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97150 Caravel Trl
D- Composite 36.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.6/30.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0

$385,900

97150 Caravel Trl · Yulee, FL 32097
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,354 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1973 0.62 ac lot Est $353k · 9% over $25/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

What a fabulous HOME, YARD, and NEIGHBORHOOD! Come see why everyone loves the highly desirable Pirates Wood community in Yulee. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home with 1,354 sq ft sits on a spacious half-acre offering privacy, room to grow, and outdoor enjoyment. Ideally located from the community pool, playground, community center, boat ramp, and fishing pier, this home is great for boating and outdoor enthusiasts. Plus, you're only 8 minutes from shopping and restaurants at A1A/200. The inviting brick front with covered porch welcomes you inside to a home that was completely renovated , featuring a new roof, new flooring, New paint, renovated kitchen and bathroom cabinets, countertops. The fully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms with modern finishes and a move-in ready feel. Detached car garage and a nice shed. Come experience the lifestyle for yourself — schedule your tour today!

Key facts

  • Fishing pier
  • Community pool
  • Community center

Tags

COMMUNITY POOLPLAYGROUNDCOMMUNITY CENTERBOAT RAMPFISHING PIERRENOVATED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $300; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Used for residential purposes
  • Exterior features: Lot about 0.62 acres; No private pool

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Disposal

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $386k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-633 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (29.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (40.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $229k (40.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.3% in Yulee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#605 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$66k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($351k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $49k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $205k; list at $386k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $229,191 (40.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59%
Cap rate
4.33%
Cash-on-cash
-7.03%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
14.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$353,394
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
97089 Pirates Way 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+8%) 13mo $290,000 $199 70
97361 Pirates Point Rd 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,338 (-1%) 23mo $280,000 $209 64
97575 Pirates Point Rd 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,257 (-7%) 14mo $385,000 $306 60
97448 Pirates Way 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,304 (-4%) 18mo $605,000 $464 60
97099 Corsair Trl 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,272 (-6%) 13mo $300,000 $236 56
96805 Chester Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-1%) 11mo $351,000 $261 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$169,496
Equity at exit
$347,649
10-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
5.91×
Total profit
$530,063
Equity at exit
$749,719

Cash invested: $108,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32097

Home prices YoY
19.5%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
601
Price-to-rent
14.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,292 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,024
Tax from tax record
$234 /mo · $2,806/yr
Insurance
$161
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$481
Net cashflow
$-633

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,093
Max offer price $274,132
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-414 -5% $-523 +0% $-633 +5% $-742 +10% $-851
Rent -10% $-814 -5% $-723 +0% $-633 +5% $-542 +10% $-452
Rate -1.0pp $-438 -0.5pp $-535 base $-633 +0.5pp $-733 +1.0pp $-834

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$96,475
Closing costs
$11,577
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$25 · $300/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $385,900 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $385,900 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $385,900 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $385,900 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $385,900 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $385,900 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $385,900 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,900 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,900 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,900 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $399,900 Active 84 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,900 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,900 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,900 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,900 Active 80 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    price $399,900
  17. 2026-04-30
    price $420,000
  18. 2026-04-28
    price $420,000
  19. 2026-04-07
    price $429,900
  20. 2026-04-07
    price $429,900
  21. 2026-03-24
    listed $435,000 Active
  22. 2026-03-12
    listed $435,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    What a fabulous HOME, YARD, and NEIGHBORHOOD! Come see why everyone loves the highly desirable Pirates Wood community in Yulee. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home with 1,354 sq ft sits on a spacious half-acre offering privacy, room to grow, and outdoor enjoyment. Ideally located from the community pool, playground, community center, boat ramp, and fishing pier, this home is great for boating and outdoor enthusiasts. Plus, you're only 8 minutes from shopping and restaurants at A1A/200. The inviting brick front with covered porch welcomes you inside to a home that was completely renovated , featuring a new roof, new flooring, New paint, renovated kitchen and bathroom cabinets, countertops. The fully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms with modern finishes and a move-in ready feel. Detached car garage and a nice shed. Come experience the lifestyle for yourself — schedule your tour today!

  23. 2026-03-12
    historical 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    What a fabulous HOME, YARD, and NEIGHBORHOOD! Come see why everyone loves the highly desirable Pirates Wood community in Yulee. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home with 1,354 sq ft sits on a spacious half-acre offering privacy, room to grow, and outdoor enjoyment. Ideally located from the community pool, playground, community center, boat ramp, and fishing pier, this home is great for boating and outdoor enthusiasts. Plus, you're only 8 minutes from shopping and restaurants at A1A/200. The inviting brick front with covered porch welcomes you inside to a home that was completely renovated , featuring a new roof, new flooring, New paint, renovated kitchen and bathroom cabinets, countertops. The fully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms with modern finishes and a move-in ready feel. Detached car garage and a nice shed. Come experience the lifestyle for yourself — schedule your tour today!

