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7103 Salem Park Cir
D+ Composite 48.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,900

7103 Salem Park Cir · Hampden, PA 17050
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,500 sqft · Townhouse public records · 258 Days on market
Built 1977 2,178 sqft lot $153/sqft · at area comps Est $230k · at est. $58/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Terrific 3 bedroom, 2.5 bath townhome in Hampden Township, Cumberland Valley School District. Home Features: formal living room with wood burning fireplace, eat in kitchen, dining area w/ access to covered patio and attached storage shed. Half bath leads into the laundry room with washer/dryer to convey. 2nd floor has a primary bedroom with full bath and 2 bedrooms with another full bath. 2 off street parking spaces and a community pool. Conveniently located off of the Carlisle Pike and close to most amenities. Presently the home is tenant occupied with the option of the new owner to take possession at settlement and live there or continue leasing. Taxes and HOA fee are low and includes the community pool.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Community pool
  • Covered patio

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACECOVERED PATIOATTACHED STORAGE SHEDCOMMUNITY POOLOFF STREET PARKINGCLOSE TO MOST AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (7.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cumberland Valley SD (suburban): math 54% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #52 of 539 in PA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 339 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $125k; list at $230k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $202,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.14%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,950
List price
$229,900
Delta
-0.02%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7123 Salem Park Cir 0.11mi 3/2.5 1,580 (+5%) 1mo $230,000 $146 85
6260 Haydon Ct 0.21mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,590 (+6%) 3mo $252,500 $159 73
7131 Salem Park Cir 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,298 (-14%) 5mo $229,900 $177 66
6501 Salem Park Cir 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,280 (-15%) 2mo $205,000 $160 65
6402 Salem Park Cir 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,679 (+12%) 19mo $230,000 $137 61
97 Stonecrest Ln 0.23mi 3/2.5 1,690 (+13%) 23mo $302,000 $179 49
6127 Haymarket Way 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,710 (+14%) 12mo $270,000 $158 38
410 Mercury Dr 0.66mi 3/2.5 1,722 (+15%) 18mo $340,000 $197 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-28,689
Equity at exit
$34,279
10-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-19,856
Equity at exit
$19,878

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17050

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
339
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,135 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,906/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$58
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$448
Net cashflow
$168

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,922
Max offer price $229,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,475
Closing costs
$6,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
333 Sruthi Dr Bldg 25 Hampden Township, PA 2.0 1.5 1462 $1,910 $1.31 23d 1 0.10mi
301 Sruthi Dr Hampden Township, PA 4.0 2.5 1862 $2,200 $1.18 43d 1 0.14mi
245 Sruthi Dr Hampden Township, PA 3.0 2.5 1832 $2,050 $1.12 43d 2 0.14mi
245 Sruthi Dr Hampden Township, PA 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1696 $2,050 $1.21 13d 3 0.14mi
414 Lindsay Dr Hampden Township, PA 2.0 1.5 1560 $1,890 $1.21 43d 1 0.15mi
111 Stonecrest Ln Mechanicsburg, PA 3.0 2.5 1722 $1,995 $1.16 13d 1 0.16mi
412 Lindsay Dr Hampden Township, PA 2.0 1.5 1560 $1,910 $1.22 23d 1 0.16mi
305 Mercury Dr Hampden Township, PA 3.0 2.5 2030 $2,275 $1.12 23d 1 0.57mi
113 Annabel Way Mechanicsburg, PA 3.0 2.5 1896 $2,540 $1.34 43d 1 0.58mi
325 Antilles Ct Mechanicsburg, PA 3.0 2.5 2030 $2,325 $1.15 23d 1 0.59mi
120 Morefield Way Mechanicsburg, PA 3.0 3.5 2000 $2,295 $1.15 43d 1 0.61mi
6224 Galleon Dr Mechanicsburg, PA 2.0 2.5 1654 $1,850 $1.12 43d 1 0.72mi
837 Admirals Quay Dr Mechanicsburg, PA 3.0 2.5 2027 $2,010 $0.99 13d 1 1.45mi
710 Hogestown Rd Mechanicsburg, PA 3.0 2.0 1998 $2,000 $1.00 43d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$58 · $696/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,900 Active 258 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,900 Active 257 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,900 Active 256 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,900 Active 255 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $229,900 Active 253 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,900 Active 252 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $229,900 Active 250 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,900 Active 249 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,900 Active 248 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,900 Active 247 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $229,900 Active 244 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,900 Active 243 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,900 Active 242 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,900 Active 241 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,900 Active 240 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,900 Active 239 DOM
  17. 2026-04-25
    price $229,900 715-char remark
    Show marketing remark (715 chars)

