1021 NW 3rd St #206 · Miami, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.88%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Cashflow, Rented for $1,550/monthly, after expenses it is cash flowing $1,150+. 1 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom residence located in the West Brickell/Little Havana area. Excellent location near the Health District, Brickell, Downtown Miami, and the Miami River, with easy access to major highways. The property sits on a quiet street. On-street parking offers good availability, and washer conveniently located in the unit. Buy your investment property now!! POSSIBLE TO BUY A 3 PACKAGE OF APARTMENTS IN THE SAME BUILDING!!
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Miami river
- Health district
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions or conditions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $204 covering common areas
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Security: Fire alarm
- Home design: Attached property; 1 story; Entry on level 1
- Construction: Block construction; Effective year built
- Exterior features: Open balcony
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Third floor entry; Ceramic tile floors
- Laundry & utility: Washer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($272/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,885/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1087% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.74%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-22,276
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -39.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.15×
- Total profit
- $-37,094
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33128
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Rents YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,885 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$185 /mo · $2,216/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$204
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $88 | -5% $55 | +0% $23 | +5% $-10 | +10% $-42 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-126 | -5% $-52 | +0% $23 | +5% $97 | +10% $172 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $81 | -0.5pp $52 | base $23 | +0.5pp $-7 | +1.0pp $-37 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $204 · $2,448/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-03-23$115,000 Active
-
2026-01-15soldstatus $80,000
-
2025-11-15historical
-
2025-10-22$110,000 Active
-
2025-09-05historical
-
2025-06-06$166,450 Active
-
2025-04-19historical $1,500
-
2025-04-14$1,600
-
2025-04-01historical $1,500
-
2025-03-07price $1,600
-
2025-03-03$1,700
-
2024-01-29historical $1,650
-
2024-01-23price $1,650
-
2023-12-28$1,700
-
2023-06-17historical
-
2023-04-09price $179,000
-
2023-04-06status Active
-
2023-04-02historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-03-27$174,000 Active
-
2022-01-14historical
-
2021-07-02price $195,000
-
2021-05-10status Active
-
2021-04-01price $175,000
-
2021-03-22price $185,000
-
2021-03-21status Active
-
2021-02-08$155,000 Active
-
2019-07-11soldstatus $95,000
-
2019-07-03soldstatus $95,000 Sold
-
2019-06-07status Pending
-
2019-06-07historical
-
2019-05-24$94,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,216 · $185/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,216 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 88% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,615
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$2,216
- − Insurance
- −$5,694
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,809
- − Management
- −$1,809
- − HOA
- −$2,448
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$1,148
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$276
- After-tax cash flow
- $547/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #2724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 827,308
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,475
- Household income
- $42,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1087.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 50% White 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 29% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 70% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 13% English-only · Spanish 82% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.75%
- Current HPI
- 436.8124
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.08%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+22.3% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Listed $115,000 MARMLS
- 2026-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2025-11-15 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-10-22 Listed $110,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-05 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-06-06 Listed $166,450 MARMLS
- 2025-04-19 Rental Removed $1,500 MARMLS
- 2025-04-14 Listed for Rent $1,600 MARMLS
- 2025-04-01 Rental Removed $1,500 MARMLS
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $1,600 MARMLS
- 2025-03-03 Listed for Rent $1,700 MARMLS
- 2024-01-29 Rental Removed $1,650 MARMLS
- 2024-01-23 Price Changed $1,650 MARMLS
- 2023-12-28 Listed for Rent $1,700 MARMLS
- 2023-06-17 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2023-04-09 Price Changed $179,000 MARMLS
- 2023-04-06 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2023-04-02 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2023-03-27 Listed $174,000 MARMLS
- 2022-01-14 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-07-02 Price Changed $195,000 MARMLS
- 2021-05-10 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2021-04-01 Price Changed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2021-03-22 Price Changed $185,000 MARMLS
- 2021-03-21 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2021-02-08 Listed $155,000 MARMLS
- 2019-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2019-07-03 Sold (MLS) $95,000 MARMLS
- 2019-06-07 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-06-07 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2019-05-24 Listed $94,000 MARMLS
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,216 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…