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118 E School St
A- Composite 82.73
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$65,000

118 E School St · Gage, OK 73843
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,156 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 268 Days on market
Built 1914 0.50 ac lot Est $86k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the charm of small-town living with this delightful 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home located in the heart of Gage, OK. Well-sized rooms with natural light, making the space feel warm and inviting. The kitchen has a functional layout with ample cabinetry and counter space. Detached garage providing additional storage or workshop space. Situated in a quiet neighborhood, offering a peaceful environment while still being close to local amenities. Perfectly priced for first-time buyers or those seeking a cozy retreat, this property offers a comfortable and welcoming atmosphere.

Key facts

  • Ample cabinetry
  • Functional layout
  • Quiet neighborhood

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTAMPLE CABINETRYDETACHED GARAGEQUIET NEIGHBORHOODCLOSE TO LOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Single-story; Faces south
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Gravel road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Concrete; Ceramic tile; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Refrigerator included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#458 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Fargo (rural): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #320 of 513 in OK (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Ellis County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 268 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 268 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
14.00%
Cash-on-cash
27.52%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$85,544
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
300 N Main 0.06mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,184 (+2%) 12mo $37,000 $31 78
704 W Cedar St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-13%) 13mo $75,000 $74 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.5%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$40,513
Equity at exit
$35,730
10-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
6.49×
Total profit
$99,975
Equity at exit
$60,771

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73843

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,032 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $362/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$417

Break-even live

Break-even rent $504
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $454 -5% $436 +0% $417 +5% $399 +10% $381
Rent -10% $336 -5% $377 +0% $417 +5% $458 +10% $499
Rate -1.0pp $450 -0.5pp $434 base $417 +0.5pp $401 +1.0pp $383

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 268 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 266 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 265 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 264 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 263 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 261 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 260 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 257 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 256 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 255 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 253 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 251 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 250 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 249 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 248 DOM
  16. 2025-09-25
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$362 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$585 · $49/mo
Expected delta
+$223/yr (+$19/mo · 61.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,388
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$362
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$991
− Management
−$991
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,187
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,005
After-tax cash flow
$4,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fargo
NCES district ID
4011430
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$51,652
Composite
25.25/100
National rank
#12909
State rank
#320 of 513 in OK

Livability — Gage

Score
57/100
State rank
#458
US rank
#21665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gage, OK
Population (ZIP)
896

Population outlook (Ellis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,446 people
By 2030
4,549 · +2.3%
By 2040
4,757 · +7.0%
By 2050
4,978 · +12.0%
By 2075
5,455 · +22.7%
By 2100
5,346 · +20.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% European 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ellis

2024 margin
Solid R (+76.6) · D 10.9% · R 87.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: -70.5pp · 2024: -76.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+76.6 2020: R+81.5 2016: R+79.7 2012: R+74.9 2008: R+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.72%
Current HPI
138.5346
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $65,000 NWOAR

Property tax history

+14.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $362 · -7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…