  24. 2026-02-14
    price $435,000 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    What a fabulous HOME, YARD, and NEIGHBORHOOD! Come see why everyone loves the highly desirable Pirates Wood community in Yulee. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home with 1,354 sq ft sits on a spacious half-acre offering privacy, room to grow, and outdoor enjoyment. Ideally located from the community pool, playground, community center, boat ramp, and fishing pier, this home is great for boating and outdoor enthusiasts. Plus, you're only 8 minutes from shopping and restaurants at A1A/200. The inviting brick front with covered porch welcomes you inside to a home that was completely renovated , featuring a new roof, new flooring, New paint, renovated kitchen and bathroom cabinets, countertops. The fully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms with modern finishes and a move-in ready feel. Detached car garage and a nice shed. Come experience the lifestyle for yourself — schedule your tour today!

  25. 2026-01-26
    listed $441,500 Active 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    What a fabulous HOME, YARD, and NEIGHBORHOOD! Come see why everyone loves the highly desirable Pirates Wood community in Yulee. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home with 1,354 sq ft sits on a spacious half-acre offering privacy, room to grow, and outdoor enjoyment. Ideally located from the community pool, playground, community center, boat ramp, and fishing pier, this home is great for boating and outdoor enthusiasts. Plus, you're only 8 minutes from shopping and restaurants at A1A/200. The inviting brick front with covered porch welcomes you inside to a home that was completely renovated , featuring a new roof, new flooring, New paint, renovated kitchen and bathroom cabinets, countertops. The fully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms with modern finishes and a move-in ready feel. Detached car garage and a nice shed. Come experience the lifestyle for yourself — schedule your tour today!

  26. 2025-11-20
    historical
  27. 2025-11-13
    soldstatus $205,000 Closed
  28. 2025-11-13
    soldstatus $205,000
  29. 2025-10-22
    status Pending
  30. 2025-09-03
    price $330,000
  31. 2025-08-07
    price $355,000
  32. 2025-07-28
    price $315,000
  33. 2025-05-23
    listed $355,000 Active
  34. 2025-05-23
    listed $355,000 Active
  35. 2021-04-16
    soldstatus $259,900 Sold
  36. 2021-04-16
    soldstatus $259,900
  37. 2021-04-16
    soldstatus $259,900
  38. 2021-03-10
    status Pending
  39. 2021-03-09
    historical Active - Contingent
  40. 2021-02-15
    listed $259,900 Active
  41. 2021-02-15
    listed $259,900
  42. 2014-11-04
    soldstatus $111,100
  43. 2014-10-31
    soldstatus $111,000
  44. 2014-10-31
    soldstatus $111,000
  45. 2014-07-09
    listed $147,500
  46. 2014-07-01
    listed $147,500
  47. 2014-04-14
    listed $149,900
  48. 2014-04-04
    historical
  49. 2013-11-11
    listed $154,000
  50. 2013-11-07
    listed $154,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,806 · $234/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,203 · $267/mo
Expected delta
+$397/yr (+$33/mo · 14.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 44% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,503
− Mortgage interest
−$21,616
− Property taxes
−$2,806
− Insurance
−$1,930
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,200
− Management
−$2,200
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$11,226
Taxable loss
−$14,775
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,546
After-tax cash flow
$-4,046/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nassau
NCES district ID
1201350
Math proficiency
74% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,267
Composite
59.79/100
National rank
#899
State rank
#4 of 73 in FL

Livability — Yulee

Score
66/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#11615

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yulee, FL
County
Nassau County · 67,729 people
City population
26,700
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,700
Household income
$93,161
Rent vs Own
19.8% rent · 80.2% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,419 people
By 2030
92,679 · +4.8%
By 2040
99,257 · +12.3%
By 2050
103,378 · +16.9%
By 2075
109,726 · +24.1%
By 2100
107,006 · +21.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nassau

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.9) · D 26.1% · R 73.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -46.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.9 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+48.6 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 49.35%
Current HPI
301.9299
Rent YoY
▲ 2.88%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1444.0% since first listed
39 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $399,900 realMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $420,000 AINCAR
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $420,000 realMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $429,900 AINCAR
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $429,900 realMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $435,000 AINCAR
  • 2026-03-12 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $435,000 realMLS
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $435,000 realMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $441,500 realMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
  • 2025-11-13 Sold (MLS) $205,000 AINCAR
  • 2025-10-22 Pending AINCAR
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $330,000 AINCAR
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $355,000 AINCAR
  • 2025-07-28 Price Changed $315,000 AINCAR
  • 2025-05-23 Listed $355,000 AINCAR
  • 2025-05-23 Listed $355,000 realMLS
  • 2021-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $259,900 Public Records
  • 2021-04-16 Sold (MLS) $259,900 AINCAR
  • 2021-04-16 Sold (MLS) $259,900 realMLS
  • 2021-03-10 Pending realMLS
  • 2021-03-09 Contingent realMLS
  • 2021-02-15 Listed $259,900 AINCAR
  • 2021-02-15 Listed $259,900 realMLS
  • 2014-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $111,100 Public Records
  • 2014-10-31 Sold (MLS) $111,000 realMLS
  • 2014-10-31 Sold (MLS) $111,000 AINCAR
  • 2014-07-09 Listed $147,500 realMLS
  • 2014-07-01 Listed $147,500 AINCAR
  • 2014-04-14 Listed $149,900 AINCAR
  • 2014-04-04 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2013-11-11 Listed $154,000 realMLS
  • 2013-11-07 Listed $154,000 AINCAR
  • 2013-11-04 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2013-10-23 Listed $154,000 realMLS
  • 1996-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $62,200 Public Records
  • 1996-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $25,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,806 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…