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15378 Cartier Dr
B Composite 71.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

15378 Cartier Dr · Clinton, MI 48038
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 35 Days on market
Built 2020 Good condition 6,534 sqft lot $45/sqft · 156% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your charming retreat in the desirable Rivers Edge community! This adorable mobile home offers a cozy and inviting atmosphere, perfect for those seeking comfort and convenience in Clinton Twp! Only one owner! Lot rent is $737/month. $1,000 Credit to Buyer for Down Payment!

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Outdoor picnic areas
  • Playgrounds

Tags

WELL-MAINTAINED COMMUNITYCLUBHOUSESWIMMING POOLPLAYGROUNDSBASKETBALL COURTSOUTDOOR PICNIC AREAS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway, no garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Community pool

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.1% vs local median 3.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#315 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Chippewa Valley Schools (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #133 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $53,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.76%
Cap rate
24.15%
Cash-on-cash
63.77%
DSCR
3.84
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$21,474
List price
$55,000
Delta
156.12%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
38010 St Tropez St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 10mo $29,900 $25 84
15374 Danseur Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+6%) 14mo $36,000 $28 72
16107 Normandy St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-1%) 8mo $7,500 $6 70
38086 Saint Tropez Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,056 (-13%) 6mo $20,000 $19 70
15949 Charlemagne Ave 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,100 (-10%) 1mo $25,000 $23 63
15312 Cartier St 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,092 (-10%) 20mo $9,900 $9 55
15326 Danseur Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,056 (-13%) 18mo $49,000 $46 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.4%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$38,789
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
63.1%
Equity multiple
6.44×
Total profit
$83,807
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48038

Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
257
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,517 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$818

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
38051 Saint Tropez Dr Unit 990 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,549 $1.38 2d 1 0.08mi
15368 Dominique Dr Unit 868 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 43d 1 0.09mi
15377 Dominique Dr Unit 828 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 2d 1 0.11mi
15353 Dominique Dr Unit 834 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 24d 1 0.13mi
15386 Danseur Dr Unit 822 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.14mi
38100 Ducharme Dr Unit 476 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 2d 1 0.14mi
38033 Ducharme Dr Unit 604 Clinton Twp, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,499 $1.56 43d 1 0.15mi
15836 Croatia Dr Unit 544 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 840 $1,349 $1.61 43d 1 0.17mi
15974 Villaire Ave Unit 445 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 768 $1,319 $1.72 2d 1 0.18mi
15329 Danseur Dr Unit 795 Clinton Twp, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 3d 1 0.19mi
38044 Johannes Dr Unit 521 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.21mi
15811 Villaire Ave Unit 643 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.22mi
38055 Leverette Ave Unit 491 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 5d 1 0.22mi
15835 Marentette Dr Unit 512 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.22mi
38019 Leverette Ave Unit 500 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,389 $1.45 2d 1 0.23mi
16011 Villaire Ave Unit 682 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 2d 1 0.26mi
16016 Villaire Ave Unit 402 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 5d 1 0.26mi
15868 Marentette Dr Unit 339 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 12d 1 0.26mi
38013 Chilver Ave Unit 381 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.30mi
16035 Villaire Ave Unit 688 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.30mi
38053 Orleans St Unit 124 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,499 $1.56 15d 1 0.40mi
16151 Notre Dame St Unit 245 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,309 $1.36 43d 1 0.42mi
16142 Normandy St Unit 249 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.44mi
38029 Versailles St Unit 49 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,369 $1.43 5d 1 0.57mi
14357 Shadywood Dr Sterling Heights, MI 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 3d 1 0.80mi
14273 Shadywood Dr Sterling Heights, MI 2.0 2.0 1373 $2,100 $1.53 43d 1 0.87mi
38271 Fairway Ct Unit 100A Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 24d 1 0.96mi
38271 Fairway Ct Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,188 $1.28 43d 2 0.96mi
38280 Fairway Ct Unit 140B Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 0.99mi
17010 Clinton River Rd Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 962 $1,250 $1.30 43d 2 1.02mi
17010 Clinton River Rd Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 962 $1,325 $1.38 15d 2 1.02mi
38255 Fairway Ct Clinton Twp, MI 2.0 1.0 923 $1,250 $1.35 12d 1 1.03mi
38227 Schoenherr Rd Sterling Heights, MI 2.0 1.5 1250 $1,830 $1.46 1d 1 1.14mi
36607 Holiday Cir E Clinton Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $1,249 $1.61 43d 2 1.16mi
13429 Denver Cir S Sterling Heights, MI 3.0 1.5 1216 $2,100 $1.73 43d 1 1.19mi
38177 Jamestown Dr Sterling Heights, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,850 $1.42 5d 1 1.22mi
0 Woodland MDWS Update, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $2,052 $2.05 1d 9 1.28mi
17001 Eleanor Dr S Clinton Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 790 $1,200 $1.52 43d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-05-10
    price $55,000 739-char remark
  4. 2026-05-09
    price $55,000 739-char remark
  5. 2026-04-27
    listed $58,000 Active 739-char remark
  6. 2026-04-27
    listed $58,000 Active 739-char remark
  7. 2024-04-17
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    Welcome to your charming retreat in the desirable Rivers Edge community! This adorable mobile home offers a cozy and inviting atmosphere, perfect for those seeking comfort and convenience in Clinton Twp! Only one owner! Lot rent is $737/month. $1,000 Credit to Buyer for Down Payment!

  8. 2024-04-17
    soldstatus $45,000
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    Welcome to your charming retreat in the desirable Rivers Edge community! This adorable mobile home offers a cozy and inviting atmosphere, perfect for those seeking comfort and convenience in Clinton Twp! Only one owner! Lot rent is $737/month. $1,000 Credit to Buyer for Down Payment!

  9. 2024-03-18
    status Pending
  10. 2024-03-01
    listed $50,000 Active
  11. 2024-02-29
    price $50,000
  12. 2024-02-28
    historical $48,000
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    Welcome to your charming retreat in the desirable Rivers Edge community! This adorable mobile home offers a cozy and inviting atmosphere, perfect for those seeking comfort and convenience in Clinton Twp! Only one owner! Lot rent is $737/month. $1,000 Credit to Buyer for Down Payment!

  13. 2024-02-28
    listed $50,000
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    Welcome to your charming retreat in the desirable Rivers Edge community! This adorable mobile home offers a cozy and inviting atmosphere, perfect for those seeking comfort and convenience in Clinton Twp! Only one owner! Lot rent is $737/month. $1,000 Credit to Buyer for Down Payment!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,205
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,456
− Management
−$1,456
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$9,511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,283
After-tax cash flow
$7,538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 None rehab

This 2020 manufactured home in Clinton Township is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New windows — Improves energy efficiency and curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New windows — Improves energy efficiency and curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chippewa Valley Schools
NCES district ID
2609570
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$64,964
Composite
39.61/100
National rank
#3922
State rank
#133 of 540 in MI

Livability — Clinton

Score
70/100
State rank
#315
US rank
#7703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
44,422
Household income
$78,567
Rent vs Own
37.7% rent · 62.3% own
Severe rent burden
1788.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -212.31%
Current HPI
261.3877
Rent YoY
▼ -0.92%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+10.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-10 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $58,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $58,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-17 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-17 Sold (MLS) $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-03-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-03-01 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-02-29 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-02-28 Coming Soon $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-02-28 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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