401 E College St · Kewanee, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2-3-bedroom, ranch style home in Wethersfield. This home features a functional layout, spacious living areas and an attached 1 car garage. Situated on a desirable corner lot, the property includes a back yard patio.
Key facts
- Back yard patio
- Ranch style home
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One story
- Construction: Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Built before 1978; Asphalt roof; Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 90 x 90
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main level, 17 x 12); Bedroom 2 (Main level, 15 x 11); Additional bedrooms listed
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Bonus room (10 x 10); Living room (17 x 21); Family room; Dining room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#409 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Wethersfield CUSD 230 (town): math 16% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #391 of 620 in IL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.95%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-2,595
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $13,214
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61443
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,034 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,447/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $188
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $239 | -5% $213 | +0% $188 | +5% $162 | +10% $137 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $106 | -5% $147 | +0% $188 | +5% $229 | +10% $269 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $233 | -0.5pp $211 | base $188 | +0.5pp $164 | +1.0pp $141 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $89,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$95,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,447 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,744 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$297/yr (+$25/mo · 20.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,413
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,447
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$993
- − Management
- −$993
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $879
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$211
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,041/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wethersfield CUSD 230
- NCES district ID
- 1742060
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,899
- Composite
- 19.29/100
- National rank
- #8800
- State rank
- #391 of 620 in IL
Livability — Kewanee
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #409
- US rank
- #8423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kewanee, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,529
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,376 people
- By 2030
- 45,920 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 42,829 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 39,606 · -16.4%
- By 2075
- 31,848 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 23,503 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% English 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.5 2020: R+21.4 2016: R+21.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+7.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.32%
- Current HPI
- 121.8672
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,447 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…