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2714 Ashland Ave
D Composite 40.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,900

2714 Ashland Ave · Covington, KY 41015
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,520 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1948 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One of a kind property on a great lot in a super convenient location. Very large house with a huge unfinished basement with fireplace, one car built in garage and a 2 car detached garage. New roof, windows, glass block in basement, HVAC, water heater, beautiful refinished hardwood flooring throughout. New kitchen cabinets, granite counter tops and stainless appliances in the first floor kitchen and also in the kitchenette on the second floor. New lighting and updated bathrooms. Nice covered side porch. Two fireplaces, large driveway for parking many cars. This can be a 4-6 bedroom home. Many possibilities. Immediate occupancy.

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Stainless appliances
  • New kitchen cabinets

Tags

UNFINISHED BASEMENTNEW ROOFNEW KITCHEN CABINETSGRANITE COUNTER TOPSSTAINLESS APPLIANCESUPDATED BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 3-car garage; Driveway; Garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Water available
  • Home design: Two-story single family house; Brick construction; Entry level not specified; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Built in 1948; Brick construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Vinyl window frames
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Cleared, level lot; City street frontage; Paved road access; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchenette (separate kitchenette adjoining bonus room)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (level unspecified) — large primary suite; Bedroom 2 (level unspecified); Bedroom 3 (level unspecified); Bedroom 4 (level unspecified); Bedroom 5 (level unspecified); Bonus room (adjoins to kitchenette)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Granite counters; Chandelier; Ceiling fan(s); Decorative, inoperable fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $288k (17.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $288k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.3% in Covington — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#40 in KY, #376 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+.
  • Covington Independent (suburban): math 10% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #162 of 165 in KY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ninth District Elementary (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #648 of 676 statewide, top 98%, 341 students, 87% FRL); Holmes Middle School (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #211 of 217 statewide, top 97%, 656 students, 84% FRL); Holmes High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 254 statewide, top 89%, 878 students, 80% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $287,500 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.06%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$183,960
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3213 Decoursey Ave 0.50mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,256 (-10%) 11mo $165,000 $73 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-51,291
Equity at exit
$52,171
10-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-37,978
Equity at exit
$30,253

Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41015

Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,875 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$204 /mo · $2,449/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$604
Net cashflow
$86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,766
Max offer price $349,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,475
Closing costs
$10,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1808 Holman Ave Covington, KY 6.0 2.5 2600 $2,875 $1.11 1d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-14
    listed $349,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,449 · $204/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,009 · $251/mo
Expected delta
+$560/yr (+$47/mo · 22.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,500
− Mortgage interest
−$19,600
− Property taxes
−$2,449
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,760
− Management
−$2,760
− Depreciation
−$10,179
Taxable loss
−$4,997
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,199
After-tax cash flow
$2,237/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Covington Independent
NCES district ID
2101350
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$33,681
Composite
15.04/100
National rank
#9353
State rank
#162 of 165 in KY

Livability — Covington

Score
86/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#376

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Covington, KY
City population
34,373
Population (ZIP)
20,396

Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,205 people
By 2030
177,897 · +2.1%
By 2040
182,671 · +4.9%
By 2050
183,543 · +5.4%
By 2075
178,977 · +2.7%
By 2100
159,920 · -8.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kenton

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.37%
Current HPI
203.7263
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Pending NKMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $349,900 NKMLS

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,449 · +33.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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