70100 E Highway 26 #2 · Mount Hood Villages, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Clean and Move in Ready single wide 3 bedroom 2 bath mobile home in Zig Zag Estates! Has carport attached and large covered deck. Peaceful living and beautiful location. Water and sewer included in rent space!
Key facts
- Carport attached
- Large covered deck
- Built 1992
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Main level area approximately 924; Lot size range listed as 0K to 2,999 SqFt; View: Trees/Woods; Park contact required for park rules and applications
- HOA & community: Park utilities include water and sewer; Located in Zig Zag Estates mobile home park; Monthly lot rent of $850
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Driveway
- Utilities: Electric fuel; Community water; Shared septic
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Single-story (main level living); Manufacturer: Fleetwood; Built in 1992; Resale condition
- Construction: Metal roof; T-111 siding; Built in 1992; Trio building area description
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Deck; T-111 siding; Level lot; Paved road access; Views of trees/woods
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); Second bedroom (Main level); Third bedroom (Main level)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling system
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Living room; Dining room; Family room; Great room
- Laundry & utility: Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 2.2% in Mount Hood Villages — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Oregon Trail SD 46 (town): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #12 of 183 in OR (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Welches Elementary School (190 students, 42% FRL); Welches Middle School (89 students, 44% FRL); Sandy High School (1,440 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $619 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.43%
- DSCR
- 3.29
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $53,886
- Equity at exit
- $13,345
- IRR
- 54.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.38×
- Total profit
- $134,948
- Equity at exit
- $7,738
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97067
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,052 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $481/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $1,074
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,125 | -5% $1,099 | +0% $1,074 | +5% $1,049 | +10% $1,023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $912 | -5% $993 | +0% $1,074 | +5% $1,155 | +10% $1,236 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,119 | -0.5pp $1,097 | base $1,074 | +0.5pp $1,051 | +1.0pp $1,027 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewer
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $89,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 209-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,500 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $481 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $868 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$387/yr (+$32/mo · 80.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥84°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,618
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$481
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,969
- − Management
- −$1,969
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $12,134
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,912
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,976/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oregon Trail SD 46
- NCES district ID
- 4110890
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,406
- Composite
- 50.19/100
- National rank
- #4075
- State rank
- #12 of 183 in OR
Livability — Mount Hood Villages
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,285
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,285
Population outlook (Clackamas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 458,456 people
- By 2030
- 485,185 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 532,932 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 574,445 · +25.3%
- By 2075
- 665,497 · +45.2%
- By 2100
- 697,488 · +52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Two or more races 21% Hispanic / Latino 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Italian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Clackamas
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 53.4% · R 43.6% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 10.4pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+11.1 2016: D+6.1 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.81%
- Current HPI
- 310.9922
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $99,500 RMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $481 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…