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7327 Howard Cir
D Composite 40.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

7327 Howard Cir · Jonesboro, GA 30236
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,230 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1963 $159/sqft · 16% above area Est $217k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY FENCED BACKYARD

Key facts

  • Fenced backyard
  • Built 1963
  • Listed 51 days

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDCENTRAL HEATING AND COOLINGOAK FOREST SUBDIVISION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Oak Forest subdivision; Address: 7327 Howard Circle, Jonesboro, GA 30236
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; No community features

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential house; Resale property
  • Construction: Built in 1963
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Brick construction; No lot features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features; Two levels; No basement; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Other laundry features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-749/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (5.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (17.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#63 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $195k implies a 752% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,363 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.37%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$217,001
List price
$195,000
Delta
-10.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7323 Howard Pl 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,260 (+2%) 11mo $185,000 $147 83
7411 Anderson Pl 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,242 (+1%) 10mo $149,000 $120 74
7161 Pine St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,264 (+3%) 4mo $185,000 $146 73
687 Anderson Dr 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,400 (+14%) 2mo $234,000 $167 65
707 Battlecreek Rd 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,075 (-13%) 14mo $145,000 $135 60
692 Johnson Rd 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,316 (+7%) 16mo $100,000 $76 59
7401 Nulan Way 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,248 (+2%) 18mo $124,000 $99 58
7437 Nulan Way 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,225 (-0%) 13mo $225,000 $184 58
900 King Rd 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,118 (-9%) 12mo $252,000 $225 57
7585 Haley Dr 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,050 (-15%) 2mo $110,000 $105 50
447 Wavelyn Way 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,092 (-11%) 13mo $153,700 $141 40
356 Queen Aliese Ln 0.72mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,318 (+7%) 16mo $185,000 $140 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.5%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-36,920
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-42,702
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30236

Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,604 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$225 /mo · $2,705/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$-62

