🏗️ New Construction
222 Whittemore Rd · Jasper, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NEW, 2026 Spruce DW Mobile Home, 3 bed 2 bath, 1475sq. ft. sitting on 1.9Acres ready just waiting on you
Key facts
- 1.9 acre lot
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; New construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Property listed as new construction; Located on a 1.9-acre lot
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate
- Heating & cooling: Central heat; Central air; Electric system
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Central heating and cooling; Electric heating and cooling
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 3.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#228 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Walker County (rural): math 13% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 129 in AL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.26%
- DSCR
- 2.79
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $184,375
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75 Whittemore Rd | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (-14%) | 12mo | $157,500 | $125 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $80,503
- Equity at exit
- $27,491
- IRR
- 43.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.11×
- Total profit
- $212,392
- Equity at exit
- $15,941
Cash invested: $51,625 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35503
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,805 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$967
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$230 /mo · $2,766/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$799
- Net cashflow
- $1,732
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,094
- Closing costs
- $5,531
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 S Bay Dr Jasper, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,925 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9661 Curry Hwy Unit 132 Jasper, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,500 | $2.50 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 9661 Curry Hwy #224 Jasper, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $5,000 | $3.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 104-char remark
-
2026-06-09$179,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,666
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,328
- − Property taxes
- −$2,766
- − Insurance
- −$922
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,653
- − Management
- −$3,653
- − Depreciation
- −$5,364
- Taxable income
- $18,980
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,555
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,231/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2026 Spruce DW Mobile Home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental markets. Consider painting, landscaping, and smart home upgrades to further enhance its appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, attracting more buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walker County
- NCES district ID
- 0103450
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,664
- Composite
- 21.51/100
- National rank
- #8321
- State rank
- #89 of 129 in AL
Livability — Jasper
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #17152
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 9,927
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,601
Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,037 people
- By 2030
- 58,391 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 53,080 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 48,031 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 37,799 · -38.1%
- By 2100
- 29,001 · -52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 2% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.8) · D 13.8% · R 85.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -46.4pp · 2024: -71.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.8 2020: R+67.9 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+52.9 2008: R+46.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.26%
- Current HPI
- 172.9286
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $179,900 Walker County Area MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…