17906 Turning Leaf Cir · Connerton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Imagine ending each day with breathtaking waterview sunsets from your screened-in porch, peacefully overlooking the pond—truly a tranquil retreat and one of the home’s most special features. Freshly painted and move-in ready, this well-designed floor plan offers 3 bedrooms (or 2 bedrooms plus a dedicated office/flex space), 2 full bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Inside, you’ll find granite countertops, a spacious pantry, a large utility closet for extra storage, and a convenient indoor laundry room. The fenced backyard provides added privacy and space for pets or outdoor enjoyment.
Key facts
- Overlooking the pond
- Dog park
- Screened-in porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $289k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-383 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (23.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (17.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $221k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#596 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Connerton Elementary School (math 48% / reading 57%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 958 students, 39% FRL); Pine View Middle School (math 63% / reading 52%, grade B, #157 of 571 statewide, top 28%, 1,170 students, 32% FRL); Land O' Lakes High School (math 56% / reading 64%, grade C+, #106 of 667 statewide, top 16%, 2,248 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools average 33% FRL vs 48% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.8%/yr); 873 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 54d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 13662% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.67%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $315,601
- List price
- $289,000
- Delta
- -8.43%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17804 Turning Leaf Cir | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (0%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $189 | 94 |
| 18184 Turning Leaf Cir | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (0%) | 5mo | $312,000 | $204 | 90 |
| 18261 Turning Leaf Cir | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (0%) | 5mo | $290,000 | $189 | 87 |
| 17663 Turning Leaf Cir | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (0%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $183 | 86 |
| 10495 Gliding Eagle Way | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-2%) | 2mo | $362,000 | $241 | 81 |
| 10378 Gliding Eagle Way | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,545 (+1%) | 2mo | $373,000 | $241 | 78 |
| 10647 Gentle Rain Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+2%) | 6mo | $339,990 | $218 | 76 |
| 10631 Gentle Rain Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+2%) | 7mo | $339,990 | $218 | 75 |
| 10456 Red Tailed Hawk Ln | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (0%) | 4mo | $353,000 | $230 | 74 |
| 10591 Gentle Rain Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (+9%) | 6mo | $344,990 | $207 | 59 |
| 10623 Gentle Rain Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (+9%) | 7mo | $349,990 | $210 | 58 |
| 9928 Torrisdale Loop | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,484 (-3%) | 5mo | $350,000 | $236 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-77,980
- Equity at exit
- $43,091
- IRR
- -54.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.55×
- Total profit
- $-125,435
- Equity at exit
- $24,987
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 32 active · 10 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.1 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $324,950 ($200/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 57 d
- This list price
- 6% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +2.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34638
- Home prices YoY
- -16.0%
- Rents YoY
- -3.8%
- Active inventory
- 873
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,380 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax from tax record
- −$502 /mo · $6,024/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$125
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$500
- Net cashflow
- $-383
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-219 | -5% $-301 | +0% $-383 | +5% $-464 | +10% $-546 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-571 | -5% $-477 | +0% $-383 | +5% $-289 | +10% $-195 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-237 | -0.5pp $-309 | base $-383 | +0.5pp $-458 | +1.0pp $-534 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18039 Turning Leaf Cir Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,895 | $1.91 | 73d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 17784 Turning Leaf Cir Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $2,450 | $1.60 | 73d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 18276 Turning Leaf Cir Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $2,250 | $1.47 | 73d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 18276 Turning Leaf Cir Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $2,250 | $1.47 | 40d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 18267 Turning Leaf Cir Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,095 | $1.38 | 40d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 18267 Turning Leaf Cir Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,095 | $1.38 | 73d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 18337 Falling Pine Needle Ln Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,200 | $1.19 | 7d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 10956 Wishing Cloud Rd Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1666 | $1,975 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10956 Wishing Cloud Rd Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1666 | $1,975 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10981 Wishing Cloud Rd Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1787 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 69d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 10735 Hawks Landing Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1848 | $2,495 | $1.35 | 64d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 11103 Wishing Cloud Rd Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1787 | $2,350 | $1.32 | 73d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 11115 Wishing Cloud Rd Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1666 | $2,250 | $1.35 | 73d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 18236 Hunters Meadow Walk Land O Lakes, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2023 | $2,195 | $1.09 | 42d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 18236 Hunters Meadow Walk Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2025 | $2,195 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 11070 Crescent Deer Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $1,950 | $1.17 | 73d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 11236 Crescent Deer Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $1,985 