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3995 Victory Ave
C Composite 57.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

3995 Victory Ave · Canton, OH 44641
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1990 1.08 ac lot Est $220k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offering 1,456 sq ft of comfortable, single-level living in desirable Louisville! Situated on a spacious lot of over 1 acre, this home features an open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The inviting living area flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining space, creating a bright and airy feel throughout. The private owner’s suite includes its own full bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. A 2-car garage offers ample storage and convenience. Enjoy peaceful surroundings with room to roam, all while being just minutes from shopping, dining, and major ro

Key facts

  • Private owners suite
  • Spacious lot
  • Open-concept layout

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTPRIVATE OWNERS SUITESPACIOUS LOTPEACEFUL SURROUNDINGSMINUTES FROM SHOPPINGLOUISVILLE SCHOOL DISTRICT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener; Drive-through access
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Well water
  • Home design: Single-story home; Block foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built per public records
  • Exterior features: Lot of approximately 1.08 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement with sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (12.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.1% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#441 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Louisville City (suburban): math 67% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #162 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $149,118 (12.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.23%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$219,856
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3995 Victory Ave 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,456 (0%) 1mo $167,000 $115 100
3843 Victory Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+7%) 11mo $72,000 $46 72
5149 Francesca St NE 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,452 (-0%) 5mo $279,900 $193 60
4095 Homeland Ave NE 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,652 (+14%) 12mo $209,000 $127 57
2831 Long Ave NE 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,526 (+5%) 18mo $170,000 $111 54
4034 Broadway Ave NE 0.49mi 3/3.0 1,624 (+12%) 3mo $245,000 $151 51
4661 Eastland Ave 0.71mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,501 (+3%) 9mo $267,900 $178 47
5151 Peach St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,440 (-1%) 22mo $221,651 $154 47
5783 Louisville St NE 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-14%) 4mo $227,500 $182 38
4241 Addison Ave 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,288 (-12%) 9mo $230,000 $179 36
4128 27th Ter NE 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-11%) 20mo $32,000 $25 35
5425 Lesh St 0.53mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,290 (-11%) 19mo $195,000 $151 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-15,466
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$13,934
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44641

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,491 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,057/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,329
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3045 Daleford Ave NE Canton, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,059 $0.81 21d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-21
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-15
    status Pending
  4. 2026-04-10
    listed $169,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,057 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,854 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$797/yr (+$66/mo · 75.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,894
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,057
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,432
− Management
−$1,432
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$1,335
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$320
After-tax cash flow
$1,859/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Louisville City
NCES district ID
3904987
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$54,455
Composite
58.54/100
National rank
#992
State rank
#162 of 656 in OH

Livability — Canton

Score
71/100
State rank
#441
US rank
#7259

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Stark County · 272,865 people
City population
103,614
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
Population (ZIP)
20,031
Household income
$80,303
Rent vs Own
23.5% rent · 76.5% own
Severe rent burden
344.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
373,708 people
By 2030
371,245 · -0.7%
By 2040
361,331 · -3.3%
By 2050
345,290 · -7.6%
By 2075
302,669 · -19.0%
By 2100
238,870 · -36.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Lithuanian 5% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -203.38%
Current HPI
214.6849
Rent YoY
▲ 5.57%
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-15 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $169,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,057 · +338.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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