5819 Cara Rd · Cade, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.8/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large country home with many amenities and possibilities. 1.83 acre lot with 18x42 pool, spacious 3 bed, 2 bath home, pool house or mother-in-law suite, storage shed and pond.
Key facts
- Pond
- 1.83 acre lot
- Pool house
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.3% in Cade — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#389 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, employment B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Iberia Parish (other): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #27 of 98 in LA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 237 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 94 units permitted in Iberia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iberia County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $155k; list at $275k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.95%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $244,112
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- 12.65%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1514 Colonel Rdg | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,874 (-5%) | 1mo | $250,500 | $134 | 63 |
| 1515 Ashland Rdg | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,874 (-5%) | 6mo | $252,500 | $135 | 61 |
| 1601 Colonel Rdg | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,874 (-5%) | 2mo | $255,500 | $136 | 61 |
| 1516 Ashland Rdg | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,836 (-7%) | 5mo | $247,500 | $135 | 61 |
| 1509 Highland Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,874 (-5%) | 8mo | $250,500 | $134 | 60 |
| 1513 Colonel Rdg | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,836 (-7%) | 1mo | $247,500 | $135 | 58 |
| 1503 Highland Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,836 (-7%) | 7mo | $247,500 | $135 | 58 |
| 1511 Highland Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,836 (-7%) | 7mo | $247,500 | $135 | 58 |
| 1518 Colonel Rdg | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,836 (-7%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $136 | 57 |
| 1601 Ashland Rdg | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,706 (-13%) | 6mo | $242,500 | $142 | 49 |
| 1519 Colonel Rdg | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,706 (-13%) | 3mo | $240,500 | $141 | 46 |
| 1506 Highland Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,704 (-14%) | 8mo | $244,500 | $143 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $49,157
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $163,287
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70560
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,568/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$840
- Net cashflow
- $1,473
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1802 Saddle Back Rdg New Iberia, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1874 | $4,000 | $2.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-03-26status Active 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Large country home with many amenities and possibilities. 1.83 acre lot with 18x42 pool, spacious 3 bed, 2 bath home, pool house or mother-in-law suite, storage shed and pond.
-
2026-03-26price $275,000 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Large country home with many amenities and possibilities. 1.83 acre lot with 18x42 pool, spacious 3 bed, 2 bath home, pool house or mother-in-law suite, storage shed and pond.
-
2025-08-22$300,000 Active 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Large country home with many amenities and possibilities. 1.83 acre lot with 18x42 pool, spacious 3 bed, 2 bath home, pool house or mother-in-law suite, storage shed and pond.
-
2024-09-06price $245,000
-
2024-04-30$255,000 Active
-
2014-07-31soldstatus $155,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,568 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,568 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$1,568
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,840
- − Management
- −$3,840
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable income
- $13,972
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,353
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iberia Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200720
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -35.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,289
- Composite
- 31.74/100
- National rank
- #5904
- State rank
- #27 of 98 in LA
Livability — Cade
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #389
- US rank
- #24247
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,589
Population outlook (Iberia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 74,632 people
- By 2030
- 74,368 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 73,223 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 71,728 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 69,028 · -7.5%
- By 2100
- 65,018 · -12.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 35% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Iberia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.1) · D 32.4% · R 66.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.0pp · 2024: -34.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.1 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+23.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.82%
- Current HPI
- 154.9018
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+77.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $275,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-22 Listed $300,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-09-06 Price Changed $245,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-04-30 Listed $255,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,568 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…