2921 Eric St · Fuquay-Varina, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 58.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great lot in awesome location! . 69 acres no HOA, Currently has a Single Wide on it that will Stay AS/IS, This is a CASH AS/IS Deal and price, Inside is nice and could be lived in right away. Can sell/Remove and build a SFH. Septic and Aqua water etc onsite. 30'RV Plug, 2 Beds Two Full Baths Open/Living Kitchen AREA. Only bring qualified/Capable (Cash Buyers) Please.
Key facts
- 69 acres
- 30 rv plug
- Cash as is deal
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.69 acres; Zoning: R-30
- HOA & community: No association; No community amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking for 4 vehicles; 30" RV plug
- Utilities: Septic tank; Community water (and other); Publicly maintained county road with asphalt surface
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Fixer condition; 1998 model (Redmond)
- Construction: Metal siding; Other roof; No foundation (mobile home remains on site); Built/Manufactured 1998
- Exterior features: Covered rear patio/porch; Rear porch; Fenced yard with privacy wood fencing (front and back)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Space heater; ENERGY STAR/ACCA RSI qualified installation; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Bathtub/shower combination; Separate shower; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.0% in Fuquay-Varina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 249 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $140k implies a 344% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.58%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $234,300
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3208 Norman Blalock Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+5%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $213 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $9,676
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $49,922
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27592
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Active inventory
- 249
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,700 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $512/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $509
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $588 | -5% $548 | +0% $509 | +5% $469 | +10% $430 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $374 | -5% $442 | +0% $509 | +5% $576 | +10% $643 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $579 | -0.5pp $544 | base $509 | +0.5pp $472 | +1.0pp $436 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10917 Fanny Brown Rd Raleigh, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $1,995 | $1.52 | 17d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $139,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 369-char remark
-
2026-06-07$160,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $512 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,147 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$636/yr (+$53/mo · 124.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,405
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$512
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,632
- − Management
- −$1,632
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $4,022
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$965
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,139/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wake County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704720
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,509
- Composite
- 49.41/100
- National rank
- #2010
- State rank
- #35 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fuquay-Varina
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Johnston County · 175,441 people
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,114
- Household income
- $104,252
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 84.0
Population outlook (Wake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,293,152 people
- By 2030
- 1,428,223 · +10.4%
- By 2040
- 1,698,188 · +31.3%
- By 2050
- 1,955,807 · +51.2%
- By 2075
- 2,520,273 · +94.9%
- By 2100
- 2,893,335 · +123.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.9% · R 36.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.1pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.5 2020: D+26.4 2016: D+20.5 2012: D+10.2 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.54%
- Current HPI
- 254.0078
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $160,000 TMLS
- 2012-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
- 2012-10-19 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2012-09-29 Listed $32,000 TMLS
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $512 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…