201 E Vine St · Van Buren, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid structure. .. .with some elbow grease would be a great home
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1930
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#529 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, schools D-.
- Eastbrook Community School Corporation (rural): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #98 of 301 in IN (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- Grant County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $66k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.55%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $107,900
- List price
- $94,900
- Delta
- -12.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 E Plum St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,386 (-1%) | 15mo | $99,900 | $72 | 78 |
| 603 W Main St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,261 (-10%) | 1mo | $79,900 | $63 | 64 |
| 708 W Main St | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,484 (+6%) | 19mo | $140,000 | $94 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $38,922
- Equity at exit
- $51,570
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $102,223
- Equity at exit
- $87,228
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46991
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,210 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $94,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $94,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $94,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $94,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-03-11price $94,900 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
Solid structure. .. .with some elbow grease would be a great home
-
2026-01-23$99,900 Active 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
Solid structure. .. .with some elbow grease would be a great home
-
2026-01-09soldstatus $66,000 Closed 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
3-Bedroom Home with Enclosed Porch and Detached Garage selling via Online Only Auction on Wednesday, December 17, 2025 - Bidding begins closing out at 6 pm! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is situated on a corner lot. The enclosed front porch with hardwood flooring offers a welcoming entry. The main floor features a spacious living room and formal dining room, both with hardwood floors, along with a full bath for added convenience. Upstairs includes two bedrooms and a versatile landing room that can serve as a third bedroom, home office, or flex space. Outside, the property offers two storage sheds and a 1-car detached garage with a workshop area—ideal for projects or extra storage. A great opportunity to own a home with plenty of potential! Open House: Wed. December 10th 5:30-6pm
-
2025-12-19status Pending 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
3-Bedroom Home with Enclosed Porch and Detached Garage selling via Online Only Auction on Wednesday, December 17, 2025 - Bidding begins closing out at 6 pm! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is situated on a corner lot. The enclosed front porch with hardwood flooring offers a welcoming entry. The main floor features a spacious living room and formal dining room, both with hardwood floors, along with a full bath for added convenience. Upstairs includes two bedrooms and a versatile landing room that can serve as a third bedroom, home office, or flex space. Outside, the property offers two storage sheds and a 1-car detached garage with a workshop area—ideal for projects or extra storage. A great opportunity to own a home with plenty of potential! Open House: Wed. December 10th 5:30-6pm
-
2025-11-21$66,000 Active 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
3-Bedroom Home with Enclosed Porch and Detached Garage selling via Online Only Auction on Wednesday, December 17, 2025 - Bidding begins closing out at 6 pm! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is situated on a corner lot. The enclosed front porch with hardwood flooring offers a welcoming entry. The main floor features a spacious living room and formal dining room, both with hardwood floors, along with a full bath for added convenience. Upstairs includes two bedrooms and a versatile landing room that can serve as a third bedroom, home office, or flex space. Outside, the property offers two storage sheds and a 1-car detached garage with a workshop area—ideal for projects or extra storage. A great opportunity to own a home with plenty of potential! Open House: Wed. December 10th 5:30-6pm
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,424
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,162
- − Management
- −$1,162
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $2,221
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$533
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,067/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eastbrook Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803030
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,030
- Composite
- 38.28/100
- National rank
- #4234
- State rank
- #98 of 301 in IN
Livability — Van Buren
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #529
- US rank
- #19010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Van Buren, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,657
Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,394 people
- By 2030
- 62,145 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 57,252 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 52,968 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 45,986 · -28.6%
- By 2100
- 39,400 · -38.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grant
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.2% · R 70.0% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+22.0 2008: R+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Current HPI
- 193.7506
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+43.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $94,900 IRMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $99,900 IRMLS
- 2026-01-09 Sold (MLS) $66,000 IRMLS
- 2025-12-19 Pending — IRMLS
- 2025-11-21 Listed $66,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $107 · +33.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…