CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
13828 Park Pl
B- Composite 66.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

13828 Park Pl · La Feria, TX 78559
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,242 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 2000 5,000 sqft lot ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

Key facts

  • Screen patio
  • Clubhouse
  • Open concept design

Tags

SCREEN PATIOSALTWATER SWIMMING POOLCLUBHOUSEOPEN CONCEPT DESIGN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.4% in La Feria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • La Feria ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #630 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sam Houston El (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 440 students, 87% FRL); La Feria H S (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 909 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 50% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.07%
Cash-on-cash
17.07%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$4,523
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$29,727
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78559

Home prices YoY
-6.1%
Active inventory
260
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,291 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,247/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $896
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-16
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-17
    price $95,000
  4. 2025-12-09
    listed $105,000 Active
  5. 2025-07-14
    soldstatus
  6. 2025-02-21
    soldstatus Sold 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

  7. 2025-02-21
    soldstatus Closed 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

  8. 2025-02-21
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

  9. 2025-02-21
    status Pending 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

  10. 2025-02-11
    historical Option 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

  11. 2025-01-13
    price $119,900 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

  12. 2025-01-13
    price $119,900 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

  13. 2024-09-30
    price $122,400 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

  14. 2024-09-30
    price $122,400 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

  15. 2024-09-03
    listed $124,900 Active 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

  16. 2024-09-03
    listed $124,900 Active 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Very nice and well kept manufactured home with some updated features in a 55+ community. This property features a covered wooden deck along an additional shed. All appliances convey along with 2 furnished bedrooms. Check out this listing, must see to appreciate!

  17. 2014-02-18
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,247 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,738 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$492/yr (+$41/mo · 39.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,495
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,247
− Insurance
−$1,272
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,240
− Management
−$1,240
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$2,411
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$579
After-tax cash flow
$3,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
La Feria ISD
NCES district ID
4826040
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$33,306
Composite
25.41/100
National rank
#7460
State rank
#630 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Feria

Score
65/100
State rank
#667
US rank
#12330

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,752

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 35% White 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 87%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
40% English-only · Spanish 60%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.21%
Current HPI
187.8512
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.9% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Pending RGVMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted RGVMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $95,000 RGVMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $105,000 RGVMLS
  • 2025-07-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-02-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-02-21 Sold (MLS) RGVMLS
  • 2025-02-21 Sold (MLS) MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-02-21 Pending MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-02-11 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-01-13 Price Changed $119,900 RGVMLS
  • 2025-01-13 Price Changed $119,900 MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-09-30 Price Changed $122,400 RGVMLS
  • 2024-09-30 Price Changed $122,400 MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-09-03 Listed $124,900 RGVMLS
  • 2024-09-03 Listed $124,900 MCALLENMLS
  • 2014-02-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+18.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,247 · +17.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…