2101 E 1st St · Duluth, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to build equity with this classic Congdon. Home has had many recent updates: FRESHLY PAINTED, roof, porch, gutters, exterior paint. There is a spacious foyer, living room with fireplace, a formal dining room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. Upstairs, you'll find four generously sized bedrooms, including one with a walk-in closet, and a full bath. The lower level offers additional convenience with a ¾ bath. Outside, enjoy a beautifully landscaped yard, storage shed, and off-street parking. A fantastic opportunity to build equity in one of Duluth’s most desirable neighborhoods. Don’t miss it!
Key facts
- Recent updates
- Formal dining room
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-27 ($-327/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (1.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (17.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $221k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 50 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.43%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $398,895
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2113 E 2nd St | 0.08mi | 4/2.5 | 1,976 (+1%) | 13mo | $425,000 | $215 | 83 |
| 210 W Kent Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,969 (+0%) | 4mo | $399,900 | $203 | 63 |
| 619 Woodland Ave | 0.38mi | 4/1.0 | 1,791 (-9%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $145 | 63 |
| 823 Grandview Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,970 (+0%) | 1mo | $410,000 | $208 | 62 |
| 1719 E 8th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,041 (+4%) | 11mo | $385,000 | $189 | 50 |
| 845 Grandview Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,760 (-10%) | 0mo | $400,000 | $227 | 47 |
| 815 Grandview Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,749 (-11%) | 0mo | $370,000 | $212 | 46 |
| 2708 E 1st St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,753 (-11%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $137 | 44 |
| 21 Snelling Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,765 (-10%) | 9mo | $330,000 | $187 | 41 |
| 844 Grandview Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,750 (-11%) | 12mo | $340,000 | $194 | 38 |
| 620 N 16th Ave Ave E | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,720 (-12%) | 8mo | $375,000 | $218 | 37 |
| 215 Garden St | 0.59mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,183 (+11%) | 12mo | $389,500 | $178 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-33,787
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $21,533
- Equity at exit
- $23,336
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55812
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,215 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$249 /mo · $2,990/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $-27
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2125 E Superior St Unit 3 Duluth, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1622 | $1,850 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1821 E 1st St Duluth, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1662 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 414 N 19th Ave E Duluth, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1900 | $2,295 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 202 S 18th Ave E Duluth, MN | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2372 | $2,495 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 426 N 13th Ave E Duluth, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 609 E 6th St Duluth, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,795 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2044 Woodland Ave Duluth, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $2,350 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $269,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $269,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $269,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $269,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $269,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $269,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $269,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $269,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $269,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $269,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $269,900 639-char remark
Show marketing remark (639 chars)
Great opportunity to build equity with this classic Congdon. Home has had many recent updates: FRESHLY PAINTED, roof, porch, gutters, exterior paint. There is a spacious foyer, living room with fireplace, a formal dining room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. Upstairs, you'll find four generously sized bedrooms, including one with a walk-in closet, and a full bath. The lower level offers additional convenience with a ¾ bath. Outside, enjoy a beautifully landscaped yard, storage shed, and off-street parking. A fantastic opportunity to build equity in one of Duluth’s most desirable neighborhoods. Don’t miss it!
-
2026-04-22price $279,900 639-char remark
Show marketing remark (639 chars)
Great opportunity to build equity with this classic Congdon. Home has had many recent updates: FRESHLY PAINTED, roof, porch, gutters, exterior paint. There is a spacious foyer, living room with fireplace, a formal dining room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. Upstairs, you'll find four generously sized bedrooms, including one with a walk-in closet, and a full bath. The lower level offers additional convenience with a ¾ bath. Outside, enjoy a beautifully landscaped yard, storage shed, and off-street parking. A fantastic opportunity to build equity in one of Duluth’s most desirable neighborhoods. Don’t miss it!
-
2026-03-31price $289,900 639-char remark
Show marketing remark (639 chars)
Great opportunity to build equity with this classic Congdon. Home has had many recent updates: FRESHLY PAINTED, roof, porch, gutters, exterior paint. There is a spacious foyer, living room with fireplace, a formal dining room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. Upstairs, you'll find four generously sized bedrooms, including one with a walk-in closet, and a full bath. The lower level offers additional convenience with a ¾ bath. Outside, enjoy a beautifully landscaped yard, storage shed, and off-street parking. A fantastic opportunity to build equity in one of Duluth’s most desirable neighborhoods. Don’t miss it!
-
2026-01-30$299,900 Active 639-char remark
Show marketing remark (639 chars)
Great opportunity to build equity with this classic Congdon. Home has had many recent updates: FRESHLY PAINTED, roof, porch, gutters, exterior paint. There is a spacious foyer, living room with fireplace, a formal dining room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. Upstairs, you'll find four generously sized bedrooms, including one with a walk-in closet, and a full bath. The lower level offers additional convenience with a ¾ bath. Outside, enjoy a beautifully landscaped yard, storage shed, and off-street parking. A fantastic opportunity to build equity in one of Duluth’s most desirable neighborhoods. Don’t miss it!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,990 · $249/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,006 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- +$16/yr (+$1/mo · 0.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,578
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$2,990
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,126
- − Management
- −$2,126
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$4,984
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,196
- After-tax cash flow
- $869/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duluth Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711040
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,692
- Composite
- 41.92/100
- National rank
- #3360
- State rank
- #132 of 301 in MN
Livability — Duluth
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duluth, MN
- County
- Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
- City population
- 71,097
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,859
- Household income
- $65,505
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 655.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Romanian 6% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -277.88%
- Current HPI
- 196.8354
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.07%
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $269,900 LSAR
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $279,900 LSAR
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $289,900 LSAR
- 2026-01-30 Listed $299,900 LSAR
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,990 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…