Fourplex
504 Willoughby Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$2,500,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Amazing, charming 4-unit brownstone in the heart of Clinton Hill, Brooklyn. Ideally located within walking distance to shops, dining, and everyday conveniences. This well-maintained, income-producing property offers classic brownstone character combined with strong rental potential in one of Brooklyn’s most vibrant neighborhoods.
Key facts
- 4 unit brownstone
- 1,933 sq ft lot
- Built 1901
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; No designated parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Quadruplex
- Construction: Brownstone exterior
- Exterior features: Brownstone construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; Three 3-bedroom units
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Finished full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $2.50M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $562/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.14M (14.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $2.14M (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 59 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $21,360/mo this rent would consume 417% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 7470% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $267k of equity ($17k loan paydown + $250k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $700k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$430k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.20M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $500k; list at $2.50M implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.85%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $1,548,383
- Equity at exit
- $2,252,198
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.49×
- Total profit
- $4,543,692
- Equity at exit
- $4,856,950
Cash invested: $700,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11206
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 39.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $21,360 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$13,110
- Tax from tax record
- −$475 /mo · $5,695/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,042
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,486
- Net cashflow
- $2,248
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | — | $21,360 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $5,340 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $5,340 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $5,340 |
| #4 | 2 | — | $5,340 |
| Total (4 units) | $21,360 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $625,000
- Closing costs
- $75,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,500,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,500,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,500,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,500,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $2,500,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,500,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $2,500,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,500,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $2,500,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $2,500,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-03-11price $2,500,000
-
2026-01-14$3,500,000 Active
-
2005-05-18soldstatus $500,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,695 · $475/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $23,973 · $1,998/mo
- Expected delta
- +$18,277/yr (+$1,523/mo · 320.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $256,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$140,039
- − Property taxes
- −$5,695
- − Insurance
- −$12,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$20,506
- − Management
- −$20,506
- − Depreciation
- −$72,727
- Taxable loss
- −$15,653
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,757
- After-tax cash flow
- $30,731/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 93,020
- Household income
- $61,430
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7470.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 37% Hispanic / Latino 36% Black 18% Two or more races 11% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 30% German/W. Germanic 16% Chinese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.52%
- Current HPI
- 438.9997
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.05%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $2,500,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Listed $3,500,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $500,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2024): $5,695 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…