1513 Gibbs St · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Single-story fixer-upper in Jefferson Heights, ready for a full renovation. This property has been taken down to the studs, offering a blank slate for a complete remodel. Features include a fenced yard, double-wide driveway with carport, back patio, and a storage shed. Located just minutes from Downtown San Antonio, the Alamodome, The Pearl, and major highways. Excellent opportunity for investors or buyers looking to customize a home in a prime central location at an affordable price.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Double-wide driveway
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.18%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,893
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -28.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2710 E Houston St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (+14%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $182 | 65 |
| 122 Belmont | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 902 (+2%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $105 | 60 |
| 1341 Paso Hondo | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (+14%) | 7mo | $239,900 | $238 | 56 |
| 115 Robeson | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 928 (+4%) | 3mo | $149,000 | $161 | 53 |
| 1830 Gorman | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 786 (-12%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $140 | 53 |
| 822 Potomac | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (+14%) | 5mo | $79,900 | $79 | 53 |
| 1046 Paso Hondo | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 953 (+7%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $147 | 51 |
| 207 Fargo | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (+7%) | 9mo | $97,700 | $103 | 46 |
| 1102 Onslow | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 995 (+12%) | 6mo | $119,950 | $121 | 46 |
| 339 Como | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 801 (-10%) | 0mo | $115,999 | $145 | 45 |
| 401 Canton | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 808 (-9%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $80 | 44 |
| 342 Canton | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 990 (+12%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $131 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.79×
- Total profit
- $77,386
- Equity at exit
- $89,187
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 9.38×
- Total profit
- $232,319
- Equity at exit
- $192,335
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78202
- Home prices YoY
- 27.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,314 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$220 /mo · $2,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $258
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $314 | -5% $286 | +0% $258 | +5% $230 | +10% $202 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $154 | -5% $206 | +0% $258 | +5% $310 | +10% $362 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $308 | -0.5pp $283 | base $258 | +0.5pp $233 | +1.0pp $206 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1435 Gibbs San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,435 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 610 Belmont San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,195 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 706 Canton San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,545 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 746 Gulf San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $975 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 742 Gulf St Unit 746 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $975 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 639 Canton San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 227 S Grimes St Unit 202 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1089 | $1,550 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1650 Gorman San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,111 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1510 Gorman San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 18d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1414 Gorman San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,175 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 932 Poinsettia St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $945 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 934 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $995 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 928 Poinsettia St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $990 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 314 Maryland St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1055 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 936 Poinsettia St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $895 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 710 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,195 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 146 Eross San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $900 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2118 Burnet St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2239 Burnet St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 438 Gulf St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 799 | $975 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1101 Gibbs San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1101 Gibbs San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1810 Burnet St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,045 | $1.69 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 311 Spriggsdale Ave Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $981 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1223 N Walters St Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,047 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2142 Lamar St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 143 Ranger Unit 101 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,099 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 215 Edna Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,260 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 819 Larry San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,149 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1619 Nolan St Unit B San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,050 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1615 Nolan St Unit A San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 11d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 518 Rotary San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,225 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 418 Rotary San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,295 | $2.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 414 Rotary San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,095 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 125 Magendie St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 820 | $1,323 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 420 Clark Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,295 | $1.71 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 323 Gabriel San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 323 Gabriel Unit 1 201 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 620 Potomac San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1431 Aransas Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,195 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-02-11$99,000 New 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Single-story fixer-upper in Jefferson Heights, ready for a full renovation. This property has been taken down to the studs, offering a blank slate for a complete remodel. Features include a fenced yard, double-wide driveway with carport, back patio, and a storage shed. Located just minutes from Downtown San Antonio, the Alamodome, The Pearl, and major highways. Excellent opportunity for investors or buyers looking to customize a home in a prime central location at an affordable price.
-
2026-02-11historical
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Single-story fixer-upper in Jefferson Heights, ready for a full renovation. This property has been taken down to the studs, offering a blank slate for a complete remodel. Features include a fenced yard, double-wide driveway with carport, back patio, and a storage shed. Located just minutes from Downtown San Antonio, the Alamodome, The Pearl, and major highways. Excellent opportunity for investors or buyers looking to customize a home in a prime central location at an affordable price.
-
2026-01-23$99,000 Active
-
2026-01-23$99,000 Active
-
2023-12-19soldstatus
-
2023-12-18soldstatus Sold
-
2023-12-15status Pending
-
2023-11-08price $85,000
-
2023-10-23price $95,000
-
2023-10-03$100,000 New
-
2023-09-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,635 · $220/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,635 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,770
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$2,635
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,262
- − Management
- −$1,262
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,691
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$406
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,692/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,224
- Household income
- $47,478
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 543.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 28% White 17% Black 16% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 41%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 53.82%
- Current HPI
- 253.3196
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.20%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-1.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Listed $99,000 LERA
- 2026-02-11 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $99,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $99,000 HARMLS
- 2023-12-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-12-18 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2023-12-15 Pending — LERA
- 2023-11-08 Price Changed $85,000 LERA
- 2023-10-23 Price Changed $95,000 LERA
- 2023-10-03 Listed $100,000 LERA
- 2023-09-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,635 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…