Multi-family
604 Logan Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- ARV discount +3.9/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,099,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Large VACANT BRICK semi detached multi family home in Throggs Neck. House features a 3 bedroom over a 2 bedroom over a finished basement plus laundry and storage. Hardwood floors, patio, garage and nice sized yard, gas heating. Close to buses, shops and highways.
Key facts
- 3,050 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Three total parking spaces; Driveway; Garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Triplex
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Other heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Finished basement; Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/?-bath multifamily listed at $1.10M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-397 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.03M (6.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $818k (25.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $818k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.7%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,183/mo this rent would consume 112% of the median local household income ($88k/yr) (locally 2294% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.07M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.55%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,019,030
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 631 Hollywood Ave | 0.06mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,820 (+0%) | 4mo | $935,000 | $332 | 89 |
| 2887 Lamport Pl | 0.16mi | 5/2.0 | 2,926 (+4%) | 2mo | $750,000 | $256 | 85 |
| 525 Hollywood Ave | 0.13mi | 5/2.0 | 2,750 (-2%) | 7mo | $999,999 | $364 | 84 |
| 1321 Shore Dr | 0.38mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 3,065 (+9%) | 1mo | $1,700,000 | $555 | 62 |
| 3950 Throggs Neck Expy | 0.48mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,964 (+5%) | 5mo | $923,650 | $312 | 60 |
| 259 Kearney Ave | 0.54mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,914 (+4%) | 7mo | $1,055,000 | $362 | 59 |
| 3021 Barkley Ave | 0.56mi | 5/2.0 | 2,558 (-9%) | 7mo | $875,000 | $342 | 53 |
| 901 Dean Ave | 0.54mi | 6/5.0 (+1) | 2,583 (-8%) | 7mo | $1,135,000 | $439 | 50 |
| 250 Kearney Ave | 0.56mi | 4/— (-1) | 2,477 (-12%) | 8mo | $910,000 | $367 | 42 |
| 248 Kearney Ave | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,477 (-12%) | 9mo | $780,000 | $315 | 41 |
| 258A Longstreet Ave | 0.70mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,458 (-13%) | 1mo | $1,070,000 | $435 | 40 |
| 2812 Harding Ave | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,500 (-11%) | 9mo | $895,000 | $358 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-160,629
- Equity at exit
- $164,013
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $23,036
- Equity at exit
- $95,108
Cash invested: $308,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10465
- Rents YoY
- 10.7%
- Active inventory
- 215
- Price-to-rent
- 30.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,183 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,769
- Tax from tax record
- −$635 /mo · $7,619/yr
- Insurance
- −$458
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,718
- Net cashflow
- $-397
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $226 | -5% $-86 | +0% $-397 | +5% $-709 | +10% $-1,020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,044 | -5% $-720 | +0% $-397 | +5% $-74 | +10% $249 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $157 | -0.5pp $-117 | base $-397 | +0.5pp $-682 | +1.0pp $-972 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $3,015 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $2,650 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $2,518 |
| Total (3 units) | $8,183 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $275,000
- Closing costs
- $33,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-17status $1,099,999 Pending 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,099,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,099,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,099,999 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,099,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,099,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,099,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,099,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,099,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,099,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,099,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$1,099,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,619 · $635/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,104 · $1,092/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,486/yr (+$457/mo · 72.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $98,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$61,617
- − Property taxes
- −$7,619
- − Insurance
- −$5,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,856
- − Management
- −$7,856
- − Depreciation
- −$32,000
- Taxable loss
- −$24,251
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,820
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,054/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,404
- Household income
- $87,985
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2294.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 15% Black 10% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 24% Dominican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 7% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -283.74%
- Current HPI
- 270.517
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.74%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $1,099,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $7,619 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…