    Terrific 3 bedroom, 2.5 bath townhome in Hampden Township, Cumberland Valley School District. Home Features: formal living room with wood burning fireplace, eat in kitchen, dining area w/ access to covered patio and attached storage shed. Half bath leads into the laundry room with washer/dryer to convey. 2nd floor has a primary bedroom with full bath and 2 bedrooms with another full bath. 2 off street parking spaces and a community pool. Conveniently located off of the Carlisle Pike and close to most amenities. Presently the home is tenant occupied with the option of the new owner to take possession at settlement and live there or continue leasing. Taxes and HOA fee are low and includes the community pool.

  18. 2026-04-13
    price $232,400 715-char remark
    Show marketing remark (715 chars)

    Terrific 3 bedroom, 2.5 bath townhome in Hampden Township, Cumberland Valley School District. Home Features: formal living room with wood burning fireplace, eat in kitchen, dining area w/ access to covered patio and attached storage shed. Half bath leads into the laundry room with washer/dryer to convey. 2nd floor has a primary bedroom with full bath and 2 bedrooms with another full bath. 2 off street parking spaces and a community pool. Conveniently located off of the Carlisle Pike and close to most amenities. Presently the home is tenant occupied with the option of the new owner to take possession at settlement and live there or continue leasing. Taxes and HOA fee are low and includes the community pool.

  19. 2025-10-03
    listed $234,900 Active 715-char remark
    Show marketing remark (715 chars)

    Terrific 3 bedroom, 2.5 bath townhome in Hampden Township, Cumberland Valley School District. Home Features: formal living room with wood burning fireplace, eat in kitchen, dining area w/ access to covered patio and attached storage shed. Half bath leads into the laundry room with washer/dryer to convey. 2nd floor has a primary bedroom with full bath and 2 bedrooms with another full bath. 2 off street parking spaces and a community pool. Conveniently located off of the Carlisle Pike and close to most amenities. Presently the home is tenant occupied with the option of the new owner to take possession at settlement and live there or continue leasing. Taxes and HOA fee are low and includes the community pool.

  20. 2021-01-20
    soldstatus $124,900
  21. 2021-01-19
    soldstatus $124,900 Closed 246-char remark
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Large townhouse in Cumberland Valley School District. This home features laminate flooring throughout and a wood burning fireplace. The community pool is located behind the off street parking. Ready for quick occupancy and your finishing touches!

  22. 2020-12-14
    status Pending 246-char remark
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Large townhouse in Cumberland Valley School District. This home features laminate flooring throughout and a wood burning fireplace. The community pool is located behind the off street parking. Ready for quick occupancy and your finishing touches!

  23. 2020-12-08
    listed $139,900 Active 246-char remark
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Large townhouse in Cumberland Valley School District. This home features laminate flooring throughout and a wood burning fireplace. The community pool is located behind the off street parking. Ready for quick occupancy and your finishing touches!

  24. 1994-04-15
    soldstatus $73,825

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,906 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,769 · $231/mo
Expected delta
+$863/yr (+$72/mo · 45.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,619
− Mortgage interest
−$12,878
− Property taxes
−$1,906
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,050
− Management
−$2,050
− HOA
−$696
− Depreciation
−$6,688
Taxable loss
−$1,797
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$431
After-tax cash flow
$2,452/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland Valley SD
NCES district ID
4207110
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$78,135
Composite
55.77/100
National rank
#1218
State rank
#52 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hampden

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Cumberland County · 257,673 people
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
43,571
Household income
$113,720
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
535.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
267,950 people
By 2030
278,105 · +3.8%
By 2040
296,552 · +10.7%
By 2050
312,937 · +16.8%
By 2075
349,233 · +30.3%
By 2100
361,875 · +35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Asian 16% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.84%
Current HPI
241.7363
Rent YoY
▲ 1.99%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+211.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $232,400 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $234,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $124,900 Public Records
  • 2021-01-19 Sold (MLS) $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-12-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-12-08 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1994-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $73,825 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,906 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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