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2609 W Poplar
C- Composite 54.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$189,000

2609 W Poplar · San Antonio, TX 78207
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 2003 5,619 sqft lot $141/sqft · 20% below area Est $237k · 20% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Immediate ROI: Stabilized & Professionally Managed Duplex Generate $22,236 annually from day one with this turn-key duplex, currently under professional management for a truly passive ownership experience. Tenants pay all utilities via individual meters, ensuring low overhead and maximized margins. Available as an individual high-performing asset or at a bulk-purchase discount within our 5-property portfolio. Premier cornerstone for any investment strategy.

Key facts

  • 5,619 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2003

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Gross annual income: $22,236; Net operating income: $12,229; Annual operating expense: $8,895; Operating expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, and management; Unit 1 rent: $978 (occupied); Unit 2 rent: $875 (occupied); Vacancy rate assumed: 5%

Exterior

  • Parking: Unit 1: 1 parking space (street parking); Unit 2: 1 parking space (street parking)
  • Utilities: Separate electric meters
  • Home design: Duplex (2 units); Approximately 23 years old
  • Construction: Pre-owned condition; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Siding exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/stove (both units); Refrigerator (both units)
  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bathroom; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit heating; Electric heat; Window/wall air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection (both units); Dryer connection (both units)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (9.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (9.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lanier H S (math 9% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,632 statewide, top 95%, 1,547 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 80% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,708/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 2789% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $170,736 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.34%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$237,483
List price
$189,000
Delta
-20.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2614 W Poplar 0.03mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,377 (+2%) 10mo $229,000 $166 81
1617 NW 22nd 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,337 (-0%) 5mo $189,999 $142 71
1423 Delgado St 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,404 (+4%) 7mo $210,000 $150 71
230 Micklejohn 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,368 (+2%) 2mo $94,900 $69 63
1806 Delgado St 0.28mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,224 (-9%) 9mo $115,000 $94 56
3718 W Martin St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,236 (-8%) 2mo $90,000 $73 50
3714 Martin 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,404 (+4%) 8mo $89,900 $64 48
819 N Hamilton Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (-15%) 2mo $55,000 $48 46
114 Alexander 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,236 (-8%) 7mo $300,000 $243 46
3523 W Martin 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,232 (-8%) 8mo $85,000 $69 45
107 Blueridge 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,143 (-15%) 9mo $200,000 $175 45
3322 W Poplar St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,508 (+12%) 5mo $230,000 $153 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 7.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$104,983
Equity at exit
$170,266
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
7.34×
Total profit
$335,448
Equity at exit
$367,185

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78207

Home prices YoY
15.2%
Rents YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,708 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$383 /mo · $4,597/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$-103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,839
Max offer price $170,736
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $4 -5% $-50 +0% $-103 +5% $-157 +10% $-210
Rent -10% $-238 -5% $-171 +0% $-103 +5% $-36 +10% $32
Rate -1.0pp $-8 -0.5pp $-55 base $-103 +0.5pp $-152 +1.0pp $-202

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1231 Rivas St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,299 $1.16 44d 1 0.30mi
1230 Rivas St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1287 $1,999 $1.55 24d 1 0.31mi
206 Roberts St Unit 201 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 24d 1 0.38mi
155 S Josephine Tobin Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1782 $1,900 $1.07 22d 1 0.56mi
230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,595 $1.17 24d 1 0.59mi
230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,695 $1.24 44d 1 0.59mi
3918 W Martin St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 24d 1 0.67mi
155 N Josephine Tobin Dr San Antonio, TX 4.0 3.0 1782 $1,900 $1.07 15d 1 0.77mi
1615 N Navidad St Unit 101 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1804 $999 $0.55 5d 1 0.82mi
3038 W Salinas Unit 101 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1149 $1,550 $1.35 5d 1 0.85mi
811 Rivas St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,580 $1.24 24d 1 0.91mi
2607 W Craig Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1312 $1,475 $1.12 24d 1 0.92mi
2231 W Woodlawn Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1744 $1,900 $1.09 24d 1 0.92mi
2102 W Mistletoe Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1506 $1,925 $1.28 24d 1 0.93mi
2050 W Mistletoe Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1442 $4,500 $3.12 24d 1 0.93mi
2148 Texas Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1131 $1,375 $1.22 24d 1 1.00mi
1621 W French Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 3.0 1764 $1,895 $1.07 44d 1 1.01mi
2811 Buena Vista St San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1750 $2,350 $1.34 24d 1 1.03mi
2530 W Woodlawn Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1416 $2,195 $1.55 44d 1 1.05mi
1932 W Huisache Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1540 $1,975 $1.28 44d 1 1.09mi
1623 W Ashby Pl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1556 $1,900 $1.22 24d 1 1.09mi
135 Harvard Ter San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1509 $1,875 $1.24 5d 1 1.11mi
614 N Sabinas St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 930 $1,249 $1.34 5d 1 1.11mi
520 Cincinnati Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $2,000 $1.64 44d 1 1.17mi
2425 Monterey St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1416 $2,000 $1.41 44d 1 1.20mi
2331 Cincinnati Ave Unit 2345 03 San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 4d 1 1.22mi
2331 Cincinnati Ave San Antonio, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 13d 3 1.22mi
2313 Texas Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1309 $1,400 $1.07 45d 1 1.25mi
542 Rivas St Unit B San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $999 $1.14 5d 1 1.26mi
2246 W Houston St San Antonio, TX 4.0 3.0 1654 $2,100 $1.27 11d 1 1.28mi
214 Aztec St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 973 $1,275 $1.31 15d 1 1.32mi
1311 W French Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,500 $1.79 24d 1 1.38mi
219 Princeton Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1230 $2,200 $1.79 24d 1 1.49mi
1820 W Houston St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1132 $2,300 $2.03 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $189,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    listed $189,000 New 466-char remark
  15. 2024-12-31
    historical
  16. 2023-12-28
    listed $200,000 New
  17. 2023-11-01
    historical
  18. 2023-08-16
    listed $200,000 New
  19. 2022-02-16
    soldstatus
  20. 2022-02-16
    soldstatus
  21. 2022-02-02
    soldstatus
  22. 2020-02-28
    soldstatus
  23. 2009-07-28
    soldstatus
  24. 2005-06-30
    soldstatus
  25. 2002-11-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,597 · $383/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,597 · $383/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,499
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$4,597
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,640
− Management
−$1,640
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$4,407
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,058
After-tax cash flow
$-183/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Antonio ISD
NCES district ID
4838730
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$30,952
Composite
13.57/100
National rank
#9512
State rank
#805 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
55,474
Household income
$32,472
Rent vs Own
59.7% rent · 40.3% own
Severe rent burden
2789.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 41% White 6% Black 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 79%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 60%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 34.92%
Current HPI
264.7559
Rent YoY
▲ 7.73%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $189,000 LERA
  • 2024-12-31 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2023-12-28 Listed $200,000 LERA
  • 2023-11-01 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2023-08-16 Listed $200,000 LERA
  • 2022-02-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-02-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-02-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-02-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-07-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-06-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-11-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,597 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…