2609 W Poplar · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Immediate ROI: Stabilized & Professionally Managed Duplex Generate $22,236 annually from day one with this turn-key duplex, currently under professional management for a truly passive ownership experience. Tenants pay all utilities via individual meters, ensuring low overhead and maximized margins. Available as an individual high-performing asset or at a bulk-purchase discount within our 5-property portfolio. Premier cornerstone for any investment strategy.
Key facts
- 5,619 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2003
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Gross annual income: $22,236; Net operating income: $12,229; Annual operating expense: $8,895; Operating expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, and management; Unit 1 rent: $978 (occupied); Unit 2 rent: $875 (occupied); Vacancy rate assumed: 5%
Exterior
- Parking: Unit 1: 1 parking space (street parking); Unit 2: 1 parking space (street parking)
- Utilities: Separate electric meters
- Home design: Duplex (2 units); Approximately 23 years old
- Construction: Pre-owned condition; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Siding exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/stove (both units); Refrigerator (both units)
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bathroom; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window unit heating; Electric heat; Window/wall air conditioning
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection (both units); Dryer connection (both units)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (9.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (9.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lanier H S (math 9% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,632 statewide, top 95%, 1,547 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 80% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,708/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 2789% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.34%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,483
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- -20.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2614 W Poplar | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,377 (+2%) | 10mo | $229,000 | $166 | 81 |
| 1617 NW 22nd | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,337 (-0%) | 5mo | $189,999 | $142 | 71 |
| 1423 Delgado St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (+4%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $150 | 71 |
| 230 Micklejohn | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,368 (+2%) | 2mo | $94,900 | $69 | 63 |
| 1806 Delgado St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-9%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $94 | 56 |
| 3718 W Martin St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,236 (-8%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $73 | 50 |
| 3714 Martin | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,404 (+4%) | 8mo | $89,900 | $64 | 48 |
| 819 N Hamilton Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-15%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $48 | 46 |
| 114 Alexander | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,236 (-8%) | 7mo | $300,000 | $243 | 46 |
| 3523 W Martin | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,232 (-8%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $69 | 45 |
| 107 Blueridge | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,143 (-15%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $175 | 45 |
| 3322 W Poplar St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,508 (+12%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $153 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $104,983
- Equity at exit
- $170,266
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.34×
- Total profit
- $335,448
- Equity at exit
- $367,185
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78207
- Home prices YoY
- 15.2%
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,708 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$383 /mo · $4,597/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $-103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4 | -5% $-50 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-157 | +10% $-210 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-238 | -5% $-171 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-36 | +10% $32 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-8 | -0.5pp $-55 | base $-103 | +0.5pp $-152 | +1.0pp $-202 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1231 Rivas St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,299 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1230 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1287 | $1,999 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 206 Roberts St Unit 201 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 155 S Josephine Tobin Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1782 | $1,900 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,595 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,695 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3918 W Martin St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 155 N Josephine Tobin Dr San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1782 | $1,900 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1615 N Navidad St Unit 101 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1804 | $999 | $0.55 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3038 W Salinas Unit 101 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1149 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 811 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,580 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2607 W Craig Pl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,475 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2231 W Woodlawn Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1744 | $1,900 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2102 W Mistletoe Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $1,925 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2050 W Mistletoe Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $4,500 | $3.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2148 Texas Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $1,375 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1621 W French Pl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1764 | $1,895 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2811 Buena Vista St San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,350 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2530 W Woodlawn Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,195 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1932 W Huisache Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $1,975 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1623 W Ashby Pl San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 135 Harvard Ter San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $1,875 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 614 N Sabinas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,249 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 520 Cincinnati Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2425 Monterey St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2331 Cincinnati Ave Unit 2345 03 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2331 Cincinnati Ave San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 13d | 3 | 1.22mi |
| 2313 Texas Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1309 | $1,400 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 542 Rivas St Unit B San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $999 | $1.14 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2246 W Houston St San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1654 | $2,100 | $1.27 | 11d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 214 Aztec St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 973 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1311 W French Pl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 219 Princeton Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,200 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1820 W Houston St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $2,300 | $2.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$189,000 New 466-char remark
-
2024-12-31historical
-
2023-12-28$200,000 New
-
2023-11-01historical
-
2023-08-16$200,000 New
-
2022-02-16soldstatus
-
2022-02-16soldstatus
-
2022-02-02soldstatus
-
2020-02-28soldstatus
-
2009-07-28soldstatus
-
2005-06-30soldstatus
-
2002-11-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,597 · $383/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,597 · $383/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,499
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$4,597
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,640
- − Management
- −$1,640
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$4,407
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,058
- After-tax cash flow
- $-183/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,474
- Household income
- $32,472
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2789.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 41% White 6% Black 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 79%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 60%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 34.92%
- Current HPI
- 264.7559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.73%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-5.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $189,000 LERA
- 2024-12-31 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2023-12-28 Listed $200,000 LERA
- 2023-11-01 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2023-08-16 Listed $200,000 LERA
- 2022-02-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-02-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-02-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-07-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-06-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-11-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,597 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…