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1922 S Annabelle St
D Composite 40.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$139,900

1922 S Annabelle St · Detroit, MI 48217
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,592 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1930 4,792 sqft lot Est $94k · 49% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 17 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Lot acreage approx. 0.11 acre
  • Financial info: No investor or rental income details provided
  • HOA & community: No land contract

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (not explicitly stated but utilities listed); Natural gas; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: Residential 2-story; Built in 1930; Basement entry level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Basement foundation; Built in 1930
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Front porch; Paved street access; 35 ft. frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on entry level (approx. 10 x 10); Ceramic kitchen flooring
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second floor (14 x 13; 10 x 14; ~10); Carpeted bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet in living, dining and bedrooms; Ceramic in kitchen and bathrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two total bathrooms, including one full bathroom; Ceramic flooring in bath areas; Entry-level lavatory approx. 6 x 8; second-floor bath approx. 7 x 8
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central A/C; Natural gas heating fuel; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement present (unfinished)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($951/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (13.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mark Twain Elementarymiddle School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 236 students, 85% FRL); Western International High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #653 of 713 statewide, top 92%, 2,151 students, 76% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $152 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $120,769 (13.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.43%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$93,928
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1926 S Ethel St 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,625 (+2%) 4mo $75,000 $46 85
1740 S Beatrice St 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,454 (-9%) 16mo $98,455 $68 66
412 Campbell St 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,487 (-7%) 6mo $136,000 $91 62
2474 S Deacon St 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,434 (-10%) 15mo $72,000 $50 56
2492 S Beatrice St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,708 (+7%) 22mo $60,000 $35 52
1320 S Bassett St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,400 (-12%) 8mo $82,000 $59 49
439 Palmerston St 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,691 (+6%) 23mo $108,500 $64 41
545 Campbell St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,761 (+11%) 16mo $120,000 $68 40
1245 S Liddesdale St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,393 (-12%) 19mo $9,500 $7 39
3010 S Annabelle St 0.66mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,428 (-10%) 17mo $45,000 $32 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,630
Equity at exit
$41,383
10-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$26,926
Equity at exit
$50,354

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48217

Home prices YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,208 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $995/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,107
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $158 -5% $119 +0% $79 +5% $40 +10% $0
Rent -10% $-16 -5% $32 +0% $79 +5% $127 +10% $175
Rate -1.0pp $150 -0.5pp $115 base $79 +0.5pp $43 +1.0pp $6

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3801 18th St Ecorse, MI 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,150 $0.96 20d 1 0.75mi
4015 16th St Ecorse, MI 3.0 1.5 1170 $1,300 $1.11 26d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on marketlisting id $139,900 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    listed $139,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$995 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,575 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$580/yr (+$48/mo · 58.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 5% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,492
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$995
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,159
− Management
−$1,159
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$1,427
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$343
After-tax cash flow
$1,293/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
6,437

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.11%
Current HPI
366.479
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+86.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-07-12 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-12 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-10-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-03-22 Listed $34,300 REALCOMP
  • 2005-10-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-04-13 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $995 · -49.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…