Duplex
2412 High St · Blue Island, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful investment opportunity! This solidly built 2 unit is gutted and ready for you to bring your ideas to make it fabulous. Great location! CLOSE TO EVERYTHING!!! Shopping, Hospital, Schools, Train, Bus, and Expressway. BUILDING SOLD AS-IS. SILK STOCKING DISTRICT!! Seller financing available.
Key facts
- Great location
- Solidly built
- 3,920 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $738 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $369/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 6.5% in Blue Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#159 in IL, #2,964 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Chsd 218 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #454 of 620 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 24 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $146k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.82%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $502,588
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -60.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $14,889
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $74,625
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60406
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,148 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$616 /mo · $7,397/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$661
- Net cashflow
- $738
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $3,148 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,574 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,574 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,148 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $200,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-04-09status Active 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Wonderful investment opportunity! This solidly built 2 unit is gutted and ready for you to bring your ideas to make it fabulous. Great location! CLOSE TO EVERYTHING!!! Shopping, Hospital, Schools, Train, Bus, and Expressway. BUILDING SOLD AS-IS. SILK STOCKING DISTRICT!! Seller financing available.
-
2026-04-08historical 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Wonderful investment opportunity! This solidly built 2 unit is gutted and ready for you to bring your ideas to make it fabulous. Great location! CLOSE TO EVERYTHING!!! Shopping, Hospital, Schools, Train, Bus, and Expressway. BUILDING SOLD AS-IS. SILK STOCKING DISTRICT!! Seller financing available.
-
2026-01-08$200,000 Active 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Wonderful investment opportunity! This solidly built 2 unit is gutted and ready for you to bring your ideas to make it fabulous. Great location! CLOSE TO EVERYTHING!!! Shopping, Hospital, Schools, Train, Bus, and Expressway. BUILDING SOLD AS-IS. SILK STOCKING DISTRICT!! Seller financing available.
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2025-09-04historical
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2019-11-14historical
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2019-10-24soldstatus $146,000 Closed Sale
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2019-10-22status Pending
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2019-10-01historical Contingent
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2019-10-01historical
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2019-08-07status Reactivated
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2019-08-07status Reactivated
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2019-08-06historical
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2019-08-06historical
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2019-05-14New
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2019-05-06$179,000 New
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2019-05-06New
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2019-02-28historical
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2019-02-28historical
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2019-02-20price
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2019-02-20price
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2019-01-13price
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2019-01-13price
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2018-06-28New
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2018-06-28New
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2018-06-23historical
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2018-06-23historical
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2018-05-23New
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2018-05-23New
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2018-04-08historical
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2018-02-06New
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2017-11-20historical
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2017-11-20historical
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2017-09-02status Reactivated
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2017-09-02status Reactivated
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2017-08-11historical Contingent
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2017-08-09historical Contingent
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2017-07-05New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,397 · $616/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,397 · $616/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,776
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$7,397
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,022
- − Management
- −$3,022
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $6,313
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,515
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,345/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chsd 218
- NCES district ID
- 1706540
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,166
- Composite
- 16.09/100
- National rank
- #9235
- State rank
- #454 of 620 in IL
Livability — Blue Island
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #159
- US rank
- #2964
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blue Island, IL
- City population
- 24,887
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,887
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% Black 34% White 19% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 39%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% English 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 33% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.77%
- Current HPI
- 259.492
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+300.8% since first listed60 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Listed $200,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-04 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-24 Sold (MLS) $146,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-22 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-01 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-07 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-07 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-14 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-06 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-06 Listed $179,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-20 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-20 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-13 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-13 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-28 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-28 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-23 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-23 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-23 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-23 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-08 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-06 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-20 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-20 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-02 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-02 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-11 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-09 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-05 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-05 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-17 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-17 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-13 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-13 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-15 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-15 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
- 2015-05-07 Sold (MLS) $27,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-09 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-06 Listed $49,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-01-29 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-04 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-10 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-10 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-06 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-05 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-16 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2023): $7,397 · -8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…