135 Hirst Ave · East Lansdowne, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1St:Lr, Dr, Fr/Fp, Kit, Pr, Oe 2Nd:3 Br, Marble Bath 3Rd:2 Br (Heated), Flrd Attic Bsmt:Full, Unfinished Needs Tlc. * * * * * $900 Bonus To S/O For Accept A/S Paid At Settlement * * * * *
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Ample parking
- Cozy family room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#340 in PA, #2,990 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, crime F.
- William Penn SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #491 of 539 in PA (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,321/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1738% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $160k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 5.0% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.01%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $321,456
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Hirst Ave | 0.00mi | 4/1.5 | 2,172 (0%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $83 | 99 |
| 81 Price Ave | 0.30mi | 4/1.5 | 2,050 (-6%) | 1mo | $368,000 | $180 | 76 |
| 300 N Maple Ave | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 | 2,192 (+1%) | 12mo | $435,000 | $198 | 61 |
| 29 N Maple Ave | 0.28mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 2,320 (+7%) | 11mo | $226,000 | $97 | 61 |
| 301 N Maple Ave | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 | 2,066 (-5%) | 12mo | $244,000 | $118 | 58 |
| 58 Price Ave | 0.35mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 2,284 (+5%) | 13mo | $290,000 | $127 | 57 |
| 232 Crawford Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 2,020 (-7%) | 16mo | $325,000 | $161 | 49 |
| 63 W Greenwood Ave W | 0.71mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,248 (+4%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $93 | 43 |
| 292 Green Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,957 (-10%) | 14mo | $422,500 | $216 | 39 |
| 101-A Lincoln Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,371 (+9%) | 8mo | $216,000 | $91 | 36 |
| 281 Wayne Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,345 (+8%) | 12mo | $347,600 | $148 | 36 |
| 75 W Stratford Ave | 0.71mi | 4/3.5 | 2,435 (+12%) | 12mo | $450,000 | $185 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $3,324
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $81,488
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19050
- Rents YoY
- 8.9%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,321 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$666 /mo · $7,996/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $262
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 N Union Ave Lansdowne, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1678 | $2,345 | $1.40 | 20d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 317 Barker Ave Lansdowne, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,700 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 228 Bayard Rd Upper Darby, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,095 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1200 Angora Dr Lansdowne, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1530 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 44 Sunshine Rd Upper Darby, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1481 | $1,795 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2026-04-10$160,000 Active
-
1994-07-12soldstatus $75,000
-
1994-06-30soldstatus $75,000 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
1St:Lr, Dr, Fr/Fp, Kit, Pr, Oe 2Nd:3 Br, Marble Bath 3Rd:2 Br (Heated), Flrd Attic Bsmt:Full, Unfinished Needs Tlc. * * * * * $900 Bonus To S/O For Accept A/S Paid At Settlement * * * * *
-
1994-04-20historical 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
1St:Lr, Dr, Fr/Fp, Kit, Pr, Oe 2Nd:3 Br, Marble Bath 3Rd:2 Br (Heated), Flrd Attic Bsmt:Full, Unfinished Needs Tlc. * * * * * $900 Bonus To S/O For Accept A/S Paid At Settlement * * * * *
-
1994-02-25$75,000 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
1St:Lr, Dr, Fr/Fp, Kit, Pr, Oe 2Nd:3 Br, Marble Bath 3Rd:2 Br (Heated), Flrd Attic Bsmt:Full, Unfinished Needs Tlc. * * * * * $900 Bonus To S/O For Accept A/S Paid At Settlement * * * * *
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,996 · $666/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,996 · $666/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,853
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$7,996
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,228
- − Management
- −$2,228
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $984
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$236
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,903/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- William Penn SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226390
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,543
- Composite
- 17.29/100
- National rank
- #9086
- State rank
- #491 of 539 in PA
Livability — East Lansdowne
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #340
- US rank
- #2990
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Lansdowne, PA
- County
- Delaware County · 399,863 people
- City population
- 41,541
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,373
- Household income
- $60,859
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1738.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 577,490 people
- By 2030
- 581,243 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 584,700 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 586,581 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 598,706 · +3.7%
- By 2100
- 590,823 · +2.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Swiss 4% Hispanic 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, United Kingdom, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.7) · D 61.4% · R 37.6% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 23.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.7 2020: D+26.7 2016: D+22.0 2012: D+21.8 2008: D+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.83%
- Current HPI
- 287.6419
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.87%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+113.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1994-06-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-04-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-02-25 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2026): $7,996 · +25.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…