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2101 E 1st St
C- Composite 50.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

2101 E 1st St · Duluth, MN 55812
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,965 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1890 6,970 sqft lot Est $399k · 32% under ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to build equity with this classic Congdon. Home has had many recent updates: FRESHLY PAINTED, roof, porch, gutters, exterior paint. There is a spacious foyer, living room with fireplace, a formal dining room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. Upstairs, you'll find four generously sized bedrooms, including one with a walk-in closet, and a full bath. The lower level offers additional convenience with a ¾ bath. Outside, enjoy a beautifully landscaped yard, storage shed, and off-street parking. A fantastic opportunity to build equity in one of Duluth’s most desirable neighborhoods. Don’t miss it!

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • Formal dining room
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

RECENT UPDATESSPACIOUS FOYERLIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACEFORMAL DINING ROOMKITCHEN WITH BREAKFAST NOOKWALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-27 ($-327/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (1.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (17.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $221k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 50 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $221,487 (17.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.43%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$398,895
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2113 E 2nd St 0.08mi 4/2.5 1,976 (+1%) 13mo $425,000 $215 83
210 W Kent Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,969 (+0%) 4mo $399,900 $203 63
619 Woodland Ave 0.38mi 4/1.0 1,791 (-9%) 1mo $260,000 $145 63
823 Grandview Ave 0.66mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,970 (+0%) 1mo $410,000 $208 62
1719 E 8th St 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,041 (+4%) 11mo $385,000 $189 50
845 Grandview Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,760 (-10%) 0mo $400,000 $227 47
815 Grandview Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,749 (-11%) 0mo $370,000 $212 46
2708 E 1st St 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,753 (-11%) 10mo $240,000 $137 44
21 Snelling Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,765 (-10%) 9mo $330,000 $187 41
844 Grandview Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,750 (-11%) 12mo $340,000 $194 38
620 N 16th Ave Ave E 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,720 (-12%) 8mo $375,000 $218 37
215 Garden St 0.59mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,183 (+11%) 12mo $389,500 $178 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-33,787
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$21,533
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55812

Rents YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,215 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$249 /mo · $2,990/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$465
Net cashflow
$-27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,249
Max offer price $265,084
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2125 E Superior St Unit 3 Duluth, MN 4.0 1.0 1622 $1,850 $1.14 13d 1 0.08mi
1821 E 1st St Duluth, MN 5.0 2.0 1662 $2,300 $1.38 13d 1 0.23mi
414 N 19th Ave E Duluth, MN 4.0 1.0 1900 $2,295 $1.21 13d 1 0.30mi
202 S 18th Ave E Duluth, MN 5.0 2.5 2372 $2,495 $1.05 13d 1 0.34mi
426 N 13th Ave E Duluth, MN 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,900 $1.52 13d 1 0.76mi
609 E 6th St Duluth, MN 5.0 2.0 1850 $1,795 $0.97 21d 1 1.37mi
2044 Woodland Ave Duluth, MN 4.0 2.0 1812 $2,350 $1.30 21d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $269,900 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,900 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,900 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,900 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,900 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $269,900 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,900 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $269,900 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $269,900 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,900 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,900 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $269,900 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,900 Active 2 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on marketlisting id $269,900 Active 1 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,900 Active 121 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $269,900 Active 120 DOM
  17. 2026-05-17
    price $269,900 639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (639 chars)

    Great opportunity to build equity with this classic Congdon. Home has had many recent updates: FRESHLY PAINTED, roof, porch, gutters, exterior paint. There is a spacious foyer, living room with fireplace, a formal dining room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. Upstairs, you'll find four generously sized bedrooms, including one with a walk-in closet, and a full bath. The lower level offers additional convenience with a ¾ bath. Outside, enjoy a beautifully landscaped yard, storage shed, and off-street parking. A fantastic opportunity to build equity in one of Duluth’s most desirable neighborhoods. Don’t miss it!

  18. 2026-04-22
    price $279,900 639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (639 chars)

    Great opportunity to build equity with this classic Congdon. Home has had many recent updates: FRESHLY PAINTED, roof, porch, gutters, exterior paint. There is a spacious foyer, living room with fireplace, a formal dining room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. Upstairs, you'll find four generously sized bedrooms, including one with a walk-in closet, and a full bath. The lower level offers additional convenience with a ¾ bath. Outside, enjoy a beautifully landscaped yard, storage shed, and off-street parking. A fantastic opportunity to build equity in one of Duluth’s most desirable neighborhoods. Don’t miss it!

  19. 2026-03-31
    price $289,900 639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (639 chars)

    Great opportunity to build equity with this classic Congdon. Home has had many recent updates: FRESHLY PAINTED, roof, porch, gutters, exterior paint. There is a spacious foyer, living room with fireplace, a formal dining room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. Upstairs, you'll find four generously sized bedrooms, including one with a walk-in closet, and a full bath. The lower level offers additional convenience with a ¾ bath. Outside, enjoy a beautifully landscaped yard, storage shed, and off-street parking. A fantastic opportunity to build equity in one of Duluth’s most desirable neighborhoods. Don’t miss it!

  20. 2026-01-30
    listed $299,900 Active 639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (639 chars)

    Great opportunity to build equity with this classic Congdon. Home has had many recent updates: FRESHLY PAINTED, roof, porch, gutters, exterior paint. There is a spacious foyer, living room with fireplace, a formal dining room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. Upstairs, you'll find four generously sized bedrooms, including one with a walk-in closet, and a full bath. The lower level offers additional convenience with a ¾ bath. Outside, enjoy a beautifully landscaped yard, storage shed, and off-street parking. A fantastic opportunity to build equity in one of Duluth’s most desirable neighborhoods. Don’t miss it!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,990 · $249/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,006 · $251/mo
Expected delta
+$16/yr (+$1/mo · 0.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,578
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$2,990
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,126
− Management
−$2,126
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$4,984
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,196
After-tax cash flow
$869/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duluth Public School District
NCES district ID
2711040
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,692
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3360
State rank
#132 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

Score
82/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duluth, MN
County
Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
City population
71,097
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
10,859
Household income
$65,505
Rent vs Own
57.4% rent · 42.6% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 6% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -277.88%
Current HPI
196.8354
Rent YoY
▲ 8.07%
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $269,900 LSAR
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $279,900 LSAR
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $289,900 LSAR
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $299,900 LSAR

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,990 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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