2131 Market St · Wilmington, NC
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$233,750
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A rare opportunity! Both 2131 & 2133 Market Street are available for sale - two townhouses under one roof in Port City Commons. This location is fantastic! Close to downtown, ILM airport, UNCW and an easy drive to the beaches. Wallace Park is also across the street and there's a Port City Java next door. These 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 2-story floor plans are very livable with over 1300 square feet, primary bedroom on the main level, a vaulted living room ceiling, charming fireplace and open kitchen. Each unit also has their own private courtyard with patio. This building is tucked in the back of this quiet community for a peaceful setting. Each townhouse comes with two assigned parking
Key facts
- Charming fireplace
- Open kitchen
- $113 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $1,360 (about $113.33/month); Community sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned off-street paved parking in a parking lot
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Electric service
- Home design: Townhouse; Two-story; Entry on main level
- Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built recently (home warranty included)
- Exterior features: Patio; Back yard wood fencing; Paved roads / private road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Gas range
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Window coverings; Has a view
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $234k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($360/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (15.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in Wilmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#142 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living B+, housing B+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- New Hanover County Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #61 of 178 in NC (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: A H Snipes Academy of Arts/Des (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 377 students, 99% FRL); Williston Middle (math 17% / reading 30%, grade F, #402 of 475 statewide, top 85%, 683 students, 100% FRL); New Hanover High (math 60% / reading 53%, grade C, #261 of 535 statewide, top 49%, 1,466 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 42% district-wide (58 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the New Hanover County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 189 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,581 units permitted in New Hanover County in 2024 (1,185 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Hanover County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; list at $234k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.55%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $330,876
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2143 Market St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,357 (+3%) | 11mo | $239,000 | $176 | 84 |
| 15 Saint Marys Pl | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-12%) | 9mo | $290,000 | $252 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-40,858
- Equity at exit
- $34,853
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-52,202
- Equity at exit
- $20,210
Cash invested: $65,450 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28403
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,966 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,226
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,046/yr
- Insurance
- −$97
- HOA
- −$113
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $30
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $162 | -5% $96 | +0% $30 | +5% $-36 | +10% $-102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-125 | -5% $-48 | +0% $30 | +5% $108 | +10% $185 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $148 | -0.5pp $89 | base $30 | +0.5pp $-31 | +1.0pp $-92 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,438
- Closing costs
- $7,012
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1904 Perry Ave Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,500 | $2.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 505 Alpine Dr Wilmington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1009 | $1,810 | $1.79 | 15d | 9 | 0.66mi |
| 2247 Wrightsville Ave Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 753 | $1,520 | $2.02 | 15d | 9 | 0.81mi |
| 331 S Turners Run Wilmington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,279 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 105 Montgomery Ave Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 200 Henry St Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,795 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 715 S 13th St Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,300 | $2.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1108 Castle St #106 Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,625 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 361 Darlington Ave Wilmington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1039 | $1,772 | $1.71 | 15d | 21 | 1.08mi |
| 607 S 11th St Unit 208 Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,585 | $1.65 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2603 McClammy St Unit 1 Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $1,900 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 511 S 10th St Unit 1 Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1419 King St Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1389 | $2,200 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 705 Brooks Aly Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1308 | $1,950 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1649 King St Wilmington, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1760 | $2,275 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 506 S 7th St Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 506 S 7th St Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 816 Nixon St Apt D Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,650 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 420 Market St Wilmington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,500 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 710 Taylor St Unit D Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 885 | $1,395 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 507 Bladen St Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $2,500 | $2.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $113 · $1,356/yr
- Likely covers
- parking
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $233,750 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $233,750 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $233,750 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $233,750 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $233,750 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $233,750 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $233,750 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $233,750 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $233,750 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $233,750 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $233,750 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $233,750 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $233,750 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $233,750 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $233,750 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $233,750 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-04-03$233,750 Active
-
2025-06-01historical $1,550
-
2025-05-15price $1,550
-
2025-04-28price $1,565
-
2025-04-25historical
-
2025-04-15$1,595
-
2025-04-15historical $1,595
-
2025-04-11$1,595
-
2025-03-20$279,000 Active
-
2023-06-17historical
-
2007-12-27soldstatus $130,000
-
2006-06-27soldstatus $2,333,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,046 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,917 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- +$870/yr (+$73/mo · 83.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,094
- − Property taxes
- −$1,046
- − Insurance
- −$1,169
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,888
- − Management
- −$1,888
- − HOA
- −$1,356
- − Depreciation
- −$6,800
- Taxable loss
- −$3,644
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$875
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,234/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Hanover County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703330
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,406
- Composite
- 43.13/100
- National rank
- #3081
- State rank
- #61 of 178 in NC
Livability — Wilmington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #8131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilmington, NC
- County
- New Hanover County · 232,153 people
- City population
- 215,355
- Metro
- Wilmington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,319
- Household income
- $54,547
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3893.0
Population outlook (New Hanover County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,517 people
- By 2030
- 279,586 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 318,223 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 354,831 · +36.7%
- By 2075
- 437,158 · +68.5%
- By 2100
- 486,769 · +87.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Hanover
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: 0.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+4.1 2012: R+4.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -503.72%
- Current HPI
- 251.0154
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.48%
- Metro
- Wilmington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
-90.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $233,750 Hive MLS
- 2025-06-01 Rental Removed $1,550 RENTLY
- 2025-05-15 Price Changed $1,550 RENTLY
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $1,565 RENTLY
- 2025-04-25 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-04-15 Listed for Rent $1,595 RENTLY
- 2025-04-15 Rental Removed $1,595 APPFOLIO
- 2025-04-11 Listed for Rent $1,595 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-20 Listed $279,000 Hive MLS
- 2023-06-17 Rental Removed — APPFOLIO
- 2007-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $2,333,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,046 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…