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3771 24th
D Composite 42.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,999

3771 24th · Detroit, MI 48208
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,062 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 447 Days on market
Built 1913 0.48 ac lot $19/sqft · 67% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

Key facts

  • 0.48 acre lot
  • Built 1913
  • Listed 447 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 48.9% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,138/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 601% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 447 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $3k; list at $40k implies a 1329% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $35,199 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 447 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.34%
Cap rate
48.85%
Cash-on-cash
152.00%
DSCR
7.76
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,597
List price
$39,999
Delta
-74.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3917 16th St 0.64mi 4/2.0 2,037 (-1%) 3mo $35,000 $17 66
3027 Williams Street St 0.42mi 4/2.0 2,300 (+12%) 22mo $149,000 $65 43
2931 Poplar St 0.34mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,756 (-15%) 22mo $290,000 $165 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.49×
Total profit
$83,899
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.92×
Total profit
$189,517
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48208

Home prices YoY
-5.9%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,138 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $524/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$1,419

Break-even live

Break-even rent $342
Max offer price $39,999
Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3934 Avery St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 43d 1 1.11mi
4426 McGraw Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 43d 1 1.15mi
1646 Mc Kinstry St Unit 1F McKinstry Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1879 $1,200 $0.64 5d 1 1.23mi
1714 Bagley St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.5 2500 $3,500 $1.40 4d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,999 Active 447 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,999 Active 446 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,999 Active 444 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,999 Active 442 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,999 Active 441 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,999 Active 438 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,999 Active 437 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,999 Active 436 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $39,999 Active 433 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,999 Active 432 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,999 Active 430 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,999 Active 429 DOM
  13. 2025-09-13
    price $39,999 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  14. 2025-09-12
    price $39,999 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  15. 2025-09-12
    price $39,999
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  16. 2025-07-25
    price $49,990 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  17. 2025-07-24
    price $49,990 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  18. 2025-07-24
    price $49,990
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  19. 2025-04-03
    status Active 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  20. 2025-04-03
    status Active 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  21. 2025-04-03
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  22. 2025-04-01
    status Pending 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  23. 2025-04-01
    status Pending 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  24. 2025-04-01
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  25. 2025-03-26
    listed $59,900 Active 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  26. 2025-03-25
    listed $59,900 Active 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  27. 2025-03-25
    listed $59,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Needs Rehab, Nice block with new construction house. Call Listing Agent for more information. Ray 313 685-7208

  28. 2008-12-05
    soldstatus $2,800
  29. 2008-09-15
    listed $5,000
  30. 2008-05-21
    historical
  31. 2007-09-26
    listed $24,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$524 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$570 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$46/yr (+$4/mo · 8.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,651
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$524
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,052
− Management
−$2,052
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$17,419
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,181
After-tax cash flow
$12,843/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
8,037
Household income
$36,194
Rent vs Own
65.7% rent · 34.3% own
Severe rent burden
601.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.56%
Current HPI
168.8907
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.6% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-13 Price Changed $39,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $39,999 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $39,999 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-07-25 Price Changed $49,990 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Price Changed $49,990 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-24 Price Changed $49,990 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-04-03 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-03 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-03 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-04-01 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-01 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-01 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-03-26 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-25 Listed $59,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-03-25 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-12-05 Sold (MLS) $2,800 REALCOMP
  • 2008-09-15 Listed $5,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-05-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-09-26 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $524 · -40.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…