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6911 Mccullum Rd
D Composite 41.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +4.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$249,995

6911 Mccullum Rd · Houston, TX 77489
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,129 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1973 7,260 sqft lot $117/sqft · 6% above area Est $236k · 6% over $12/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully upgraded home, where modern elegance meets everyday comfort. RECENT INTERIOR PAINT + ROOF! Layout offers graceful formal spaces and a spacious family room highlighted by a charming brick-hearth fireplace. MASTER SUITE DOWNSTAIRS w/2 walk-in closets + ceramic tiled bath! BIG secondary bedrooms! New fence installed October 2025. New AC Condenser Motor, Capacitors, and freon topped off. Rooms should be independently verified. Pictures are for illustration of staging.

Key facts

  • 7,260 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (6.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (10.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $223k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 188 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $350 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $222,746 (10.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.56%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$235,582
List price
$249,995
Delta
6.12%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15915 Ridgerock Rd 0.20mi 4/2.0 2,084 (-2%) 14mo $245,000 $118 76
7022 Castleview Ln 0.43mi 4/2.5 2,240 (+5%) 4mo $250,000 $112 66
6802 Jadwin Ct 0.14mi 4/3.5 1,860 (-13%) 1mo $199,000 $107 66
7318 Castleview Ln 0.57mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,084 (-2%) 4mo $269,990 $130 57
15819 Corsair Rd 0.70mi 4/2.5 2,147 (+1%) 10mo $249,000 $116 56
15807 Chimney Rock Rd 0.45mi 4/2.0 1,887 (-11%) 9mo $265,000 $140 53
15403 Blueridge Rd 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,833 (-14%) 1mo $249,999 $136 52
15522 Winter Briar Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,078 (-2%) 12mo $199,900 $96 48
16323 Tiburon Way 0.53mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,876 (-12%) 10mo $229,000 $122 40
7439 Maczali Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,923 (-10%) 12mo $289,900 $151 40
7102 Bahia Ln 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,837 (-14%) 7mo $180,000 $98 36
15806 Corsair Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,819 (-15%) 4mo $164,900 $91 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.55% appreciation · 0.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-25,207
Equity at exit
$65,778
10-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-25,820
Equity at exit
$73,817

Cash invested: $69,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77489

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,227 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$423 /mo · $5,082/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$12
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$468
Net cashflow
$-91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,343
Max offer price $233,931
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $51 -5% $-20 +0% $-91 +5% $-162 +10% $-232
Rent -10% $-267 -5% $-179 +0% $-91 +5% $-3 +10% $85
Rate -1.0pp $35 -0.5pp $-27 base $-91 +0.5pp $-156 +1.0pp $-222

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,499
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6610 Rowell Ct Missouri City, TX 3.0 2.0 1753 $1,996 $1.14 0d 1 0.53mi
16322 Petaluma Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1876 $1,770 $0.94 16d 1 0.54mi
6406 Summer Ridge Dr Missouri City, TX 3.0 2.0 1624 $1,958 $1.21 4d 1 0.67mi
5721 Melanite Ave Houston, TX 3.0 1.5 1634 $1,481 $0.91 21d 1 1.13mi
15113 Chasehill Dr Missouri City, TX 4.0 2.5 2286 $2,350 $1.03 45d 1 1.23mi
712 Beechbend Dr Missouri City, TX 4.0 2.5 2245 $2,250 $1.00 22d 1 1.40mi
16310 Setter Ct Missouri City, TX 3.0 2.0 1672 $1,700 $1.02 45d 1 1.43mi
507 Whippoorwill Dr Missouri City, TX 3.0 2.0 1970 $1,925 $0.98 45d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$12 · $144/yr

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,995 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,995 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,995 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,995 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,995 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,995 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,995 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,995 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,995 Active 65 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,995 Active 64 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,995 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    price $249,995 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,000 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $259,000 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully upgraded home, where modern elegance meets everyday comfort. RECENT INTERIOR PAINT + ROOF! Layout offers graceful formal spaces and a spacious family room highlighted by a charming brick-hearth fireplace. MASTER SUITE DOWNSTAIRS w/2 walk-in closets + ceramic tiled bath! BIG secondary bedrooms! New fence installed October 2025. New AC Condenser Motor, Capacitors, and freon topped off. Rooms should be independently verified. Pictures are for illustration of staging.

  16. 2026-03-31
    listed $265,000 Active 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully upgraded home, where modern elegance meets everyday comfort. RECENT INTERIOR PAINT + ROOF! Layout offers graceful formal spaces and a spacious family room highlighted by a charming brick-hearth fireplace. MASTER SUITE DOWNSTAIRS w/2 walk-in closets + ceramic tiled bath! BIG secondary bedrooms! New fence installed October 2025. New AC Condenser Motor, Capacitors, and freon topped off. Rooms should be independently verified. Pictures are for illustration of staging.

