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108 Dixie Dr
C- Composite 50.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,000

108 Dixie Dr · Morgantown, MS 39120
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,444 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 100 Days on market
Built 1960 0.80 ac lot $89/sqft · 44% above area Est $99k · 30% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the Morgantown area is this three bedroom one and a half brick home. New flooring throughout. Hot water heater is approximately one year old. 36 x 36 shop with lots of storage.

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Hot water heater
  • Brick home

Tags

BRICK HOMENEW FLOORINGHOT WATER HEATERSHOP WITH LOTS OF STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $129k).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#106 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Natchez-Adams School District (town): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #114 of 130 in MS (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 283 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Adams County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,390 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.30%
Cash-on-cash
10.74%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$99,479
List price
$129,000
Delta
29.68%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2145 Second St 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,329 (-8%) 10mo $115,700 $87 76
802 Morgan Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,380 (-4%) 2mo $90,000 $65 74
104 Brooklyn Dr 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,401 (-3%) 9mo $120,000 $86 73
503 Brooklyn Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,459 (+1%) 7mo $149,500 $102 71
180 1/2 Booker 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,462 (+1%) 15mo $114,900 $79 65
11 Myrtle Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,456 (+1%) 11mo $54,900 $38 58
108 Cross 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,519 (+5%) 20mo $179,900 $118 48
109 Mimosa Dr 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,339 (-7%) 14mo $39,000 $29 47
302 Brooklyn Dr 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,245 (-14%) 19mo $130,000 $104 46
510 Brooklyn Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,275 (-12%) 15mo $115,000 $90 44
1208 Horseshoe 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,623 (+12%) 18mo $175,000 $108 36
15 Dogwood Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,239 (-14%) 13mo $78,000 $63 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-357
Equity at exit
$19,234
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$26,053
Equity at exit
$11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39120

Active inventory
283
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,424 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $860/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$323

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,015
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $396 -5% $360 +0% $323 +5% $287 +10% $250
Rent -10% $211 -5% $267 +0% $323 +5% $379 +10% $436
Rate -1.0pp $388 -0.5pp $356 base $323 +0.5pp $290 +1.0pp $256

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,000 Active 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    price $129,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 93 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 92 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 87 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 81 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 80 DOM
  17. 2026-03-10
    listed $135,000 Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Located in the Morgantown area is this three bedroom one and a half brick home. New flooring throughout. Hot water heater is approximately one year old. 36 x 36 shop with lots of storage.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$860 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,019 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$159/yr (+$13/mo · 18.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 94% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,089
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$860
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,367
− Management
−$1,367
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable income
$1,871
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$449
After-tax cash flow
$3,428/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natchez-Adams School District
NCES district ID
2803030
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$28,288
Composite
10.41/100
National rank
#9785
State rank
#114 of 130 in MS

Livability — Morgantown

Score
65/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#12538

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Morgantown, MS
Population (ZIP)
29,212

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,614 people
By 2030
27,405 · -4.2%
By 2040
24,914 · -12.9%
By 2050
22,554 · -21.2%
By 2075
17,096 · -40.3%
By 2100
12,156 · -57.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
D (+13.9) · D 56.5% · R 42.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.7pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 13.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.9 2020: D+16.1 2016: D+14.7 2012: D+18.0 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.67%
Current HPI
112.2371
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $135,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $860 · +19.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…