportunity to build equity and make it your own. Do not miss the chance to transform this gem into something truly special! Make your offer today! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property.
Key facts
- Brick bungalow
- Two-car garage
- 5,120 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $117k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $831 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $117k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.43%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,060
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 372 Bensley Ave | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,250 (-1%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $188 | 87 |
| 288 Calhoun Ave | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (0%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $171 | 84 |
| 453 Hoxie Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,304 (+4%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $150 | 83 |
| 412 Saginaw Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,314 (+4%) | 4mo | $171,000 | $130 | 79 |
| 494 Oglesby Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,252 (-1%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $196 | 71 |
| 286 Calhoun Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+13%) | 3mo | $203,000 | $143 | 66 |
| 665 Hoxie Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,264 (+0%) | 2mo | $188,000 | $149 | 64 |
| 651 Bensley Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,277 (+1%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $184 | 64 |
| 317 Madison Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-9%) | 3mo | $67,200 | $58 | 51 |
| 1060 Lucas St | 0.61mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,337 (+6%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $202 | 50 |
| 591 Paxton Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,340 (+6%) | 3mo | $261,000 | $195 | 49 |
| 1225 Memorial Dr | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,303 (+3%) | 5mo | $235,700 | $181 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $40,808
- Equity at exit
- $17,445
- IRR
- 37.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.08×
- Total profit
- $133,695
- Equity at exit
- $10,116
Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60409
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,075 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$614
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$146 /mo · $1,755/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $831
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,250
- Closing costs
- $3,510
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 Yates Ave Unit 1616 Dolton 1E Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,465 | $1.67 | 7d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 14518 S Hoxie Ave Chicago, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $2,450 | $2.17 | 1d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 19d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 12d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2605 E Martha Pl Chicago, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $1,860 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $2,300 | $2.36 | 1d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1860 State St Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 409 Madison Ave Unit 2 Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2790 E State St Apt 2E Burnham, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 671 Saginaw Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,276 | $1.82 | 10d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 659 Paxton Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $2,461 | $1.96 | 10d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 660 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 15400 Merrill Ave South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $3,330 | $2.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 10d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 6d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1429 Kasten Dr Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-03-27price $117,000
-
2026-02-26$123,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,554
- − Property taxes
- −$1,755
- − Insurance
- −$585
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,992
- − Management
- −$1,992
- − Depreciation
- −$3,404
- Taxable income
- $8,619
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,068
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,900/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Calumet City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #6552
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calumet City, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 35,100
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,100
- Household income
- $55,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2415.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.01%
- Current HPI
- 197.2137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-4.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $117,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Listed $123,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…