  17. 2023-07-12
    soldstatus
  18. 2023-07-11
    soldstatus Sold 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Welcome to your newly renovated dream home! This fabulous 4-bedroom house has been completely transformed with modern updates throughout. Step inside & admire the brand new engineered flooring on the first floor & bathrooms, providing a sleek & sophisticated look that's easy to maintain. The bedrooms have also been upgraded with new carpeting, installed in March 2023. Enjoy a fresh start in this freshly painted home, where every room has been updated with a crisp, neutral color palette that complements the versatile floorplan with formals and a supersized family room with brick hearth fireplace. But that's not all! This home also boasts foundation repairs completed in 2022, giving you peace of mind and a solid foundation for years to come. The new smart lighting throughout the house allows you to control your lights from your phone, creating the perfect ambiance for any occasion. This home is truly a must-see! Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this wonderful property yours!

  19. 2023-06-21
    status Pending 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Welcome to your newly renovated dream home! This fabulous 4-bedroom house has been completely transformed with modern updates throughout. Step inside & admire the brand new engineered flooring on the first floor & bathrooms, providing a sleek & sophisticated look that's easy to maintain. The bedrooms have also been upgraded with new carpeting, installed in March 2023. Enjoy a fresh start in this freshly painted home, where every room has been updated with a crisp, neutral color palette that complements the versatile floorplan with formals and a supersized family room with brick hearth fireplace. But that's not all! This home also boasts foundation repairs completed in 2022, giving you peace of mind and a solid foundation for years to come. The new smart lighting throughout the house allows you to control your lights from your phone, creating the perfect ambiance for any occasion. This home is truly a must-see! Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this wonderful property yours!

  20. 2023-06-14
    status Option Pending 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Welcome to your newly renovated dream home! This fabulous 4-bedroom house has been completely transformed with modern updates throughout. Step inside & admire the brand new engineered flooring on the first floor & bathrooms, providing a sleek & sophisticated look that's easy to maintain. The bedrooms have also been upgraded with new carpeting, installed in March 2023. Enjoy a fresh start in this freshly painted home, where every room has been updated with a crisp, neutral color palette that complements the versatile floorplan with formals and a supersized family room with brick hearth fireplace. But that's not all! This home also boasts foundation repairs completed in 2022, giving you peace of mind and a solid foundation for years to come. The new smart lighting throughout the house allows you to control your lights from your phone, creating the perfect ambiance for any occasion. This home is truly a must-see! Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this wonderful property yours!

  21. 2023-04-17
    listed $269,000 Active 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Welcome to your newly renovated dream home! This fabulous 4-bedroom house has been completely transformed with modern updates throughout. Step inside & admire the brand new engineered flooring on the first floor & bathrooms, providing a sleek & sophisticated look that's easy to maintain. The bedrooms have also been upgraded with new carpeting, installed in March 2023. Enjoy a fresh start in this freshly painted home, where every room has been updated with a crisp, neutral color palette that complements the versatile floorplan with formals and a supersized family room with brick hearth fireplace. But that's not all! This home also boasts foundation repairs completed in 2022, giving you peace of mind and a solid foundation for years to come. The new smart lighting throughout the house allows you to control your lights from your phone, creating the perfect ambiance for any occasion. This home is truly a must-see! Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this wonderful property yours!

  22. 2023-04-08
    historical $269,000 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Welcome to your newly renovated dream home! This fabulous 4-bedroom house has been completely transformed with modern updates throughout. Step inside & admire the brand new engineered flooring on the first floor & bathrooms, providing a sleek & sophisticated look that's easy to maintain. The bedrooms have also been upgraded with new carpeting, installed in March 2023. Enjoy a fresh start in this freshly painted home, where every room has been updated with a crisp, neutral color palette that complements the versatile floorplan with formals and a supersized family room with brick hearth fireplace. But that's not all! This home also boasts foundation repairs completed in 2022, giving you peace of mind and a solid foundation for years to come. The new smart lighting throughout the house allows you to control your lights from your phone, creating the perfect ambiance for any occasion. This home is truly a must-see! Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this wonderful property yours!

  23. 2022-11-04
    soldstatus
  24. 2022-11-02
    soldstatus Sold
  25. 2022-10-25
    status Pending
  26. 2022-10-20
    status Option Pending
  27. 2022-10-10
    listed $190,000 Active
  28. 2005-08-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,082 · $423/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,082 · $423/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,730
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$5,082
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,138
− Management
−$2,138
− HOA
−$144
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$5,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,272
After-tax cash flow
$181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Bend ISD
NCES district ID
4819650
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$82,360
Composite
44.61/100
National rank
#2779
State rank
#140 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
39,292
Household income
$74,689
Rent vs Own
22.9% rent · 77.1% own
Severe rent burden
1121.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,004,526 people
By 2030
1,153,104 · +14.8%
By 2040
1,453,718 · +44.7%
By 2050
1,753,781 · +74.6%
By 2075
2,455,772 · +144.5%
By 2100
2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 13% White 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.55%
Current HPI
288.1306
Rent YoY
▲ 0.34%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $259,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $265,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-07-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-07-11 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2023-06-21 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-06-14 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-04-17 Listed $269,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-04-08 Coming Soon $269,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-11-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-11-02 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2022-10-25 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-10-20 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-10-10 Listed $190,000 HARMLS
  • 2005-08-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,082 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…