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2 Arlington Ave
B Composite 73.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$35,000

2 Arlington Ave · Masontown, PA 15461
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1910 3,837 sqft lot Est $35k · at est. ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home is located in town area within walking distance to shopping areas

Key facts

  • Updated metal roof
  • 3,837 sq ft lot
  • Parking

Tags

UPDATED METAL ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($898 rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,115 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Albert Gallatin Area SD (rural): math 26% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #419 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Masontown El Sch (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,094 of 1,518 statewide, top 73%, 249 students, 100% FRL); Albert Gallatin South Ms (math 16% / reading 42%, grade F, #391 of 512 statewide, top 77%, 360 students, 100% FRL); Albert Gallatin Area Shs (math 48% / reading 50%, grade D, #151 of 437 statewide, top 35%, 964 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 56% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $824 of equity ($242 loan paydown + $582 appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $34,475 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.57%
Cap rate
21.43%
Cash-on-cash
54.08%
DSCR
3.41
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$34,560
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Gilmore Ave 0.23mi 2/1.5 744 (+3%) 7mo $36,001 $48 76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
57.6%
Equity multiple
4.06×
Total profit
$29,960
Equity at exit
$13,171
10-year hold
IRR
58.4%
Equity multiple
8.19×
Total profit
$70,453
Equity at exit
$18,490

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15461

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$898 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $836/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$189
Net cashflow
$442

Break-even live

Break-even rent $339
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $461 -5% $452 +0% $442 +5% $432 +10% $422
Rent -10% $371 -5% $406 +0% $442 +5% $477 +10% $513
Rate -1.0pp $459 -0.5pp $451 base $442 +0.5pp $433 +1.0pp $423

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-03-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-01
    price $35,000
  3. 2026-02-23
    status Active
  4. 2026-01-29
    status Pending
  5. 2026-01-21
    listed $40,000 Active
  6. 2026-01-06
    historical Expired 70-char remark
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    Home is located in town area within walking distance to shopping areas

  7. 2025-12-19
    price $45,000 70-char remark
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    Home is located in town area within walking distance to shopping areas

  8. 2025-11-17
    price $50,000 70-char remark
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    Home is located in town area within walking distance to shopping areas

  9. 2025-10-17
    price $55,000 70-char remark
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    Home is located in town area within walking distance to shopping areas

  10. 2025-09-12
    listed $60,000 Active 70-char remark
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    Home is located in town area within walking distance to shopping areas

  11. 2003-07-17
    soldstatus $39,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$836 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$836 · $70/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,775
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$836
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$862
− Management
−$862
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$5,062
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,215
After-tax cash flow
$4,085/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albert Gallatin Area SD
NCES district ID
4202100
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,456
Composite
29.8/100
National rank
#6422
State rank
#419 of 539 in PA

Livability — Masontown

Score
65/100
State rank
#1115
US rank
#12702

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Masontown, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,624

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 11% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 9% Romanian 7% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.66%
Current HPI
207.2041
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-01 Price Changed $35,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-02-23 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-29 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $40,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-06 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $45,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $50,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $60,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2003-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $836 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…