514 S Lafayette St · Montpelier, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
VERY AFFORDABLE 3 BEDROOM 1 BATH HOME IN MONTPELIER. DETACHED GARAGE AND SHED FOR STORAGE. LARGE LIVING/DINING ROOM AREA. MAIN FLOOR BEDROOM WITH 2 BEDROOMS UPSTAIRS. FULL BASEMENT FOR STORAGE AND LAUNDRY. LARGE YARD WITH ALLEY ACCESS. SET YOUR APPOINTMENT UP TODAY.
Key facts
- Alley access
- Large yard
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Off-street parking; 1 garage space (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Sanitary sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family house; Two levels (2 stories); Property not attached; No common walls
- Construction: Aluminum, vinyl, and wood siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level (8 x 10); Bedroom 2 on upper level (10 x 12); Bedroom 3 on upper level (10 x 12)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Storage; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#703 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Montpelier Exempted Village (rural): math 53% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #364 of 656 in OH (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Montpelier High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #275 of 781 statewide, top 37%, 325 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Williams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Williams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $85k implies a 372% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.85%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,607
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -0.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 N Pleasant St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,168 (+3%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $77 | 75 |
| 702 E Lawrence St | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,086 (-5%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $115 | 70 |
| 426 E Water | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,141 (+0%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $118 | 69 |
| 212 S Pleasant St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,186 (+4%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $67 | 68 |
| 915 Delaware Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (-2%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $138 | 67 |
| 1032 E Madison St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+5%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $88 | 60 |
| 402 Empire St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-9%) | 5mo | $180,735 | $174 | 59 |
| 222 S Pleasant St | 0.27mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,267 (+11%) | 4mo | $157,500 | $124 | 58 |
| 314 N Jonesville St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,031 (-9%) | 2mo | $58,000 | $56 | 53 |
| 409 W Water St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,034 (-9%) | 11mo | $28,000 | $27 | 46 |
| 807 Linden St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,282 (+13%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $86 | 43 |
| 107 W Water St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,306 (+15%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $50 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $4,973
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $28,433
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43543
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,056 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $700/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $295
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $343 | -5% $319 | +0% $295 | +5% $270 | +10% $246 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $211 | -5% $253 | +0% $295 | +5% $336 | +10% $378 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $337 | -0.5pp $316 | base $295 | +0.5pp $273 | +1.0pp $250 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$85,000 Active 272-char remark
-
2003-12-12soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $700 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,013 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$313/yr (+$26/mo · 44.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,669
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$700
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,014
- − Management
- −$1,014
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $2,283
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$548
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,987/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montpelier Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904552
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,289
- Composite
- 47.0/100
- National rank
- #2348
- State rank
- #364 of 656 in OH
Livability — Montpelier
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #703
- US rank
- #12583
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montpelier, OH
- County
- Williams · 37,585 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,476
- Household income
- $60,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.5
Population outlook (Williams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,125 people
- By 2030
- 35,264 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 33,264 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 31,072 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 26,553 · -26.5%
- By 2100
- 21,318 · -41.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Williams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.2) · D 25.4% · R 73.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -48.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.11%
- Current HPI
- 214.9648
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+372.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $85,000 NORIS
- 2003-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $700 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…