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 11071 Crescent Deer Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 73d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11440 Crescent Deer Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,050 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11450 Crescent Deer Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $1,995 | $1.19 | 67d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11262 Crescent Deer Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,195 | $1.31 | 27d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11262 Crescent Deer Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,195 | $1.31 | 54d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11147 Crescent Deer Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $1,995 | $1.19 | 73d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11028 Crescent Deer Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,075 | $1.24 | 73d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 11028 Crescent Deer Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,075 | $1.24 | 64d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 11194 Treasure Swale Way Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,200 | $1.32 | 9d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 18774 Grand Live Oak Blvd Land O' Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $2,349 | $1.80 | 48d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 18114 Cypress Bay Pkwy Land O Lakes, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 7d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 17534 Shirewood Way Land O Lakes, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1870 | $2,495 | $1.33 | 7d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 17534 Shirewood Way Land O Lakes, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1870 | $2,750 | $1.47 | 40d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 17512 Shirewood Way Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 73d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 18772 Grand Live Oak BLVD HOWEY IN HLS, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1076 | $2,682 | $2.49 | 7d | 148 | 0.76mi |
| 18588 Hunters Meadow Walk Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1753 | $2,220 | $1.27 | 7d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10567 Heron Hideaway Loop Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $2,050 | $1.34 | 61d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 17761 Pleasantview Blvd Land O' Lakes, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1870 | $2,600 | $1.39 | 69d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9896 Dancing Goat Pl Land O' Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $2,175 | $1.46 | 73d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9864 Dancing Goat Pl Land O' Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $2,150 | $1.45 | 18d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 17657 Nectar Flume Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1634 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 7d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 17608 Nectar Flume Dr Land O Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1634 | $2,100 | $1.29 | 73d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 10124 Coldwater Loop Land O Lakes, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1888 | $2,555 | $1.35 | 7d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- UnfurnishedNo lease restrictions indicatedDirections available to community
- Financial info
- Other annual assessment: $1,907Taxes listed (2025): $6,024
- HOA & community
- HOA managed by Inframark/Chrissie BrownMonthly HOA fee approximately $125.33 (quarterly association fee listed as $376)HOA includes pool, structure maintenance, and grounds maintenanceCommunity amenities: clubhouse, pool, dog park, playground, sidewalks, street lights, community mailboxPets allowed with breed restrictionsCDD present
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedCable connectedBroadband/High-speed internet availableUnderground utilities
- Home design
- Residential villaSingle-storyFaces northwest
- Construction
- Stucco exteriorShingle roofBlock foundationBuilt with approximately 1,532 sq ft living area
- Exterior features
- Covered patioScreened patioPond viewPaved road accessLot approximately 0.1 acre (0 to less than 1/4 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRefrigeratorStone countersSolid wood cabinets
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- Carpet
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- High ceilingsOpen floorplan with kitchen/family room comboLiving room/dining room comboSplit bedroom layoutSolid wood cabinetsStone countertopsWalk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility
- Dedicated laundry roomWasherDryerElectric water heater
HOA detail $125/mo · $1,500/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-14$2,100
-
2026-04-15price $289,000
-
2026-03-30price $295,000
-
2026-03-18$305,000 Active
-
2022-03-28soldstatus $299,665
-
2022-03-28$299,665
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,024 · $502/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,024 · $502/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,562
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$6,024
- − Insurance
- −$1,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,285
- − Management
- −$2,285
- − HOA
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$9,573
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,298
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,295/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This single-family home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It is move-in ready and offers a good ROI with minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more buyers ↑
- Both Interior updates (paint, minor repairs) — Fresh paint and minor repairs can improve the home's appearance and attract more buyers ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Connerton
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #596
- US rank
- #11437
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 570,045 people
- City population
- 11,398
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,644
- Household income
- $123,899
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 16% Black 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 4% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.02%
- Current HPI
- 299.2018
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.78%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-99.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed for Rent $2,100 STELLARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $289,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $295,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Listed $305,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-28 Listed $299,665 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-28 Sold (MLS) $299,665 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+27.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,024 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…