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253 Gibson St
B- Composite 69.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

253 Gibson St · Canandaigua, NY 14424
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,499 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1926 7,274 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 story home featuring 4 bedrooms, private back yard and conveniently located within walking distance to shopping, restaurants, parks, schools & Sonnenberg Gardens. Let's make this house your new home. MAKE SURE TO CHECK OUT THE CARRIAGE HOUSE! Home is being sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • Private back yard
  • 7,274 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

PRIVATE BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story house; Existing construction
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Enclosed porch; Open porch; Private yard; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (bedrooms included) — main-level laundry noted
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Radiator/steam heating
  • Interior features: Bathroom rough-in; Eat-in kitchen; Pull-down attic stairs
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.4% in Canandaigua — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in NY, #3,822 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety D-.
  • Canandaigua City School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #305 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $82k; list at $179k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $179,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
10.10%
Cash-on-cash
13.60%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$85,443
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
87 Phoenix 0.52mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,624 (+8%) 22mo $92,900 $57 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$20,098
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
3.45×
Total profit
$122,823
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14424

Home prices YoY
-21.2%
Rents YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,424 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$333 /mo · $3,999/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$509
Net cashflow
$568

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,704
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $670 -5% $619 +0% $568 +5% $518 +10% $467
Rent -10% $377 -5% $472 +0% $568 +5% $664 +10% $760
Rate -1.0pp $658 -0.5pp $614 base $568 +0.5pp $522 +1.0pp $475

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
79 Granger St Canandaigua, NY 4.0 1.5 1740 $2,700 $1.55 44d 1 0.61mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $179,000 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    price $179,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 272-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $199,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,900 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 204-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $219,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,999 · $333/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,999 · $333/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,085
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$3,999
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,327
− Management
−$2,327
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$4,303
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,033
After-tax cash flow
$5,786/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canandaigua City School District
NCES district ID
3606330
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$56,375
Composite
47.09/100
National rank
#2335
State rank
#305 of 590 in NY

Livability — Canandaigua

Score
75/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#3822

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime B- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canandaigua, NY
County
Ontario County · 58,989 people
City population
28,786
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
28,786
Household income
$79,778
Rent vs Own
34.8% rent · 65.2% own
Severe rent burden
737.0

Population outlook (Ontario County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,230 people
By 2030
111,401 · +0.2%
By 2040
109,535 · -1.5%
By 2050
104,895 · -5.7%
By 2075
92,999 · -16.4%
By 2100
73,723 · -33.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ontario

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 50.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -1.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.2 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: R+1.6 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.94%
Current HPI
263.755
Rent YoY
▲ 8.46%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+169.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $219,900 UNYREIS
  • 1994-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $81,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,999 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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