1922 S Annabelle St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.05%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential; Lot acreage approx. 0.11 acre
- Financial info: No investor or rental income details provided
- HOA & community: No land contract
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (not explicitly stated but utilities listed); Natural gas; Electric service (standard)
- Home design: Residential 2-story; Built in 1930; Basement entry level
- Construction: Brick construction; Basement foundation; Built in 1930
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Front porch; Paved street access; 35 ft. frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on entry level (approx. 10 x 10); Ceramic kitchen flooring
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second floor (14 x 13; 10 x 14; ~10); Carpeted bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet in living, dining and bedrooms; Ceramic in kitchen and bathrooms
- Bathrooms: Two total bathrooms, including one full bathroom; Ceramic flooring in bath areas; Entry-level lavatory approx. 6 x 8; second-floor bath approx. 7 x 8
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central A/C; Natural gas heating fuel; Gas water heater
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Basement present (unfinished)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($951/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (13.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mark Twain Elementarymiddle School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 236 students, 85% FRL); Western International High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #653 of 713 statewide, top 92%, 2,151 students, 76% FRL).
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $152 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.43%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $93,928
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1926 S Ethel St | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,625 (+2%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $46 | 85 |
| 1740 S Beatrice St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,454 (-9%) | 16mo | $98,455 | $68 | 66 |
| 412 Campbell St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,487 (-7%) | 6mo | $136,000 | $91 | 62 |
| 2474 S Deacon St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,434 (-10%) | 15mo | $72,000 | $50 | 56 |
| 2492 S Beatrice St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,708 (+7%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $35 | 52 |
| 1320 S Bassett St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-12%) | 8mo | $82,000 | $59 | 49 |
| 439 Palmerston St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,691 (+6%) | 23mo | $108,500 | $64 | 41 |
| 545 Campbell St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,761 (+11%) | 16mo | $120,000 | $68 | 40 |
| 1245 S Liddesdale St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,393 (-12%) | 19mo | $9,500 | $7 | 39 |
| 3010 S Annabelle St | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,428 (-10%) | 17mo | $45,000 | $32 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,630
- Equity at exit
- $41,383
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $26,926
- Equity at exit
- $50,354
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48217
- Home prices YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,208 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $995/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $79
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $158 | -5% $119 | +0% $79 | +5% $40 | +10% $0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-16 | -5% $32 | +0% $79 | +5% $127 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $150 | -0.5pp $115 | base $79 | +0.5pp $43 | +1.0pp $6 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3801 18th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4015 16th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 26d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04$139,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $995 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,575 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$580/yr (+$48/mo · 58.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 5% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,492
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$995
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,159
- − Management
- −$1,159
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$1,427
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$343
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,293/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- City population
- 572,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,437
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.11%
- Current HPI
- 366.479
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+86.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-05 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-07-12 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-07-12 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-10-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-03-22 Listed $34,300 REALCOMP
- 2005-10-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-04-13 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $995 · -49.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…