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,683
Max offer price $183,975
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
707 Battlecreek Rd Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.5 1075 $1,625 $1.51 43d 1 0.10mi
7259 Mayfair Cir Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,590 $1.57 2d 1 0.25mi
754 S Nottingham Rd Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,500 $1.31 43d 1 0.52mi
100 Chaselake Dr Jonesboro, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1160 $1,501 $1.29 1d 23 0.54mi
537 Fielding Cir Riverdale, GA 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,465 $1.43 24d 1 0.54mi
808 S Nottingham Rd Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.5 1107 $1,400 $1.26 43d 1 0.55mi
808 S Nottingham Rd Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.5 1107 $1,400 $1.26 18d 1 0.55mi
661 Sherwood Dr Jonesboro, GA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1184 $1,495 $1.26 43d 1 0.61mi
394 Queen Aliese Ln Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,550 $1.15 43d 1 0.64mi
7545 Tara Rd Jonesboro, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1032 $1,562 $1.51 1d 20 0.69mi
858 Ohara Dr Jonesboro, GA 2.0 2.0 1001 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 0.76mi
7620 Tara Rd Jonesboro, GA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,250 $1.04 24d 1 0.79mi
933 Ohara Dr Jonesboro, GA 2.0 2.0 1464 $2,700 $1.84 43d 1 0.80mi
1174 Battlecreek Rd Jonesboro, GA 2.0–3.0 2.5 1270 $1,850 $1.46 2d 5 0.85mi
3500 Summercourt Dr Jonesboro, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 843 $1,428 $1.69 1d 9 0.96mi
1137 Gable Ter Jonesboro, GA 4.0 2.5 1116 $1,955 $1.75 24d 1 0.97mi
6903 Tara Blvd Jonesboro, GA 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,305 $1.13 24d 1 0.98mi
6903 Tara Blvd Jonesboro, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1057 $1,255 $1.19 43d 2 0.98mi
7878 N Main St Jonesboro, GA 2.0 1.0 950 $962 $1.01 1d 5 0.98mi
234 Montego Cir Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,615 $1.44 24d 1 0.99mi
6726 Tara Blvd Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.0–2.5 1147 $1,499 $1.31 12d 1 1.10mi
7767 Park Ln Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.5 1065 $1,660 $1.56 43d 1 1.11mi
7800 Park Ln Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.5 1036 $1,723 $1.66 43d 1 1.13mi
7799 Park Ln Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.5 1112 $1,500 $1.35 4d 1 1.16mi
289 Montego Cir Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.0 1254 $1,768 $1.41 43d 1 1.16mi
164 Meadowlark Ln Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.5 1056 $1,665 $1.58 1d 1 1.22mi
100 Riverview Pl Jonesboro, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1153 $2,002 $1.74 1d 18 1.23mi
985 Mount Zion Rd Morrow, GA 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1157 $1,274 $1.10 1d 9 1.24mi
1 Magnolia Cir Jonesboro, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,622 $1.75 1d 15 1.26mi
855 Mount Zion Rd Apt G6 Jonesboro, GA 2.0 1.5 1159 $1,249 $1.08 5d 1 1.26mi
701 Mt Zion Rd Jonesboro, GA 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1136 $1,500 $1.32 3d 8 1.27mi
855 Mount Zion Rd Jonesboro, GA 2.0 1.5 1159 $1,249 $1.08 43d 1 1.27mi
855 Mount Zion Rd Jonesboro, GA 2.0–3.0 1.5 1219 $1,249 $1.02 15d 5 1.27mi
855 Mount Zion Rd Apt E2 Jonesboro, GA 2.0 1.5 1159 $999 $0.86 5d 1 1.29mi
855 Mount Zion Rd Apt C1 Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.5 1280 $1,199 $0.94 5d 1 1.30mi
1150 Highway 138 Jonesboro, GA 2.0 1.0 741 $1,150 $1.55 24d 1 1.31mi
976 5th Ave Jonesboro, GA 3.0 2.0 1496 $2,000 $1.34 5d 1 1.32mi
850 Mount Zion Rd Jonesboro, GA 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1040 $1,350 $1.30 1d 7 1.36mi
267 Wayne Ave Jonesboro, GA 4.0 2.0 1012 $2,300 $2.27 43d 1 1.38mi
6763 Brookwood Cir Jonesboro, GA 3.0 1.5 1283 $1,391 $1.08 43d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $195,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $195,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    listed $210,000 New 724-char remark
  15. 2011-07-21
    historical 60-char remark
    Show marketing remark (60 chars)

    GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY FENCED BACKYARD

  16. 2011-07-18
    soldstatus $22,900 Sold 60-char remark
    Show marketing remark (60 chars)

    GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY FENCED BACKYARD

  17. 2011-07-05
    status Pending 60-char remark
    Show marketing remark (60 chars)

    GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY FENCED BACKYARD

  18. 2011-06-08
    listed $22,900 Active 60-char remark
    Show marketing remark (60 chars)

    GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY FENCED BACKYARD

  19. 2004-12-27
    soldstatus $102,000
  20. 1996-07-25
    soldstatus $58,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,705 · $225/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,705 · $225/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,244
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$2,705
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,539
− Management
−$1,539
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$4,111
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$987
After-tax cash flow
$238/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clayton County
NCES district ID
1301230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,266
Composite
13.41/100
National rank
#9527
State rank
#155 of 174 in GA

Livability — Jonesboro

Score
72/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#6030

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A- Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Clayton County · 230,153 people
City population
93,280
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
50,089
Household income
$66,973
Rent vs Own
40.8% rent · 59.2% own
Severe rent burden
2024.0

Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
310,777 people
By 2030
329,762 · +6.1%
By 2040
368,052 · +18.4%
By 2050
401,196 · +29.1%
By 2075
472,488 · +52.0%
By 2100
500,446 · +61.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 10% Vietnamese 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clayton

2024 margin
Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.02%
Current HPI
204.1778
Rent YoY
▲ 2.15%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+233.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $195,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $210,000 GAMLS
  • 2011-07-21 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2011-07-18 Sold (MLS) $22,900 FMLS
  • 2011-07-05 Pending FMLS
  • 2011-06-08 Listed $22,900 FMLS
  • 2004-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 1996-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,705 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…