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685 Durham Rd
D Composite 43.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.2/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0

$160,000

685 Durham Rd · Galatia, IL 62935
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily · 76 Days on market
10 ac lot $114/sqft · at area comps Est $163k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your own slice of Southern Illinois paradise! This beautiful 10-acre property near Harrisburg Lake offers the perfect blend of peaceful living and outdoor adventure. Whether you're dreaming of a homestead, a hunting retreat, or a quiet escape, this property delivers. Surrounded by abundant wildlife, it’s truly a hunter’s dream. Enjoy your private 1-acre pond with a charming dock, or take a short 1/8-mile stroll to the lake—clear a few trees and you could have a stunning water view right from your property. The home features a massive covered front porch complete with a swing and rocking chairs that stay. Inside, the spacious living room is filled with natural light and includes a cozy wood-burning fireplace. The dining area offers scenic views, and the kitchen provides ample cabinet space. An upstairs bedroom and loft add flexibility. Out back, a large deck is perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A newer 2-car detached garage, a new large heat pump, and solar panels that will be owned free and clear at closing add value and efficiency. The home could use a little TLC, but with its setting and potential, this is a rare opportunity you don’t want to miss! Call today for a showing!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Large deck
  • 10 acre property

Tags

10 ACRE PROPERTYPRIVATE PONDCOVERED FRONT PORCHWOOD BURNING FIREPLACELARGE DECKDETACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-924/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (8.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (31.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#460 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Galatia CUSD 1 (rural): math 21% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #557 of 919 in IL (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Galatia Elem School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,054 of 2,056 statewide, top 54%, 170 students, 0% FRL); Galatia Jr High (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #256 of 665 statewide, top 41%, 89 students, 0% FRL); Galatia High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 108 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
  • Saline County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $109,683 (31.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.06%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$162,501
List price
$160,000
Delta
-1.54%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

6.55% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$46,460
Equity at exit
$106,172
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$139,123
Equity at exit
$197,556

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62935

Home prices YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,097 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $454/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$-77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,194
Max offer price $146,393
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $14 -5% $-32 +0% $-77 +5% $-122 +10% $-168
Rent -10% $-164 -5% $-120 +0% $-77 +5% $-34 +10% $10
Rate -1.0pp $4 -0.5pp $-36 base $-77 +0.5pp $-118 +1.0pp $-161

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $160,000 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $160,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $160,000 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 72 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $160,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Active 57 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 56 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 55 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 54 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 53 DOM
  18. 2026-04-07
    listed $160,000 Active 1233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1233 chars)

    Welcome to your own slice of Southern Illinois paradise! This beautiful 10-acre property near Harrisburg Lake offers the perfect blend of peaceful living and outdoor adventure. Whether you're dreaming of a homestead, a hunting retreat, or a quiet escape, this property delivers. Surrounded by abundant wildlife, it’s truly a hunter’s dream. Enjoy your private 1-acre pond with a charming dock, or take a short 1/8-mile stroll to the lake—clear a few trees and you could have a stunning water view right from your property. The home features a massive covered front porch complete with a swing and rocking chairs that stay. Inside, the spacious living room is filled with natural light and includes a cozy wood-burning fireplace. The dining area offers scenic views, and the kitchen provides ample cabinet space. An upstairs bedroom and loft add flexibility. Out back, a large deck is perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A newer 2-car detached garage, a new large heat pump, and solar panels that will be owned free and clear at closing add value and efficiency. The home could use a little TLC, but with its setting and potential, this is a rare opportunity you don’t want to miss! Call today for a showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$454 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,043 · $170/mo
Expected delta
+$1,589/yr (+$132/mo · 350.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,162
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$454
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,053
− Management
−$1,053
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$3,815
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$916
After-tax cash flow
$-9/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galatia CUSD 1
NCES district ID
1716020
Math proficiency
21% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$43,648
Composite
26.43/100
National rank
#12647
State rank
#557 of 919 in IL

Livability — Galatia

Score
68/100
State rank
#460
US rank
#9547

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,246

Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,915 people
By 2030
23,262 · -2.7%
By 2040
21,775 · -8.9%
By 2050
20,098 · -16.0%
By 2075
15,234 · -36.3%
By 2100
10,302 · -56.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Polish 3% Romanian 2%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Saline

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.0) · D 24.8% · R 73.8% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-40.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -49.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.0 2020: R+47.9 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+8.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.55%
Current HPI
134.5157
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $160,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…