507 Dean · White Hall, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring your contractor and make your vision for this one come to life! 3 bedrooms plus a bonus space upstairs, 2.5 bathrooms. House at the end of cul-de-sac on . 87 acres. Fenced backyard, roof 2021, hot water 2020. Utilities are not turned on. Selling as is. The potential is endless! Bring all offers!
Key facts
- 0.87 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1935
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($884/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (15.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.0% in White Hall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#20 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- White Hall School District (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #86 of 238 in AR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $160k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.97%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $238,966
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -33.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1201 Robin | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 2,718 (+2%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $59 | 64 |
| 900 Anderson Ave | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,482 (-7%) | 12mo | $399,000 | $161 | 54 |
| 7818 Dollarway Rd | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,640 (-1%) | 10mo | $147,000 | $56 | 52 |
| 209 Clark Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 2,400 (-10%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $123 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-21,280
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-12,670
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71602
- Home prices YoY
- -7.8%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,359 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,134/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $74
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $160,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-15statusdays on market $160,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Price Change 67 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $160,000 Price Change 66 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Price Change 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricestatus $160,000 Price Change 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $170,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $170,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-05-12price $170,000 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Bring your contractor and make your vision for this one come to life! 3 bedrooms plus a bonus space upstairs, 2.5 bathrooms. House at the end of cul-de-sac on . 87 acres. Fenced backyard, roof 2021, hot water 2020. Utilities are not turned on. Selling as is. The potential is endless! Bring all offers!
-
2026-04-21price $180,000 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Bring your contractor and make your vision for this one come to life! 3 bedrooms plus a bonus space upstairs, 2.5 bathrooms. House at the end of cul-de-sac on . 87 acres. Fenced backyard, roof 2021, hot water 2020. Utilities are not turned on. Selling as is. The potential is endless! Bring all offers!
-
2026-04-07$190,000 New Listing 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Bring your contractor and make your vision for this one come to life! 3 bedrooms plus a bonus space upstairs, 2.5 bathrooms. House at the end of cul-de-sac on . 87 acres. Fenced backyard, roof 2021, hot water 2020. Utilities are not turned on. Selling as is. The potential is endless! Bring all offers!
-
2013-11-15soldstatus $89,950 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Property is located at the end of a dead end street in a quiet subdivision. Lots of space for a growing family with bonus room upstairs and over the garage. Two bedrooms and 2.5 baths with lots of updates. Hardwood floors and much more. Call today for details. This is a Fannie Mae Home Path property must log on www. homepath.com to submit offers.
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2013-10-15historical 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Property is located at the end of a dead end street in a quiet subdivision. Lots of space for a growing family with bonus room upstairs and over the garage. Two bedrooms and 2.5 baths with lots of updates. Hardwood floors and much more. Call today for details. This is a Fannie Mae Home Path property must log on www. homepath.com to submit offers.
-
2013-10-04$89,900 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Property is located at the end of a dead end street in a quiet subdivision. Lots of space for a growing family with bonus room upstairs and over the garage. Two bedrooms and 2.5 baths with lots of updates. Hardwood floors and much more. Call today for details. This is a Fannie Mae Home Path property must log on www. homepath.com to submit offers.
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2007-12-10soldstatus $144,712
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2007-11-30soldstatus $153,000
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2007-10-05historical
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2007-05-30$159,000
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2002-08-05soldstatus $118,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,134 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,134 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$1,134
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,305
- − Management
- −$1,305
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$1,849
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$444
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,328/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- White Hall School District
- NCES district ID
- 0514140
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,633
- Composite
- 32.16/100
- National rank
- #5788
- State rank
- #86 of 238 in AR
Livability — White Hall
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #5275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- White Hall, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,922
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,110 people
- By 2030
- 58,519 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 49,740 · -21.2%
- By 2050
- 42,331 · -32.9%
- By 2075
- 29,591 · -53.1%
- By 2100
- 21,047 · -66.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 32% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.84%
- Current HPI
- 223.9305
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+44.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $170,000 CARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $180,000 CARMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $190,000 CARMLS
- 2013-11-15 Sold (MLS) $89,950 CARMLS
- 2013-10-15 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2013-10-04 Listed $89,900 CARMLS
- 2007-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $144,712 Public Records
- 2007-11-30 Sold (MLS) $153,000 CARMLS
- 2007-10-05 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2007-05-30 Listed $159,000 CARMLS
- 2002-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,134 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…