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2921 Eric St
B Composite 74.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

2921 Eric St · Fuquay-Varina, NC 27592
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Manufactured · 13 Days on market
Built 1998 0.69 ac lot Est $234k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great lot in awesome location! . 69 acres no HOA, Currently has a Single Wide on it that will Stay AS/IS, This is a CASH AS/IS Deal and price, Inside is nice and could be lived in right away. Can sell/Remove and build a SFH. Septic and Aqua water etc onsite. 30'RV Plug, 2 Beds Two Full Baths Open/Living Kitchen AREA. Only bring qualified/Capable (Cash Buyers) Please.

Key facts

  • 69 acres
  • 30 rv plug
  • Cash as is deal

Tags

69 ACRESNO HOACASH AS IS DEALSEPTIC AND AQUA WATER30 RV PLUG

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.69 acres; Zoning: R-30
  • HOA & community: No association; No community amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking for 4 vehicles; 30" RV plug
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Community water (and other); Publicly maintained county road with asphalt surface
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Fixer condition; 1998 model (Redmond)
  • Construction: Metal siding; Other roof; No foundation (mobile home remains on site); Built/Manufactured 1998
  • Exterior features: Covered rear patio/porch; Rear porch; Fenced yard with privacy wood fencing (front and back)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Space heater; ENERGY STAR/ACCA RSI qualified installation; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Bathtub/shower combination; Separate shower; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.0% in Fuquay-Varina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 249 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $140k implies a 344% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
10.66%
Cash-on-cash
15.58%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$234,300
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3208 Norman Blalock Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+5%) 6mo $245,000 $213 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$9,676
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$49,922
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27592

Home prices YoY
-17.9%
Active inventory
249
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,700 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $512/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$509

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,056
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $588 -5% $548 +0% $509 +5% $469 +10% $430
Rent -10% $374 -5% $442 +0% $509 +5% $576 +10% $643
Rate -1.0pp $579 -0.5pp $544 base $509 +0.5pp $472 +1.0pp $436

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10917 Fanny Brown Rd Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.0 1315 $1,995 $1.52 17d 1 0.84mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $139,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 369-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $160,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$512 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,147 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$636/yr (+$53/mo · 124.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,405
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$512
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,632
− Management
−$1,632
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$4,022
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$965
After-tax cash flow
$5,139/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wake County Schools
NCES district ID
3704720
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$67,509
Composite
49.41/100
National rank
#2010
State rank
#35 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fuquay-Varina

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Johnston County · 175,441 people
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Population (ZIP)
21,114
Household income
$104,252
Rent vs Own
11.3% rent · 88.7% own
Severe rent burden
84.0

Population outlook (Wake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,293,152 people
By 2030
1,428,223 · +10.4%
By 2040
1,698,188 · +31.3%
By 2050
1,955,807 · +51.2%
By 2075
2,520,273 · +94.9%
By 2100
2,893,335 · +123.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wake

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.9% · R 36.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+11.1pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 25.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.5 2020: D+26.4 2016: D+20.5 2012: D+10.2 2008: D+14.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.54%
Current HPI
254.0078
Rent YoY
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $160,000 TMLS
  • 2012-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
  • 2012-10-19 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2012-09-29 Listed $32,000 TMLS

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $512 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…