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602 Third St St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 43.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$995

602 Third St St · Marble Falls, TX 78654
None bd · None ba · 740 sqft · MultiFamily · 62 Days on market
Built 1972 436 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath Riverbend Apartment nestled in a quiet and charming community in Marble Falls. This inviting unit features a comfortable and functional layout with abundant natural light and a warm, welcoming feel. Residents enjoy access to an on-site laundry facility reserved exclusively for tenants, as well as designated parking. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities, this property offers both comfort and convenience. No need to pay the City utility deposit when you pay the $55 per month additional charge directly to the landlord for the water-sewer & trash for your unit. Move-in ready and available for immediate occupancy. Sorry - NO DOGS allowed; 1 Cat considered with deposit. $995.00 per month; 1 Year Lease!

Key facts

  • Designated parking
  • Quiet community
  • Built 1972

Tags

ON-SITE LAUNDRY FACILITYDESIGNATED PARKINGQUIET COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $995 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a multifamily listed at $995.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $995).
  • Recommended offer: $935 (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 2265.6% vs local median 3.8% in Marble Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, schools D, employment D.
  • Marble Falls ISD (town): math 32% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #511 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 764 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 891 units permitted in Burnet County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burnet County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $279 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($935) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $935 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
239.20%
Cap rate
2265.58%
Cash-on-cash
8068.87%
DSCR
360.02
GRM
0.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
388.73×
Total profit
$108,021
Equity at exit
$148
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
774.88×
Total profit
$215,604
Equity at exit
$86

Cash invested: $279 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78654

Home prices YoY
-31.8%
Rents YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
764
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,380 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5
Tax est. 1.5%
$1 /mo · $15/yr
Insurance
$0
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$500
Net cashflow
$1,807

Break-even live

Break-even rent $93
Max offer price $995
Occupancy floor 19%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,808 -5% $1,807 +0% $1,807 +5% $1,807 +10% $1,806
Rent -10% $1,619 -5% $1,713 +0% $1,807 +5% $1,901 +10% $1,995
Rate -1.0pp $1,807 -0.5pp $1,807 base $1,807 +0.5pp $1,807 +1.0pp $1,806

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,380

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$249
Closing costs
$30
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
506 Gateway Pkwy Marble Falls, TX 1.0 1.0 670 $1,050 $1.57 5d 2 0.71mi
1106 Brazos St Marble Falls, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 772 $1,450 $1.88 45d 4 0.74mi
708 Avenue S Marble Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 720 $1,500 $2.08 45d 1 1.05mi
501 Panther Hollow Dr Marble Falls, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 826 $1,532 $1.85 3d 12 1.22mi
1601 Mustang Dr Marble Falls, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1049 $1,884 $1.80 3d 77 1.26mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $995 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $995 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $995 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $995 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $995 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $995 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $995 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $995 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $995 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $995 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $995 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $995 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $995 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $995 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $995 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-04-14
    listed $995 Active 772-char remark
    Show marketing remark (772 chars)

    Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath Riverbend Apartment nestled in a quiet and charming community in Marble Falls. This inviting unit features a comfortable and functional layout with abundant natural light and a warm, welcoming feel. Residents enjoy access to an on-site laundry facility reserved exclusively for tenants, as well as designated parking. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities, this property offers both comfort and convenience. No need to pay the City utility deposit when you pay the $55 per month additional charge directly to the landlord for the water-sewer & trash for your unit. Move-in ready and available for immediate occupancy. Sorry - NO DOGS allowed; 1 Cat considered with deposit. $995.00 per month; 1 Year Lease!

  17. 2024-02-28
    soldstatus Closed 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Two bedroom, one bath apartment centrally located in Marble Falls behind the Bluebonnet Café. Affordable unit with water, sewer and trash included in the rental rate. Laundry facility located on site.

  18. 2024-02-22
    status Pending 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Two bedroom, one bath apartment centrally located in Marble Falls behind the Bluebonnet Café. Affordable unit with water, sewer and trash included in the rental rate. Laundry facility located on site.

  19. 2023-12-07
    listed $925 Active 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Two bedroom, one bath apartment centrally located in Marble Falls behind the Bluebonnet Café. Affordable unit with water, sewer and trash included in the rental rate. Laundry facility located on site.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,560
− Mortgage interest
−$56
− Property taxes
−$15
− Insurance
−$802
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,285
− Management
−$2,285
− Depreciation
−$29
Taxable income
$23,088
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,541
After-tax cash flow
$16,141/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marble Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4829010
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,663
Composite
30.3/100
National rank
#6278
State rank
#511 of 826 in TX

Livability — Marble Falls

Score
70/100
State rank
#367
US rank
#7802

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marble Falls, TX
County
Burnet County · 35,210 people
City population
20,650
Metro
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
Population (ZIP)
20,650
Household income
$74,130
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
354.0

Population outlook (Burnet County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,492 people
By 2030
52,995 · +5.0%
By 2040
57,528 · +13.9%
By 2050
61,444 · +21.7%
By 2075
71,098 · +40.8%
By 2100
74,634 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burnet

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: -44.1pp · 2024: -55.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.7 2020: R+53.1 2016: R+56.8 2012: R+54.6 2008: R+44.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.02%
Current HPI
252.9861
Rent YoY
▼ -0.62%
Metro
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…